Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana
Big Ten
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.1#13
Expected Predictive Rating+14.8#21
Pace70.3#166
Improvement+2.2#87

Offense
Total Offense+11.5#5
First Shot+8.9#11
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#22
Layup/Dunks+5.6#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#13
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement+1.1#132

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#60
First Shot+3.8#64
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#94
Layups/Dunks-4.0#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#35
Freethrows+3.6#17
Improvement+1.1#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 49.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round80.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen47.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight21.1% n/a n/a
Final Four10.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.6% n/a n/a
National Champion1.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 264   Eastern Illinois W 88-49 98%     1 - 0 +29.7 +13.2 +18.0
  Nov 16, 2015 228   Austin Peay W 102-76 97%     2 - 0 +19.2 +10.3 +5.5
  Nov 19, 2015 43   Creighton W 86-65 79%     3 - 0 +28.8 +9.5 +17.6
  Nov 23, 2015 111   Wake Forest L 78-82 87%     3 - 1 -0.1 +1.4 -1.2
  Nov 24, 2015 209   St. John's W 83-73 95%     4 - 1 +6.9 +11.5 -4.8
  Nov 25, 2015 115   UNLV L 69-72 88%     4 - 2 +0.4 -3.5 +4.1
  Nov 30, 2015 313   Alcorn St. W 112-70 99%     5 - 2 +28.9 +30.5 -2.6
  Dec 02, 2015 17   @ Duke L 74-94 41%     5 - 3 -1.4 +12.1 -15.0
  Dec 05, 2015 144   Morehead St. W 92-59 94%     6 - 3 +31.4 +16.6 +13.8
  Dec 09, 2015 132   Purdue Fort Wayne W 90-65 93%     7 - 3 +24.4 +3.5 +18.1
  Dec 12, 2015 334   McNeese St. W 105-60 99%     8 - 3 +28.8 +15.0 +10.5
  Dec 19, 2015 36   Notre Dame W 80-73 67%     9 - 3 +18.6 +11.7 +7.2
  Dec 22, 2015 258   Kennesaw St. W 99-72 98%     10 - 3 +18.0 +26.3 -6.9
  Dec 30, 2015 271   @ Rutgers W 79-72 96%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +2.9 -0.6 +2.9
  Jan 02, 2016 79   @ Nebraska W 79-69 72%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +19.9 +7.9 +11.7
  Jan 05, 2016 33   Wisconsin W 59-58 75%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +10.0 -0.3 +10.5
  Jan 10, 2016 69   Ohio St. W 85-60 85%     14 - 3 4 - 0 +30.2 +16.3 +13.8
  Jan 16, 2016 176   @ Minnesota W 70-63 90%     15 - 3 5 - 0 +9.1 -2.8 +11.6
  Jan 19, 2016 109   Illinois W 103-69 91%     16 - 3 6 - 0 +35.0 +29.6 +5.2
  Jan 23, 2016 65   Northwestern W 89-57 84%     17 - 3 7 - 0 +37.3 +22.9 +16.1
  Jan 26, 2016 33   @ Wisconsin L 79-82 OT 55%     17 - 4 7 - 1 +11.8 +8.0 +4.1
  Jan 30, 2016 176   Minnesota W 74-68 96%     18 - 4 8 - 1 +2.3 -0.1 +2.3
  Feb 02, 2016 42   @ Michigan W 80-67 59%     19 - 4 9 - 1 +26.7 +10.3 +16.2
  Feb 06, 2016 120   @ Penn St. L 63-68 83%     19 - 5 9 - 2 +0.9 -2.1 +2.8
  Feb 11, 2016 21   Iowa W 85-78 66%     20 - 5 10 - 2 +19.0 +24.2 -4.6
  Feb 14, 2016 2   @ Michigan St. L 69-88 25%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +4.2 +5.7 -1.6
  Feb 17, 2016 79   Nebraska W 80-64 87%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +20.1 +14.1 +7.1
  Feb 20, 2016 9   Purdue W 77-73 58%     22 - 6 12 - 3 +18.1 +20.5 -1.8
  Feb 25, 2016 109   @ Illinois W 74-47 81%     23 - 6 13 - 3 +33.8 +15.7 +22.3
  Mar 01, 2016 21   @ Iowa W 81-78 43%     24 - 6 14 - 3 +20.8 +15.7 +5.1
  Mar 06, 2016 22   Maryland W 80-62 66%     25 - 6 15 - 3 +29.9 +21.8 +10.1
  Mar 11, 2016 42   Michigan L 69-72 70%     25 - 7 +7.8 +2.9 +4.7
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.6 0.0 0.1 7.8 41.2 35.7 14.4 0.7 0.0 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.6 0.0 0.1 7.8 41.2 35.7 14.4 0.7 0.0 100.0%