Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.2#13
Expected Predictive Rating+18.9#4
Pace73.7#64
Improvement-2.1#270

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#13
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-2.3#287

Defense
Total Defense+7.6#13
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.2#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 37.8% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 89.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round91.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen58.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight31.5% n/a n/a
Final Four13.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.4% n/a n/a
National Champion2.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 281   Morehead St. W 101-49 98%     1 - 0 +41.8 -5.1 -5.1
  Nov 13, 2017 136   Rider W 101-75 93%     2 - 0 +24.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Nov 16, 2017 64   @ Wisconsin W 80-70 65%     3 - 0 +21.3 +5.7 +5.7
  Nov 20, 2017 258   Hampton W 96-60 98%     4 - 0 +27.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Nov 23, 2017 176   George Washington W 83-64 92%     5 - 0 +18.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Nov 24, 2017 48   Arizona St. L 86-102 70%     5 - 1 -6.1 +4.9 +4.9
  Nov 28, 2017 29   Baylor W 76-63 72%     6 - 1 +22.1 +4.5 +4.5
  Dec 02, 2017 5   Cincinnati W 89-76 51%     7 - 1 +28.0 +7.5 +7.5
  Dec 06, 2017 207   Kent St. W 96-70 96%     8 - 1 +20.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Dec 09, 2017 107   Colorado W 96-69 90%     9 - 1 +28.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Dec 16, 2017 99   East Tennessee St. W 68-66 89%     10 - 1 +4.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Dec 19, 2017 115   Marshall W 81-77 91%     11 - 1 +4.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 22, 2017 123   @ Northern Iowa W 77-67 82%     12 - 1 +15.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Dec 27, 2017 49   @ Marquette W 91-87 59%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +16.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Dec 30, 2017 101   DePaul W 77-72 89%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +6.9 +0.9 +0.9
  Jan 02, 2018 24   Butler W 86-79 70%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +16.7 +4.9 +4.9
  Jan 06, 2018 57   @ Providence L 72-81 62%     15 - 2 3 - 1 +3.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Jan 10, 2018 1   @ Villanova L 65-89 19%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +0.6 +12.3 +12.3
  Jan 13, 2018 26   Creighton W 92-70 72%     16 - 3 4 - 2 +31.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Jan 17, 2018 69   St. John's W 88-82 84%     17 - 3 5 - 2 +10.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 20, 2018 25   @ Seton Hall W 73-64 49%     18 - 3 6 - 2 +24.4 +7.7 +7.7
  Jan 24, 2018 49   Marquette W 89-70 79%     19 - 3 7 - 2 +25.8 +3.4 +3.4
  Jan 30, 2018 69   @ St. John's W 73-68 66%     20 - 3 8 - 2 +15.9 +5.4 +5.4
  Feb 03, 2018 97   Georgetown W 96-91 OT 89%     21 - 3 9 - 2 +7.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 06, 2018 24   @ Butler W 98-93 OT 48%     22 - 3 10 - 2 +20.8 +7.9 +7.9
  Feb 10, 2018 26   @ Creighton W 72-71 50%     23 - 3 11 - 2 +16.3 +7.6 +7.6
  Feb 14, 2018 25   Seton Hall W 102-90 72%     24 - 3 12 - 2 +21.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 17, 2018 1   Villanova L 79-95 37%     24 - 4 12 - 3 +2.5 +9.3 +9.3
  Feb 21, 2018 97   @ Georgetown W 89-77 75%     25 - 4 13 - 3 +20.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 28, 2018 57   Providence W 84-74 81%     26 - 4 14 - 3 +16.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Mar 03, 2018 101   @ DePaul W 65-62 76%     27 - 4 15 - 3 +10.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Mar 08, 2018 69   St. John's W 88-60 84%     28 - 4 +32.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Mar 09, 2018 57   Providence L 72-75 OT 73%     28 - 5 +6.0 +4.5 +4.5
Projected Record 28.0 - 5.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.7 37.8 51.9 10.0 0.2 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.7 37.8 51.9 10.0 0.2 100.0%