Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston
American Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.2#59
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#73
Pace67.5#243
Improvement+2.2#90

Offense
Total Offense+8.6#22
First Shot+4.9#50
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#8
Layup/Dunks+2.0#89
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#237
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement+1.5#113

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#158
First Shot+2.7#91
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#337
Layups/Dunks+2.1#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#93
Freethrows-0.6#211
Improvement+0.7#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.0% n/a n/a
First Round2.6% n/a n/a
Second Round0.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2015 335   Prairie View W 110-69 98%     1 - 0 +24.7 +21.0 -0.8
  Nov 21, 2015 350   Florida A&M W 97-52 99%     2 - 0 +24.7 +13.1 +8.4
  Nov 28, 2015 139   Louisiana Monroe W 76-64 83%     3 - 0 +10.9 +4.3 +7.0
  Nov 30, 2015 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-65 99%     4 - 0 -5.9 -4.0 -1.7
  Dec 02, 2015 174   Murray St. W 93-78 88%     5 - 0 +11.4 +19.7 -7.9
  Dec 08, 2015 90   @ Rhode Island L 57-67 50%     5 - 1 -0.8 -5.6 +4.0
  Dec 13, 2015 75   LSU W 105-98 OT 67%     6 - 1 +11.6 +13.4 -3.0
  Dec 16, 2015 308   NC Central W 73-65 97%     7 - 1 -4.7 -4.4 -0.2
  Dec 19, 2015 264   Eastern Illinois W 81-65 95%     8 - 1 +6.7 +14.7 -5.6
  Dec 21, 2015 134   Grand Canyon L 69-78 75%     8 - 2 -6.9 -2.1 -4.7
  Dec 22, 2015 164   Wyoming W 94-89 2OT 82%     9 - 2 +4.7 -4.7 +8.2
  Dec 28, 2015 333   Nicholls St. W 76-49 98%     10 - 2 +11.2 -4.8 +14.8
  Dec 30, 2015 215   @ South Florida W 73-67 82%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +5.5 +2.9 +2.7
  Jan 02, 2016 84   @ Temple W 77-50 49%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +36.5 +17.8 +21.2
  Jan 05, 2016 192   Tulane W 63-45 90%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +13.2 +1.8 +14.3
  Jan 13, 2016 32   @ Cincinnati L 59-70 29%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +4.1 +3.2 -0.4
  Jan 17, 2016 29   Connecticut L 57-69 47%     13 - 4 3 - 2 -2.0 -7.0 +4.5
  Jan 19, 2016 19   @ SMU L 73-77 20%     13 - 5 3 - 3 +14.1 +22.3 -9.0
  Jan 23, 2016 215   South Florida L 62-71 92%     13 - 6 3 - 4 -15.3 -7.8 -8.1
  Jan 27, 2016 64   Tulsa W 81-66 64%     14 - 6 4 - 4 +20.5 +9.9 +10.6
  Jan 30, 2016 185   @ East Carolina W 97-93 2OT 77%     15 - 6 5 - 4 +5.5 +11.2 -6.3
  Feb 01, 2016 19   SMU W 71-68 39%     16 - 6 6 - 4 +15.2 +3.7 +11.6
  Feb 07, 2016 64   @ Tulsa L 63-77 42%     16 - 7 6 - 5 -2.7 +6.4 -11.7
  Feb 10, 2016 71   Memphis W 98-90 66%     17 - 7 7 - 5 +13.0 +26.8 -14.1
  Feb 13, 2016 173   Central Florida W 82-58 88%     18 - 7 8 - 5 +20.4 +15.0 +7.1
  Feb 17, 2016 192   @ Tulane W 82-69 78%     19 - 7 9 - 5 +14.0 +12.8 +1.1
  Feb 21, 2016 84   Temple L 66-69 70%     19 - 8 9 - 6 +0.7 -2.5 +3.2
  Feb 24, 2016 173   @ Central Florida W 88-61 75%     20 - 8 10 - 6 +29.2 +15.8 +12.7
  Feb 28, 2016 29   @ Connecticut W 75-68 26%     21 - 8 11 - 6 +22.9 +14.4 +8.8
  Mar 03, 2016 32   Cincinnati W 69-56 50%     22 - 8 12 - 6 +22.2 +13.6 +10.6
  Mar 11, 2016 192   Tulane L 69-72 85%     22 - 9 -4.9 +2.9 -8.0
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 5.1% 5.1% 11.2 0.1 4.0 1.1 0.0 94.9 5.1%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.1% 0.0% 5.1% 11.2 0.1 4.0 1.1 0.0 94.9 5.1%