Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
American Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.0#29
Expected Predictive Rating+11.8#38
Pace65.9#281
Improvement-0.3#194

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#56
First Shot+5.7#42
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#223
Layup/Dunks+3.0#63
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#101
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#126
Freethrows+0.2#159
Improvement-0.4#202

Defense
Total Defense+7.9#17
First Shot+7.5#12
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#130
Layups/Dunks+3.4#43
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows+1.6#71
Improvement+0.1#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round57.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.9% n/a n/a
Final Four2.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 336   Maine W 100-56 99%     1 - 0 +27.6 +7.6 +15.1
  Nov 17, 2015 243   New Hampshire W 85-66 96%     2 - 0 +11.3 +12.5 -0.5
  Nov 21, 2015 168   Furman W 83-58 93%     3 - 0 +21.6 +15.0 +8.7
  Nov 25, 2015 42   Michigan W 74-60 58%     4 - 0 +24.8 +8.5 +17.2
  Nov 26, 2015 38   Syracuse L 76-79 56%     4 - 1 +8.5 +7.6 +1.0
  Nov 27, 2015 27   Gonzaga L 70-73 48%     4 - 2 +10.5 +2.0 +8.5
  Dec 02, 2015 298   Sacred Heart W 82-49 98%     5 - 2 +21.2 -3.3 +22.2
  Dec 08, 2015 22   Maryland L 66-76 43%     5 - 3 +4.8 -1.0 +6.0
  Dec 12, 2015 69   Ohio St. W 75-55 77%     6 - 3 +25.2 +8.3 +17.3
  Dec 20, 2015 307   Umass Lowell W 88-79 98%     7 - 3 -3.7 +3.7 -7.7
  Dec 23, 2015 351   Central Connecticut St. W 99-52 99%     8 - 3 +26.3 +9.8 +13.9
  Dec 29, 2015 30   @ Texas W 71-66 39%     9 - 3 +20.7 +6.4 +14.4
  Jan 02, 2016 192   @ Tulane W 75-67 87%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +9.0 +3.9 +4.8
  Jan 05, 2016 84   Temple L 53-55 81%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +1.7 -8.9 +10.4
  Jan 09, 2016 71   Memphis W 81-78 78%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +8.0 +7.5 +0.3
  Jan 14, 2016 64   @ Tulsa L 51-60 56%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +2.3 -13.8 +15.6
  Jan 17, 2016 59   @ Houston W 69-57 53%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +24.2 +1.3 +23.4
  Jan 19, 2016 192   Tulane W 60-42 94%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +13.2 -4.2 +19.6
  Jan 23, 2016 70   Georgetown W 68-62 77%     14 - 5 +11.1 +0.6 +10.8
  Jan 28, 2016 32   Cincinnati L 57-58 64%     14 - 6 4 - 3 +8.2 -5.0 +13.2
  Jan 31, 2016 173   @ Central Florida W 67-41 84%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +28.2 +1.1 +28.7
  Feb 04, 2016 71   @ Memphis W 77-57 58%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +30.8 +7.5 +22.3
  Feb 07, 2016 185   East Carolina W 85-67 94%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +13.6 +11.4 +2.6
  Feb 11, 2016 84   @ Temple L 58-63 63%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +4.5 +1.0 +2.8
  Feb 13, 2016 64   Tulsa W 75-73 76%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +7.5 +10.3 -2.7
  Feb 18, 2016 19   SMU W 68-62 53%     19 - 7 9 - 4 +18.2 +7.9 +11.1
  Feb 20, 2016 32   @ Cincinnati L 60-65 42%     19 - 8 9 - 5 +10.1 +3.7 +5.8
  Feb 25, 2016 215   @ South Florida W 81-51 89%     20 - 8 10 - 5 +29.5 +13.4 +17.2
  Feb 28, 2016 59   Houston L 68-75 74%     20 - 9 10 - 6 -0.7 -3.0 +2.1
  Mar 03, 2016 19   @ SMU L 54-80 31%     20 - 10 10 - 7 -7.9 -8.4 -1.3
  Mar 06, 2016 173   Central Florida W 67-46 93%     21 - 10 11 - 7 +17.4 +3.2 +17.0
  Mar 11, 2016 32   Cincinnati W 104-97 4OT 53%     22 - 10 +19.2 +16.8 +0.8
  Mar 12, 2016 84   Temple W 77-62 73%     23 - 10 +21.6 +11.9 +10.2
  Mar 13, 2016 71   Memphis W 72-58 69%     24 - 10 +21.9 +10.1 +12.8
Projected Record 24.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 8.3 0.0 0.6 19.0 42.3 30.6 7.2 0.3
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 8.3 0.0 0.6 19.0 42.3 30.6 7.2 0.3