Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#42
Expected Predictive Rating+12.4#31
Pace64.3#308
Improvement-4.0#314

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#27
First Shot+9.3#8
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#271
Layup/Dunks+2.0#90
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.2#6
Freethrows-0.4#201
Improvement-4.7#338

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#100
First Shot+0.6#155
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#11
Layups/Dunks+2.7#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#343
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#196
Freethrows+2.7#39
Improvement+0.7#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 48.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four37.2% n/a n/a
First Round30.7% n/a n/a
Second Round12.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2015 156   Elon W 88-68 89%     1 - 0 +17.5 +15.2 +2.8
  Nov 20, 2015 15   Xavier L 70-86 42%     1 - 1 -3.1 +2.6 -5.8
  Nov 25, 2015 29   Connecticut L 60-74 42%     1 - 2 -1.0 -1.3 -0.5
  Nov 26, 2015 195   Charlotte W 102-47 88%     2 - 2 +52.9 +25.3 +27.0
  Nov 27, 2015 30   Texas W 78-72 42%     3 - 2 +18.8 +21.2 -1.7
  Dec 01, 2015 74   @ North Carolina St. W 66-59 51%     4 - 2 +17.6 +1.4 +16.7
  Dec 05, 2015 284   Houston Baptist W 82-57 97%     5 - 2 +14.1 +3.7 +11.0
  Dec 08, 2015 19   @ SMU L 58-82 24%     5 - 3 -5.9 -4.2 -3.4
  Dec 12, 2015 349   Delaware St. W 80-33 99%     6 - 3 +27.2 +6.1 +24.6
  Dec 15, 2015 255   Northern Kentucky W 77-62 95%     7 - 3 +6.3 +5.5 +2.1
  Dec 19, 2015 289   Youngstown St. W 105-46 97%     8 - 3 +47.8 +23.6 +24.0
  Dec 23, 2015 343   Bryant W 96-60 99%     9 - 3 +18.6 +24.7 -2.4
  Dec 30, 2015 109   @ Illinois W 78-68 65%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +16.8 +6.7 +10.0
  Jan 02, 2016 120   Penn St. W 79-56 84%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +23.1 +15.0 +10.1
  Jan 07, 2016 9   @ Purdue L 70-87 19%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +3.0 +9.8 -7.5
  Jan 12, 2016 22   Maryland W 70-67 46%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +14.9 +12.1 +3.2
  Jan 17, 2016 21   @ Iowa L 71-82 25%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +6.8 +12.0 -6.1
  Jan 20, 2016 176   Minnesota W 74-69 91%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +1.3 -1.9 +3.0
  Jan 23, 2016 79   @ Nebraska W 81-68 53%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +22.9 +21.2 +3.2
  Jan 27, 2016 271   Rutgers W 68-57 96%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +1.1 -3.4 +5.2
  Jan 30, 2016 120   Penn St. W 79-72 77%     16 - 5 7 - 2 +10.0 +13.2 -2.9
  Feb 02, 2016 13   Indiana L 67-80 41%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +0.2 -3.6 +4.0
  Feb 06, 2016 2   Michigan St. L 73-89 26%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +1.4 +8.0 -7.0
  Feb 10, 2016 176   @ Minnesota W 82-74 79%     17 - 7 8 - 4 +10.1 +14.8 -4.4
  Feb 13, 2016 9   Purdue W 61-56 37%     18 - 7 9 - 4 +19.1 +2.9 +16.9
  Feb 16, 2016 69   @ Ohio St. L 66-76 49%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +1.0 +3.3 -2.7
  Feb 21, 2016 22   @ Maryland L 82-86 25%     18 - 9 9 - 6 +13.7 +10.2 +3.8
  Feb 24, 2016 65   Northwestern W 72-63 70%     19 - 9 10 - 6 +14.3 +9.9 +5.5
  Feb 28, 2016 33   @ Wisconsin L 57-68 35%     19 - 10 10 - 7 +3.8 +0.9 +1.3
  Mar 05, 2016 21   Iowa L 61-71 45%     19 - 11 10 - 8 +2.0 -7.1 +9.2
  Mar 10, 2016 65   Northwestern W 72-70 OT 60%     20 - 11 +10.2 +4.3 +6.0
  Mar 11, 2016 13   Indiana W 72-69 30%     21 - 11 +19.1 +7.8 +11.5
  Mar 12, 2016 9   Purdue L 59-76 27%     21 - 12 +0.0 -5.6 +5.7
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 48.7% 48.7% 10.8 0.0 0.4 1.6 7.1 36.4 3.1 0.0 51.4 48.7%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 48.7% 0.0% 48.7% 10.8 0.0 0.4 1.6 7.1 36.4 3.1 0.0 51.4 48.7%