Pre-tourney Rankings
Tulsa
American Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#64
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#62
Pace71.3#141
Improvement-0.5#200

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#54
First Shot+5.8#39
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#232
Layup/Dunks+4.4#21
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#168
Freethrows+1.9#50
Improvement+1.6#109

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#92
First Shot+3.3#75
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#192
Layups/Dunks+6.9#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#309
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement-2.1#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 37.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four21.0% n/a n/a
First Round25.1% n/a n/a
Second Round8.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 327   Central Arkansas W 98-81 98%     1 - 0 +1.9 +7.9 -7.3
  Nov 17, 2015 24   Wichita St. W 77-67 38%     2 - 0 +21.6 +11.9 +9.5
  Nov 20, 2015 137   Ohio W 90-88 73%     3 - 0 +3.9 +2.5 +1.1
  Nov 22, 2015 165   Indiana St. W 67-59 80%     4 - 0 +7.6 -8.0 +14.9
  Nov 23, 2015 45   South Carolina L 75-83 42%     4 - 1 +2.6 +4.3 -1.1
  Nov 28, 2015 77   Arkansas Little Rock L 60-64 66%     4 - 2 +0.2 -0.3 -0.1
  Dec 02, 2015 82   @ Oklahoma St. W 66-56 45%     5 - 2 +19.7 +5.2 +15.3
  Dec 05, 2015 183   Oral Roberts L 68-70 88%     5 - 3 -6.2 -8.4 +2.2
  Dec 08, 2015 101   Iona W 90-81 72%     6 - 3 +11.4 +5.1 +5.1
  Dec 13, 2015 221   @ Missouri St. W 70-61 80%     7 - 3 +8.4 -5.8 +13.6
  Dec 19, 2015 57   Oregon St. L 71-76 46%     7 - 4 +4.4 +3.5 +0.8
  Dec 22, 2015 345   Northern Arizona W 90-55 98%     8 - 4 +17.2 +5.2 +10.5
  Dec 29, 2015 19   SMU L 69-81 35%     8 - 5 0 - 1 +0.2 +8.6 -9.8
  Jan 02, 2016 32   @ Cincinnati L 57-76 26%     8 - 6 0 - 2 -3.9 -4.5 +0.2
  Jan 05, 2016 185   East Carolina W 55-43 88%     9 - 6 1 - 2 +7.6 -19.6 +27.5
  Jan 10, 2016 192   @ Tulane W 81-67 76%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +15.0 +20.9 -4.4
  Jan 14, 2016 29   Connecticut W 60-51 44%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +19.0 -2.5 +22.1
  Jan 19, 2016 185   @ East Carolina W 84-69 75%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +16.5 +12.2 +4.4
  Jan 24, 2016 173   Central Florida W 75-60 87%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +11.4 +3.0 +8.6
  Jan 27, 2016 59   @ Houston L 66-81 36%     13 - 7 5 - 3 -2.8 -4.8 +1.9
  Jan 30, 2016 192   Tulane W 62-48 89%     14 - 7 6 - 3 +9.2 -13.9 +22.1
  Feb 04, 2016 84   @ Temple L 79-83 OT 45%     14 - 8 6 - 4 +5.5 +1.8 +4.2
  Feb 07, 2016 59   Houston W 77-63 58%     15 - 8 7 - 4 +20.3 +17.5 +5.4
  Feb 10, 2016 19   @ SMU W 82-77 18%     16 - 8 8 - 4 +23.1 +19.9 +3.4
  Feb 13, 2016 29   @ Connecticut L 73-75 24%     16 - 9 8 - 5 +13.9 +15.7 -2.0
  Feb 18, 2016 32   Cincinnati W 70-68 OT 47%     17 - 9 9 - 5 +11.2 -1.5 +12.6
  Feb 21, 2016 173   @ Central Florida W 75-67 72%     18 - 9 10 - 5 +10.2 +4.3 +5.9
  Feb 23, 2016 84   Temple W 74-55 67%     19 - 9 11 - 5 +22.7 +9.2 +14.6
  Feb 28, 2016 71   @ Memphis L 82-92 41%     19 - 10 11 - 6 +0.8 +7.9 -6.1
  Mar 05, 2016 215   South Florida W 84-74 91%     20 - 10 12 - 6 +3.7 +9.5 -5.9
  Mar 11, 2016 71   Memphis L 67-89 52%     20 - 11 -14.1 -3.2 -9.9
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 37.3% 37.3% 10.6 0.1 1.5 10.4 24.6 0.6 62.7 37.3%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 37.3% 0.0% 37.3% 10.6 0.1 1.5 10.4 24.6 0.6 62.7 37.3%