Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona
Pac-12
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.0#20
Expected Predictive Rating+14.0#20
Pace67.3#221
Improvement+1.1#132

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#20
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.1#240

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#20
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.3#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 30.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round72.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen37.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.5% n/a n/a
Final Four6.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 330   Northern Arizona W 101-67 99%     1 - 0 +19.2 -7.4 -7.4
  Nov 12, 2017 182   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 103-78 94%     2 - 0 +20.9 -2.1 -2.1
  Nov 16, 2017 234   Cal St. Bakersfield W 91-59 96%     3 - 0 +24.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Nov 22, 2017 39   North Carolina St. L 84-90 61%     3 - 1 +5.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Nov 23, 2017 85   SMU L 60-66 77%     3 - 2 +0.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Nov 24, 2017 4   Purdue L 64-89 34%     3 - 3 -6.9 +9.0 +9.0
  Nov 29, 2017 201   Long Beach St. W 91-56 95%     4 - 3 +29.6 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 02, 2017 112   @ UNLV W 91-88 OT 74%     5 - 3 +10.1 +3.6 +3.6
  Dec 05, 2017 30   Texas A&M W 67-64 57%     6 - 3 +15.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Dec 09, 2017 46   Alabama W 88-82 74%     7 - 3 +13.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Dec 16, 2017 105   @ New Mexico W 89-73 73%     8 - 3 +23.6 +3.8 +3.8
  Dec 18, 2017 172   North Dakota St. W 83-53 94%     9 - 3 +26.6 -1.7 -1.7
  Dec 21, 2017 153   Connecticut W 73-58 92%     10 - 3 +12.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 30, 2017 48   Arizona St. W 84-78 75%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +12.9 +3.4 +3.4
  Jan 04, 2018 62   @ Utah W 94-82 59%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +23.6 +5.8 +5.8
  Jan 06, 2018 107   @ Colorado L 77-80 73%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +4.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2018 90   Oregon St. W 62-53 85%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +11.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 13, 2018 65   Oregon W 90-83 80%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +12.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Jan 17, 2018 233   @ California W 79-58 91%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +19.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 20, 2018 78   @ Stanford W 73-71 65%     16 - 4 6 - 1 +11.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 25, 2018 107   Colorado W 80-71 88%     17 - 4 7 - 1 +10.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 27, 2018 62   Utah W 74-73 79%     18 - 4 8 - 1 +6.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 31, 2018 181   @ Washington St. W 100-72 87%     19 - 4 9 - 1 +30.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 03, 2018 96   @ Washington L 75-78 71%     19 - 5 9 - 2 +5.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 08, 2018 44   UCLA L 74-82 73%     19 - 6 9 - 3 -0.6 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 10, 2018 36   USC W 81-67 71%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +22.3 +4.2 +4.2
  Feb 15, 2018 48   @ Arizona St. W 77-70 54%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +19.9 +6.4 +6.4
  Feb 22, 2018 90   @ Oregon St. W 75-65 OT 69%     22 - 6 12 - 3 +18.7 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 24, 2018 65   @ Oregon L 93-98 OT 61%     22 - 7 12 - 4 +6.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Mar 01, 2018 78   Stanford W 75-67 83%     23 - 7 13 - 4 +11.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Mar 03, 2018 233   California W 66-54 96%     24 - 7 14 - 4 +4.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Mar 08, 2018 107   Colorado W 83-67 82%     25 - 7 +20.5 +2.2 +2.2
  Mar 09, 2018 44   UCLA W 78-67 OT 63%     26 - 7 +21.5 +5.2 +5.2
  Mar 10, 2018 36   USC W 75-61 60%     27 - 7 +25.3 +5.7 +5.7
Projected Record 27.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.9 0.1 7.2 23.5 45.7 22.5 1.0 0.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4.9 0.1 7.2 23.5 45.7 22.5 1.0 0.0