Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah
Pac-12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#48
Expected Predictive Rating+7.7#72
Pace67.8#177
Improvement+1.5#99

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#33
First Shot+5.3#44
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#40
Layup/Dunks+9.7#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#255
Freethrows-0.1#180
Improvement+0.6#146

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#79
First Shot+1.8#118
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#23
Layups/Dunks+1.7#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#179
Freethrows+2.7#38
Improvement+0.9#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.3% n/a n/a
First Round0.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2016 343   Coppin St. W 94-51 99%     1 - 0 +24.7 +7.5 +15.7
  Nov 25, 2016 307   UC Riverside W 85-67 97%     2 - 0 +5.9 +10.4 -4.5
  Nov 28, 2016 26   Butler L 59-68 43%     2 - 1 +3.8 -6.6 +9.9
  Dec 01, 2016 243   Montana St. W 92-84 95%     3 - 1 +0.6 +5.1 -5.3
  Dec 06, 2016 190   Utah Valley W 87-80 91%     4 - 1 +3.1 +11.5 -8.7
  Dec 10, 2016 41   @ Xavier L 69-77 38%     4 - 2 +5.9 +9.8 -5.0
  Dec 17, 2016 321   Prairie View W 92-60 98%     5 - 2 +18.7 +16.1 +3.8
  Dec 22, 2016 104   San Francisco L 86-89 75%     5 - 3 +0.9 +7.0 -5.7
  Dec 23, 2016 264   @ Hawaii W 66-52 90%     6 - 3 +10.5 -3.4 +14.7
  Dec 25, 2016 228   Stephen F. Austin W 74-66 91%     7 - 3 +3.7 +7.1 -2.8
  Jan 01, 2017 72   Colorado W 76-60 71%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +21.2 +6.9 +14.9
  Jan 05, 2017 19   @ Arizona L 56-66 21%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +9.2 -0.3 +8.1
  Jan 07, 2017 114   @ Arizona St. W 88-82 69%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +11.6 +8.3 +2.8
  Jan 12, 2017 58   USC W 86-64 65%     10 - 4 3 - 1 +28.8 +21.0 +9.2
  Jan 14, 2017 12   UCLA L 82-83 34%     10 - 5 3 - 2 +14.2 +11.6 +2.7
  Jan 18, 2017 171   @ Washington St. W 88-47 79%     11 - 5 4 - 2 +43.4 +21.0 +24.5
  Jan 21, 2017 156   @ Washington W 94-72 77%     12 - 5 5 - 2 +25.0 +23.3 +2.2
  Jan 26, 2017 14   Oregon L 67-73 34%     12 - 6 5 - 3 +9.2 +6.8 +1.9
  Jan 28, 2017 236   Oregon St. W 86-78 94%     13 - 6 6 - 3 +0.8 +13.3 -12.3
  Feb 02, 2017 57   @ California L 75-77 2OT 46%     13 - 7 6 - 4 +10.0 +3.5 +6.7
  Feb 04, 2017 95   @ Stanford L 75-81 64%     13 - 8 6 - 5 +1.3 +7.9 -6.7
  Feb 09, 2017 171   Washington St. W 74-70 89%     14 - 8 7 - 5 +1.3 +0.2 +1.1
  Feb 11, 2017 156   Washington W 85-61 88%     15 - 8 8 - 5 +22.0 +18.6 +5.9
  Feb 16, 2017 14   @ Oregon L 61-79 19%     15 - 9 8 - 6 +2.2 -1.8 +3.9
  Feb 19, 2017 236   @ Oregon St. L 67-68 88%     15 - 10 8 - 7 -3.1 +0.4 -3.6
  Feb 23, 2017 72   @ Colorado W 86-81 52%     16 - 10 9 - 7 +15.3 +21.8 -6.2
  Mar 02, 2017 57   California W 74-44 65%     17 - 10 10 - 7 +36.9 +14.4 +24.7
  Mar 04, 2017 95   Stanford W 67-59 79%     18 - 10 11 - 7 +10.2 +6.3 +5.1
  Mar 09, 2017 57   California L 75-78 55%     18 - 11 +6.5 +19.3 -13.2
Projected Record 18.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 1.3% 1.3% 11.8 0.3 1.1 0.0 98.7 1.3%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 0.0% 1.3% 11.8 0.3 1.1 0.0 98.7 1.3%