Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama
Southeastern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#81
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#52
Pace63.8#318
Improvement+1.3#126

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#138
First Shot+0.9#150
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#127
Layup/Dunks-0.3#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#86
Freethrows+0.3#156
Improvement+3.0#44

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#42
First Shot+5.5#34
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#176
Layups/Dunks+5.0#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#107
Freethrows+0.6#131
Improvement-1.7#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.2% n/a n/a
First Round3.4% n/a n/a
Second Round0.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 258   Kennesaw St. W 77-64 92%     1 - 0 +4.0 -4.1 +7.5
  Nov 17, 2015 58   @ Dayton L 48-80 30%     1 - 1 -19.7 -18.7 +0.9
  Nov 20, 2015 126   Louisiana W 105-93 76%     2 - 1 +11.7 +16.3 -6.2
  Nov 26, 2015 15   Xavier L 45-64 20%     2 - 2 -3.2 -22.2 +19.5
  Nov 27, 2015 24   Wichita St. W 64-60 23%     3 - 2 +18.5 +7.7 +11.2
  Nov 29, 2015 36   Notre Dame W 74-73 33%     4 - 2 +12.6 +7.8 +4.9
  Dec 04, 2015 302   @ Southern Miss W 58-55 89%     5 - 2 -3.3 -13.8 +10.7
  Dec 13, 2015 48   @ Clemson W 51-50 27%     6 - 2 +14.4 -6.8 +21.4
  Dec 16, 2015 154   Winthrop W 72-60 81%     7 - 2 +9.8 +0.2 +10.4
  Dec 21, 2015 10   Oregon L 68-72 17%     7 - 3 +13.0 +4.4 +8.4
  Dec 29, 2015 293   Jacksonville St. W 67-59 OT 95%     8 - 3 -3.7 -13.0 +9.2
  Jan 02, 2016 241   Norfolk St. W 68-49 91%     9 - 3 +11.4 -2.4 +16.2
  Jan 07, 2016 67   @ Mississippi L 66-74 35%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +3.1 -2.0 +5.0
  Jan 09, 2016 7   Kentucky L 61-77 22%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -0.8 -1.6 -1.0
  Jan 13, 2016 45   South Carolina W 73-50 47%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +30.7 +10.7 +21.4
  Jan 16, 2016 25   @ Vanderbilt L 63-71 17%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +9.3 +2.8 +6.0
  Jan 19, 2016 180   @ Auburn L 77-83 69%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -4.0 +2.0 -5.7
  Jan 23, 2016 75   LSU L 70-72 59%     10 - 8 1 - 5 +2.6 +2.3 +0.2
  Jan 26, 2016 91   Tennessee W 63-57 65%     11 - 8 2 - 5 +9.1 -12.3 +21.1
  Jan 30, 2016 45   @ South Carolina L 64-78 27%     11 - 9 2 - 6 -0.5 -3.6 +3.9
  Feb 02, 2016 73   @ Mississippi St. W 82-80 OT 36%     12 - 9 3 - 6 +12.6 +5.7 +6.8
  Feb 06, 2016 143   Missouri W 80-71 79%     13 - 9 4 - 6 +7.4 +8.8 -1.1
  Feb 10, 2016 16   Texas A&M W 63-62 29%     14 - 9 5 - 6 +13.9 +6.4 +7.6
  Feb 13, 2016 37   @ Florida W 61-55 23%     15 - 9 6 - 6 +20.5 -0.7 +21.4
  Feb 17, 2016 75   @ LSU W 76-69 37%     16 - 9 7 - 6 +17.5 +8.4 +9.3
  Feb 20, 2016 73   Mississippi St. L 61-67 58%     16 - 10 7 - 7 -1.2 -2.9 +1.1
  Feb 23, 2016 7   @ Kentucky L 53-78 10%     16 - 11 7 - 8 -3.9 -7.4 +0.7
  Feb 27, 2016 180   Auburn W 65-57 84%     17 - 11 8 - 8 +4.1 -7.9 +12.1
  Mar 02, 2016 66   Arkansas L 61-62 56%     17 - 12 8 - 9 +4.3 +1.0 +3.2
  Mar 05, 2016 62   @ Georgia L 63-70 33%     17 - 13 8 - 10 +4.6 +3.3 +0.8
  Mar 10, 2016 67   Mississippi W 81-73 45%     18 - 13 +16.1 +9.6 +6.4
  Mar 11, 2016 7   Kentucky L 59-85 15%     18 - 14 -7.9 +0.6 -12.7
Projected Record 18.0 - 14.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 7.8% 7.8% 11.1 0.0 0.4 6.4 0.9 0.0 92.2 7.8%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.8% 0.0% 7.8% 11.1 0.0 0.4 6.4 0.9 0.0 92.2 7.8%