Pre-tourney Rankings
Butler
Big East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#69
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#76
Pace65.7#264
Improvement-8.1#350

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#53
First Shot+5.5#34
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#222
Layup/Dunks+2.0#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#53
Freethrows-1.1#259
Improvement-4.4#331

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#111
First Shot+0.3#164
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#16
Layups/Dunks+1.0#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
Freethrows+0.1#176
Improvement-3.7#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 7.01.0 - 10.0
Quad 28.0 - 5.09.0 - 15.0
Quad 34.0 - 1.013.0 - 16.0
Quad 43.0 - 0.016.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 152   Miami (OH) W 90-68 80%     1 - 0 +20.2 +22.9 -1.3
  Nov 12, 2018 255   Detroit Mercy W 84-63 92%     2 - 0 +12.7 -1.4 +12.9
  Nov 16, 2018 41   Mississippi W 83-76 47%     3 - 0 +15.0 +13.9 +1.2
  Nov 21, 2018 63   Dayton L 64-69 48%     3 - 1 +2.8 -2.9 +5.4
  Nov 22, 2018 239   Middle Tennessee W 84-53 86%     4 - 1 +26.5 +15.6 +12.8
  Nov 23, 2018 28   Florida W 61-54 29%     5 - 1 +20.1 +10.1 +11.5
  Dec 01, 2018 102   @ Saint Louis L 52-64 49%     5 - 2 -4.5 -13.6 +8.9
  Dec 05, 2018 149   Brown W 70-55 80%     6 - 2 +13.4 +8.2 +6.8
  Dec 08, 2018 135   Northern Illinois W 95-68 77%     7 - 2 +26.6 +30.2 -0.9
  Dec 15, 2018 39   Indiana L 68-71 35%     7 - 3 +8.1 +7.3 +0.5
  Dec 18, 2018 199   Presbyterian W 76-67 87%     8 - 3 +3.8 +0.1 +4.2
  Dec 21, 2018 80   UC Irvine W 71-54 64%     9 - 3 +20.4 +5.9 +15.6
  Dec 29, 2018 28   @ Florida L 43-77 21%     9 - 4 -18.1 -12.9 -10.7
  Jan 02, 2019 76   Georgetown L 76-84 64%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -4.3 -3.3 -0.3
  Jan 05, 2019 49   Creighton W 84-69 50%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +22.3 +14.5 +8.0
  Jan 09, 2019 50   @ Seton Hall L 75-76 30%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +11.5 +6.8 +4.8
  Jan 13, 2019 60   @ Xavier L 69-70 36%     10 - 7 1 - 3 +9.9 +9.6 +0.1
  Jan 16, 2019 91   @ DePaul W 87-69 46%     11 - 7 2 - 3 +26.2 +17.0 +9.4
  Jan 19, 2019 73   St. John's W 80-71 62%     12 - 7 3 - 3 +13.2 +3.7 +9.0
  Jan 22, 2019 24   Villanova L 72-80 36%     12 - 8 3 - 4 +2.9 +12.0 -10.3
  Jan 25, 2019 49   @ Creighton L 61-75 29%     12 - 9 3 - 5 -1.1 -9.4 +8.9
  Jan 30, 2019 27   Marquette L 58-76 37%     12 - 10 3 - 6 -7.3 -8.7 +0.8
  Feb 02, 2019 50   Seton Hall W 70-68 51%     13 - 10 4 - 6 +9.0 +8.8 +0.4
  Feb 09, 2019 76   @ Georgetown W 73-69 42%     14 - 10 5 - 6 +13.2 +5.7 +7.6
  Feb 12, 2019 73   @ St. John's L 73-77 OT 40%     14 - 11 5 - 7 +5.7 -2.9 +9.0
  Feb 16, 2019 91   DePaul W 91-78 67%     15 - 11 6 - 7 +15.6 +23.6 -7.1
  Feb 20, 2019 27   @ Marquette L 69-79 20%     15 - 12 6 - 8 +6.2 +3.9 +2.3
  Feb 26, 2019 64   Providence L 67-73 OT 59%     15 - 13 6 - 9 -1.0 -4.0 +3.3
  Mar 02, 2019 24   @ Villanova L 54-75 19%     15 - 14 6 - 10 -4.6 -7.4 +0.5
  Mar 05, 2019 60   Xavier W 71-66 57%     16 - 14 7 - 10 +10.3 +0.2 +10.1
  Mar 09, 2019 64   @ Providence L 70-83 37%     16 - 15 7 - 11 -2.5 +7.1 -9.9
  Mar 13, 2019 64   Providence L 57-80 48%     16 - 16 -15.3 -5.0 -11.7
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%