Pre-tourney Rankings
USC
Pac-12
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#36
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#54
Pace68.2#204
Improvement+1.4#115

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#36
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.7#217

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#36
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.1#92
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.1% n/a n/a
First Round66.9% n/a n/a
Second Round32.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.6% n/a n/a
Final Four1.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 165   Cal St. Fullerton W 84-42 90%     1 - 0 +39.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Nov 13, 2017 172   North Dakota St. W 75-65 91%     2 - 0 +6.6 -1.7 -1.7
  Nov 19, 2017 84   @ Vanderbilt W 93-89 OT 57%     3 - 0 +13.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Nov 22, 2017 220   Lehigh W 88-63 94%     4 - 0 +18.5 -3.3 -3.3
  Nov 26, 2017 30   Texas A&M L 59-75 59%     4 - 1 -7.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Dec 02, 2017 85   @ SMU L 55-72 58%     4 - 2 -7.6 +4.7 +4.7
  Dec 08, 2017 42   Oklahoma L 83-85 53%     4 - 3 +8.7 +5.3 +5.3
  Dec 14, 2017 261   Santa Clara W 82-59 96%     5 - 3 +13.9 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 17, 2017 128   UC Santa Barbara W 98-87 87%     6 - 3 +10.1 -0.4 -0.4
  Dec 19, 2017 184   Princeton L 93-103 OT 92%     6 - 4 -14.3 -2.1 -2.1
  Dec 22, 2017 251   Akron W 84-53 93%     7 - 4 +25.5 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 23, 2017 63   Middle Tennessee W 89-84 61%     8 - 4 +13.4 +4.2 +4.2
  Dec 25, 2017 60   New Mexico St. W 77-72 59%     9 - 4 +13.9 +4.4 +4.4
  Dec 29, 2017 96   Washington L 81-88 81%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -5.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Dec 31, 2017 181   Washington St. W 89-71 92%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +13.9 -2.0 -2.0
  Jan 04, 2018 233   @ California W 80-62 87%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +16.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 07, 2018 78   @ Stanford L 76-77 55%     11 - 6 2 - 2 +8.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 10, 2018 107   Colorado W 70-58 82%     12 - 6 3 - 2 +13.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 14, 2018 62   Utah W 84-67 71%     13 - 6 4 - 2 +22.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 18, 2018 65   @ Oregon W 75-70 50%     14 - 6 5 - 2 +16.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Jan 20, 2018 90   @ Oregon St. W 74-67 60%     15 - 6 6 - 2 +15.7 +4.4 +4.4
  Jan 24, 2018 78   Stanford W 69-64 76%     16 - 6 7 - 2 +8.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 28, 2018 233   California W 77-59 95%     17 - 6 8 - 2 +10.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Feb 03, 2018 44   @ UCLA L 79-82 42%     17 - 7 8 - 3 +10.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Feb 08, 2018 48   @ Arizona St. L 78-80 44%     17 - 8 8 - 4 +10.9 +6.4 +6.4
  Feb 10, 2018 20   @ Arizona L 67-81 29%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +3.0 +8.5 +8.5
  Feb 15, 2018 65   Oregon W 72-70 72%     18 - 9 9 - 5 +7.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Feb 17, 2018 90   Oregon St. W 72-59 79%     19 - 9 10 - 5 +15.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 21, 2018 107   @ Colorado W 75-64 65%     20 - 9 11 - 5 +18.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 24, 2018 62   @ Utah W 74-58 49%     21 - 9 12 - 5 +27.6 +5.8 +5.8
  Mar 03, 2018 44   UCLA L 72-83 65%     21 - 10 12 - 6 -3.6 +3.7 +3.7
  Mar 08, 2018 90   Oregon St. W 61-48 71%     22 - 10 +18.7 +2.9 +2.9
  Mar 09, 2018 65   Oregon W 74-54 62%     23 - 10 +28.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Mar 10, 2018 20   Arizona L 61-75 40%     23 - 11 +0.0 +7.0 +7.0
Projected Record 23.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 74.2% 74.2% 9.8 0.0 0.6 6.3 15.4 34.7 17.2 25.8 74.2%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 74.2% 0.0% 74.2% 9.8 0.0 0.6 6.3 15.4 34.7 17.2 25.8 74.2%