Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#64
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#69
Pace68.6#182
Improvement+1.5#120

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#156
First Shot-0.5#193
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#80
Layup/Dunks-0.1#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#271
Freethrows+2.3#41
Improvement-2.2#281

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#24
First Shot+4.8#51
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#7
Layups/Dunks+1.5#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#33
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement+3.8#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four3.4% n/a n/a
First Round1.8% n/a n/a
Second Round0.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 3.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b3.0 - 5.04.0 - 8.0
Quad 25.0 - 5.09.0 - 13.0
Quad 33.0 - 1.012.0 - 14.0
Quad 46.0 - 1.018.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 250   Siena W 77-67 92%     1 - 0 +1.9 +11.8 -8.5
  Nov 09, 2018 88   Wichita St. L 80-83 58%     1 - 1 +2.7 +9.9 -7.1
  Nov 13, 2018 243   Holy Cross W 70-61 92%     2 - 1 +1.2 -6.3 +7.7
  Nov 17, 2018 62   South Carolina W 76-67 50%     3 - 1 +16.8 +6.2 +10.4
  Nov 18, 2018 6   Michigan L 47-66 13%     3 - 2 +0.9 -9.1 +8.0
  Nov 24, 2018 191   Iona W 91-79 88%     4 - 2 +7.3 +8.2 -1.6
  Nov 27, 2018 219   Fairleigh Dickinson W 69-59 90%     5 - 2 +4.0 -6.8 +11.2
  Dec 01, 2018 133   Rhode Island W 59-50 78%     6 - 2 +8.7 -11.9 +20.7
  Dec 04, 2018 106   @ Boston College W 100-95 OT 51%     7 - 2 +12.4 +15.9 -4.2
  Dec 07, 2018 225   Massachusetts L 78-79 90%     7 - 3 -7.4 +2.1 -9.5
  Dec 16, 2018 325   Central Connecticut St. W 87-63 97%     8 - 3 +10.2 +14.0 -2.0
  Dec 18, 2018 271   Albany W 73-43 93%     9 - 3 +20.9 -4.9 +25.3
  Dec 21, 2018 30   @ Texas W 71-65 24%     10 - 3 +21.3 +1.3 +19.7
  Dec 31, 2018 49   Creighton L 68-79 52%     10 - 4 0 - 1 -3.7 -0.7 -3.3
  Jan 05, 2019 24   Villanova L 59-65 38%     10 - 5 0 - 2 +4.9 -7.4 +11.9
  Jan 12, 2019 76   @ Georgetown L 90-96 2OT 44%     10 - 6 0 - 3 +3.2 +2.1 +2.4
  Jan 15, 2019 50   Seton Hall W 72-63 53%     11 - 6 1 - 3 +16.0 -0.7 +16.2
  Jan 20, 2019 27   @ Marquette L 68-79 21%     11 - 7 1 - 4 +5.2 +3.6 +1.4
  Jan 23, 2019 60   @ Xavier W 64-62 38%     12 - 7 2 - 4 +12.9 +3.4 +9.7
  Jan 27, 2019 91   DePaul W 70-67 69%     13 - 7 3 - 4 +5.6 -3.2 +8.8
  Jan 30, 2019 50   @ Seton Hall L 63-65 32%     13 - 8 3 - 5 +10.5 -2.7 +13.2
  Feb 02, 2019 91   @ DePaul L 55-67 48%     13 - 9 3 - 6 -3.8 -16.8 +13.1
  Feb 06, 2019 76   Georgetown L 67-76 65%     13 - 10 3 - 7 -5.3 -7.9 +3.0
  Feb 09, 2019 73   @ St. John's W 70-56 42%     14 - 10 4 - 7 +23.7 +7.6 +17.4
  Feb 13, 2019 24   @ Villanova L 67-85 21%     14 - 11 4 - 8 -1.6 +4.4 -7.3
  Feb 16, 2019 60   Xavier L 61-75 59%     14 - 12 4 - 9 -8.7 -8.3 -0.8
  Feb 20, 2019 73   St. John's W 78-59 64%     15 - 12 5 - 9 +23.2 +3.2 +19.2
  Feb 23, 2019 27   Marquette L 58-76 39%     15 - 13 5 - 10 -7.3 -3.2 -6.4
  Feb 26, 2019 69   @ Butler W 73-67 OT 41%     16 - 13 6 - 10 +16.0 -0.2 +15.9
  Mar 06, 2019 49   @ Creighton L 70-76 OT 31%     16 - 14 6 - 11 +6.9 -3.3 +10.7
  Mar 09, 2019 69   Butler W 83-70 63%     17 - 14 7 - 11 +17.5 +13.0 +4.7
  Mar 13, 2019 69   Butler W 80-57 52%     18 - 14 +30.2 +14.9 +16.9
  Mar 14, 2019 24   Villanova L 62-73 29%     18 - 15 +2.6 -9.1 +12.1
Projected Record 18.0 - 15.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 3.8% 3.8% 11.5 0.1 1.6 2.1 96.2 3.8%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 0.0% 3.8% 11.5 0.1 1.6 2.1 96.2 3.8%