Pre-tourney Rankings
Kentucky
Southeastern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.1#7
Expected Predictive Rating+15.4#15
Pace68.3#223
Improvement+3.9#31

Offense
Total Offense+13.2#1
First Shot+9.2#10
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#4
Layup/Dunks+3.7#44
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#202
Freethrows+1.9#53
Improvement+6.3#2

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#52
First Shot+6.5#22
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#312
Layups/Dunks+3.8#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#9
Freethrows-1.7#283
Improvement-2.4#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 5.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 95.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round88.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen60.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight32.6% n/a n/a
Final Four17.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game9.1% n/a n/a
National Champion4.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 131   Albany W 78-65 95%     1 - 0 +12.4 +5.1 +7.3
  Nov 14, 2015 223   NJIT W 87-57 98%     2 - 0 +23.5 +6.6 +15.3
  Nov 17, 2015 17   Duke W 74-63 60%     3 - 0 +26.7 +8.1 +19.0
  Nov 20, 2015 145   Wright St. W 78-63 96%     4 - 0 +13.3 +6.7 +6.6
  Nov 24, 2015 247   Boston University W 82-62 98%     5 - 0 +12.2 +2.3 +9.2
  Nov 27, 2015 215   South Florida W 84-63 97%     6 - 0 +17.6 +12.5 +5.3
  Nov 30, 2015 121   Illinois St. W 75-63 94%     7 - 0 +12.0 -3.7 +14.4
  Dec 03, 2015 63   @ UCLA L 77-87 74%     7 - 1 +1.4 +7.2 -5.6
  Dec 09, 2015 201   Eastern Kentucky W 88-67 98%     8 - 1 +15.5 +5.1 +9.2
  Dec 12, 2015 86   Arizona St. W 72-58 91%     9 - 1 +17.6 -1.9 +19.0
  Dec 19, 2015 69   Ohio St. L 67-74 83%     9 - 2 +1.1 -1.2 +2.4
  Dec 26, 2015 11   Louisville W 75-73 65%     10 - 2 +16.0 +13.6 +2.5
  Jan 02, 2016 67   Mississippi W 83-61 88%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +27.2 +13.0 +14.5
  Jan 05, 2016 75   @ LSU L 67-85 77%     11 - 3 1 - 1 -7.5 -2.9 -4.7
  Jan 09, 2016 81   @ Alabama W 77-61 78%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +25.9 +19.7 +8.0
  Jan 12, 2016 73   Mississippi St. W 80-74 89%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +10.8 +6.0 +4.5
  Jan 16, 2016 180   @ Auburn L 70-75 93%     13 - 4 3 - 2 -3.0 -6.7 +4.1
  Jan 21, 2016 66   @ Arkansas W 80-66 75%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +25.1 +12.8 +12.4
  Jan 23, 2016 25   Vanderbilt W 76-57 74%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +30.5 +16.8 +15.6
  Jan 27, 2016 143   Missouri W 88-54 96%     16 - 4 6 - 2 +32.4 +11.7 +19.7
  Jan 30, 2016 1   @ Kansas L 84-90 OT 28%     16 - 5 +18.2 +10.3 +8.8
  Feb 02, 2016 91   @ Tennessee L 77-84 81%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +1.9 +6.9 -4.9
  Feb 06, 2016 37   Florida W 80-61 81%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +27.7 +19.8 +9.4
  Feb 09, 2016 62   Georgia W 82-48 87%     18 - 6 8 - 3 +39.8 +23.3 +20.2
  Feb 13, 2016 45   @ South Carolina W 89-62 67%     19 - 6 9 - 3 +40.5 +21.7 +17.7
  Feb 18, 2016 91   Tennessee W 80-70 91%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +13.1 +12.9 +0.8
  Feb 20, 2016 16   @ Texas A&M L 77-79 OT 48%     20 - 7 10 - 4 +16.7 +15.2 +1.5
  Feb 23, 2016 81   Alabama W 78-53 90%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +29.1 +18.0 +13.8
  Feb 27, 2016 25   @ Vanderbilt L 62-74 53%     21 - 8 11 - 5 +5.3 +3.1 +1.1
  Mar 01, 2016 37   @ Florida W 88-79 64%     22 - 8 12 - 5 +23.5 +18.9 +4.1
  Mar 05, 2016 75   LSU W 94-77 89%     23 - 8 13 - 5 +21.6 +15.0 +5.5
  Mar 11, 2016 81   Alabama W 85-59 85%     24 - 8 +33.0 +31.4 +5.8
  Mar 12, 2016 62   Georgia W 93-80 81%     25 - 8 +21.7 +30.2 -8.0
  Mar 13, 2016 16   Texas A&M W 82-77 OT 59%     26 - 8 +20.8 +14.6 +6.0
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.4 1.0 4.7 48.1 41.1 4.7 0.3
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.4 1.0 4.7 48.1 41.1 4.7 0.3