Pre-tourney Rankings
Stony Brook
America East
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#100
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#92
Pace66.8#260
Improvement-2.1#272

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#132
First Shot-0.5#192
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#38
Layup/Dunks+1.3#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#200
Freethrows-0.8#240
Improvement-0.7#218

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#77
First Shot+4.2#58
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#213
Layups/Dunks+1.2#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#96
Freethrows+3.3#26
Improvement-1.4#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round14.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 19, 2015 25   @ Vanderbilt L 72-79 OT 13%     0 - 1 +10.3 +1.4 +9.5
  Nov 21, 2015 181   @ Western Kentucky L 66-67 63%     0 - 2 +0.9 -6.6 +7.5
  Nov 24, 2015 294   @ Loyola Maryland W 76-63 85%     1 - 2 +7.1 -1.0 +8.2
  Dec 05, 2015 76   Princeton W 91-77 53%     2 - 2 +18.6 +13.3 +4.4
  Dec 08, 2015 36   @ Notre Dame L 61-86 19%     2 - 3 -10.4 -8.3 -2.5
  Dec 12, 2015 127   @ Northeastern L 62-75 50%     2 - 4 -7.6 -10.2 +2.9
  Dec 17, 2015 311   @ American W 86-68 88%     3 - 4 +10.9 +13.6 -2.6
  Dec 20, 2015 96   Hofstra W 71-68 60%     4 - 4 +5.8 -0.2 +6.1
  Dec 22, 2015 193   @ Lehigh W 75-62 67%     5 - 4 +13.9 +0.8 +12.9
  Dec 28, 2015 223   @ NJIT W 83-61 72%     6 - 4 +21.4 +10.1 +11.2
  Jan 02, 2016 123   Columbia W 69-60 70%     7 - 4 +8.9 -4.0 +13.4
  Jan 06, 2016 317   @ Binghamton W 62-52 89%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +2.1 -1.6 +4.8
  Jan 09, 2016 307   Umass Lowell W 86-59 94%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +14.3 +5.5 +9.1
  Jan 13, 2016 328   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-74 96%     10 - 4 3 - 0 -3.2 +6.9 -9.4
  Jan 16, 2016 243   @ New Hampshire W 80-50 76%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +28.2 +9.9 +19.2
  Jan 18, 2016 320   @ Hartford W 77-43 89%     12 - 4 5 - 0 +25.8 +2.2 +25.5
  Jan 22, 2016 131   Albany W 69-63 72%     13 - 4 6 - 0 +5.4 -1.7 +7.3
  Jan 25, 2016 336   Maine W 81-54 97%     14 - 4 7 - 0 +10.6 +2.6 +8.9
  Jan 30, 2016 152   @ Vermont W 72-61 56%     15 - 4 8 - 0 +14.7 +1.7 +13.4
  Feb 03, 2016 317   Binghamton W 76-51 95%     16 - 4 9 - 0 +11.3 +12.1 +2.4
  Feb 06, 2016 307   @ Umass Lowell W 91-73 87%     17 - 4 10 - 0 +11.1 +6.3 +3.6
  Feb 08, 2016 320   Hartford W 85-72 95%     18 - 4 11 - 0 -1.0 +3.6 -4.5
  Feb 11, 2016 328   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-52 91%     19 - 4 12 - 0 +13.7 -4.4 +18.4
  Feb 14, 2016 243   New Hampshire W 59-58 89%     20 - 4 13 - 0 -6.7 -11.9 +5.3
  Feb 17, 2016 131   @ Albany L 70-82 51%     20 - 5 13 - 1 -6.7 -3.8 -2.3
  Feb 21, 2016 336   @ Maine W 75-56 92%     21 - 5 14 - 1 +8.4 -7.0 +14.5
  Feb 27, 2016 152   Vermont L 62-76 76%     21 - 6 14 - 2 -16.1 -11.9 -4.5
  Mar 02, 2016 328   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-76 96%     22 - 6 -5.2 +7.8 -12.4
  Mar 07, 2016 320   Hartford W 80-64 95%     23 - 6 +2.0 +2.0 +0.8
  Mar 12, 2016 152   Vermont W 80-74 76%     24 - 6 +3.9 +3.7 +0.1
Projected Record 24.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.5 0.1 3.5 38.7 57.0 0.7
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.1 3.5 38.7 57.0 0.7