Pre-tourney Rankings
California
Pac-12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#57
Expected Predictive Rating+9.7#57
Pace62.2#305
Improvement+1.7#91

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#155
First Shot-2.2#240
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#22
Layup/Dunks-0.3#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#206
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#258
Freethrows+1.2#96
Improvement+0.8#137

Defense
Total Defense+8.9#15
First Shot+6.6#24
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#7
Layups/Dunks+5.8#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#48
Freethrows+1.7#73
Improvement+1.0#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.0% n/a n/a
First Round7.0% n/a n/a
Second Round1.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 175   South Dakota St. W 82-53 87%     1 - 0 +26.1 +0.8 +24.3
  Nov 16, 2016 143   UC Irvine W 75-65 OT 84%     2 - 0 +8.6 +9.3 -0.1
  Nov 21, 2016 80   San Diego St. L 65-77 62%     2 - 1 -5.8 -0.9 -4.8
  Nov 25, 2016 140   Wyoming W 71-61 84%     3 - 1 +8.8 -4.0 +12.4
  Nov 27, 2016 249   SE Louisiana W 67-55 94%     4 - 1 +4.2 -1.5 +6.6
  Nov 30, 2016 101   Louisiana Tech W 68-59 OT 77%     5 - 1 +10.7 -7.3 +17.6
  Dec 03, 2016 290   Alcorn St. W 83-59 96%     6 - 1 +13.3 +7.6 +5.7
  Dec 06, 2016 76   Princeton W 62-51 60%     7 - 1 +17.9 +2.7 +16.8
  Dec 07, 2016 42   Seton Hall L 57-60 43%     7 - 2 +8.4 -3.3 +11.3
  Dec 10, 2016 213   UC Davis W 86-61 92%     8 - 2 +19.2 +10.2 +8.0
  Dec 17, 2016 301   Cal Poly W 81-55 96%     9 - 2 +14.5 +12.3 +5.8
  Dec 21, 2016 11   Virginia L 52-56 28%     9 - 3 +11.4 -2.0 +12.8
  Dec 30, 2016 19   Arizona L 62-67 32%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +9.1 -1.1 +10.0
  Jan 01, 2017 114   Arizona St. W 81-65 80%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +16.5 +11.5 +6.3
  Jan 05, 2017 12   @ UCLA L 71-81 16%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +10.3 +1.2 +9.5
  Jan 08, 2017 58   @ USC W 74-73 41%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +12.8 +10.6 +2.3
  Jan 12, 2017 156   Washington W 69-59 86%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +8.0 +3.9 +5.5
  Jan 14, 2017 171   Washington St. W 58-54 87%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +1.3 -3.3 +5.5
  Jan 19, 2017 14   @ Oregon L 63-86 16%     13 - 6 4 - 3 -2.8 +5.3 -10.1
  Jan 21, 2017 236   @ Oregon St. W 69-58 86%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +8.9 +7.8 +2.9
  Jan 29, 2017 95   Stanford W 66-55 76%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +13.2 +2.4 +12.1
  Feb 02, 2017 48   Utah W 77-75 2OT 54%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +10.3 -2.7 +12.8
  Feb 05, 2017 72   Colorado W 77-66 66%     17 - 6 8 - 3 +16.2 +12.7 +4.6
  Feb 08, 2017 114   @ Arizona St. W 68-43 65%     18 - 6 9 - 3 +30.6 +1.1 +31.9
  Feb 11, 2017 19   @ Arizona L 57-62 18%     18 - 7 9 - 4 +14.2 +5.5 +7.7
  Feb 17, 2017 95   @ Stanford L 68-73 58%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +2.3 +4.3 -2.3
  Feb 22, 2017 14   Oregon L 65-68 29%     18 - 9 9 - 6 +12.2 +9.3 +2.4
  Feb 24, 2017 236   Oregon St. W 76-46 93%     19 - 9 10 - 6 +22.8 +6.9 +18.1
  Mar 02, 2017 48   @ Utah L 44-74 35%     19 - 10 10 - 7 -16.6 -20.7 +1.8
  Mar 04, 2017 72   @ Colorado L 46-54 47%     19 - 11 10 - 8 +2.3 -17.1 +18.3
  Mar 08, 2017 236   Oregon St. W 67-62 90%     20 - 11 +0.3 +1.1 -0.2
  Mar 09, 2017 48   Utah W 78-75 45%     21 - 11 +13.9 +17.2 -3.0
  Mar 10, 2017 14   Oregon L 65-73 22%     21 - 12 +9.7 +5.4 +3.6
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 16.1% 16.1% 11.8 0.0 3.4 12.6 0.1 83.9 16.1%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 16.1% 0.0% 16.1% 11.8 0.0 3.4 12.6 0.1 83.9 16.1%