Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.0#9
Expected Predictive Rating+15.6#14
Pace70.4#161
Improvement-1.7#258

Offense
Total Offense+8.7#21
First Shot+7.4#22
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#84
Layup/Dunks-0.1#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#99
Freethrows+1.8#56
Improvement+2.7#55

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#14
First Shot+5.6#32
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#5
Layups/Dunks+2.7#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#42
Freethrows+2.5#44
Improvement-4.4#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 1.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 89.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round85.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen54.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight26.3% n/a n/a
Final Four13.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.2% n/a n/a
National Champion2.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 337   N.C. A&T W 81-40 99%     1 - 0 +24.5 -1.2 +25.2
  Nov 15, 2015 152   Vermont W 107-79 95%     2 - 0 +25.9 +22.3 +1.2
  Nov 18, 2015 267   Incarnate Word W 96-61 98%     3 - 0 +25.6 +5.3 +15.8
  Nov 21, 2015 118   Old Dominion W 61-39 90%     4 - 0 +25.1 -1.9 +29.6
  Nov 22, 2015 37   Florida W 85-70 70%     5 - 0 +26.6 +17.2 +8.9
  Nov 28, 2015 193   Lehigh W 77-55 97%     6 - 0 +17.1 -3.6 +19.3
  Dec 01, 2015 34   @ Pittsburgh W 72-59 59%     7 - 0 +27.8 +11.5 +17.5
  Dec 05, 2015 116   New Mexico W 70-58 93%     8 - 0 +12.3 -13.0 +23.8
  Dec 07, 2015 213   IUPUI W 80-53 97%     9 - 0 +20.8 +5.3 +15.1
  Dec 09, 2015 332   Howard W 93-55 99%     10 - 0 +22.4 +16.5 +6.5
  Dec 12, 2015 289   Youngstown St. W 95-64 99%     11 - 0 +19.8 +5.7 +11.4
  Dec 19, 2015 31   Butler L 68-74 67%     11 - 1 +6.4 -6.2 +13.0
  Dec 22, 2015 25   Vanderbilt W 68-55 70%     12 - 1 +24.5 -0.1 +24.4
  Dec 29, 2015 33   @ Wisconsin W 61-55 58%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +20.8 +1.7 +19.6
  Jan 02, 2016 21   Iowa L 63-70 69%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +5.0 -1.9 +6.6
  Jan 07, 2016 42   Michigan W 87-70 81%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +24.9 +19.1 +6.5
  Jan 10, 2016 109   @ Illinois L 70-84 83%     14 - 3 2 - 2 -7.2 -1.0 -5.9
  Jan 13, 2016 120   Penn St. W 74-57 93%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +17.1 +4.8 +12.6
  Jan 18, 2016 271   @ Rutgers W 107-57 96%     16 - 3 4 - 2 +45.9 +36.4 +10.7
  Jan 21, 2016 69   Ohio St. W 75-64 86%     17 - 3 5 - 2 +16.2 +11.6 +5.3
  Jan 24, 2016 21   @ Iowa L 71-83 47%     17 - 4 5 - 3 +5.8 +1.1 +5.6
  Jan 27, 2016 176   @ Minnesota W 68-64 91%     18 - 4 6 - 3 +6.1 -2.4 +8.5
  Jan 30, 2016 79   Nebraska W 89-74 88%     19 - 4 7 - 3 +19.1 +15.1 +3.6
  Feb 06, 2016 22   @ Maryland L 61-72 47%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +6.7 -5.2 +12.2
  Feb 09, 2016 2   Michigan St. W 82-81 OT 49%     20 - 5 8 - 4 +18.4 +9.1 +9.2
  Feb 13, 2016 42   @ Michigan L 56-61 63%     20 - 6 8 - 5 +8.7 -5.3 +13.4
  Feb 16, 2016 65   Northwestern W 71-61 86%     21 - 6 9 - 5 +15.3 +10.8 +6.0
  Feb 20, 2016 13   @ Indiana L 73-77 42%     21 - 7 9 - 6 +15.0 +15.2 -0.6
  Feb 27, 2016 22   Maryland W 83-79 69%     22 - 7 10 - 6 +15.9 +18.1 -2.1
  Mar 01, 2016 79   @ Nebraska W 81-62 75%     23 - 7 11 - 6 +28.9 +17.7 +12.4
  Mar 06, 2016 33   Wisconsin W 91-80 78%     24 - 7 12 - 6 +20.0 +28.5 -7.9
  Mar 11, 2016 109   Illinois W 89-58 89%     25 - 7 +34.9 +22.3 +14.2
  Mar 12, 2016 42   Michigan W 76-59 73%     26 - 7 +27.8 +5.9 +21.9
  Mar 13, 2016 2   Michigan St. L 62-66 38%     26 - 8 +16.3 +3.2 +12.7
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.7 0.2 1.6 34.7 52.7 10.2 0.7 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.7 0.2 1.6 34.7 52.7 10.2 0.7 0.0 100.0%