Pre-tourney Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.4#27
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#29
Pace71.4#106
Improvement+0.3#166

Offense
Total Offense+7.5#20
First Shot+7.2#16
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#147
Layup/Dunks-1.5#230
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#32
Freethrows+2.7#21
Improvement+0.1#184

Defense
Total Defense+5.9#37
First Shot+4.7#52
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#64
Layups/Dunks-0.5#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#32
Freethrows-0.4#203
Improvement+0.2#170
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 2.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 83.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round64.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen26.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.1% n/a n/a
Final Four2.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2.0 - 2.02.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b8.0 - 3.010.0 - 5.0
Quad 26.0 - 3.016.0 - 8.0
Quad 31.0 - 1.017.0 - 9.0
Quad 47.0 - 0.024.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 230   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 67-42 96%     1 - 0 +18.3 -2.1 +21.6
  Nov 10, 2018 310   Bethune-Cookman W 92-59 98%     2 - 0 +21.0 +4.5 +12.2
  Nov 14, 2018 39   @ Indiana L 73-96 48%     2 - 1 -9.1 +3.8 -11.5
  Nov 17, 2018 199   Presbyterian W 74-55 95%     3 - 1 +13.8 -2.0 +16.8
  Nov 21, 2018 17   Kansas L 68-77 44%     3 - 2 +6.1 +6.1 -0.4
  Nov 23, 2018 19   Louisville W 77-74 OT 44%     4 - 2 +17.9 +9.0 +8.7
  Nov 27, 2018 176   Charleston Southern W 76-55 94%     5 - 2 +17.3 +3.4 +14.0
  Dec 01, 2018 21   Kansas St. W 83-71 56%     6 - 2 +23.8 +13.0 +9.8
  Dec 04, 2018 290   UTEP W 76-69 98%     7 - 2 -3.1 -0.3 -3.2
  Dec 08, 2018 14   Wisconsin W 74-69 OT 51%     8 - 2 +18.2 +6.8 +11.0
  Dec 18, 2018 258   North Dakota W 92-66 97%     9 - 2 +17.5 +3.6 +10.3
  Dec 21, 2018 22   Buffalo W 103-85 57%     10 - 2 +29.6 +25.2 +2.7
  Dec 28, 2018 336   Southern W 84-41 99%     11 - 2 +26.6 +0.8 +24.2
  Jan 01, 2019 73   @ St. John's L 69-89 64%     11 - 3 0 - 1 -10.3 -2.1 -7.5
  Jan 06, 2019 60   Xavier W 70-52 78%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +23.3 -4.2 +26.8
  Jan 09, 2019 49   @ Creighton W 106-104 OT 52%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +14.9 +25.4 -10.7
  Jan 12, 2019 50   Seton Hall W 70-66 73%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +11.0 -2.0 +12.8
  Jan 15, 2019 76   @ Georgetown W 74-71 66%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +12.2 +5.1 +7.1
  Jan 20, 2019 64   Providence W 79-68 79%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +16.0 +13.1 +3.0
  Jan 23, 2019 91   DePaul W 79-69 84%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +12.6 -1.1 +12.9
  Jan 26, 2019 60   @ Xavier W 87-82 60%     18 - 3 7 - 1 +15.9 +17.9 -2.1
  Jan 30, 2019 69   @ Butler W 76-58 63%     19 - 3 8 - 1 +28.0 +9.1 +19.4
  Feb 05, 2019 73   St. John's L 69-70 81%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +3.2 +1.4 +1.7
  Feb 09, 2019 24   Villanova W 66-65 60%     20 - 4 9 - 2 +11.9 +5.2 +6.8
  Feb 12, 2019 91   @ DePaul W 92-73 69%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +27.2 +23.8 +3.9
  Feb 20, 2019 69   Butler W 79-69 80%     22 - 4 11 - 2 +14.5 +7.7 +6.9
  Feb 23, 2019 64   @ Providence W 76-58 61%     23 - 4 12 - 2 +28.5 +20.9 +9.8
  Feb 27, 2019 24   @ Villanova L 61-67 39%     23 - 5 12 - 3 +10.4 +0.0 +9.8
  Mar 03, 2019 49   Creighton L 60-66 72%     23 - 6 12 - 4 +1.3 -10.0 +11.3
  Mar 06, 2019 50   @ Seton Hall L 64-73 53%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +3.5 -2.8 +6.5
  Mar 09, 2019 76   Georgetown L 84-86 82%     23 - 8 12 - 6 +1.7 +7.5 -5.7
  Mar 14, 2019 73   @ St. John's W 86-54 64%     24 - 8 +41.7 +15.8 +25.4
  Mar 15, 2019 50   Seton Hall L 79-81 64%     24 - 9 +7.8 +10.7 -2.9
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.0 2.0 28.5 53.3 16.2 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.0 2.0 28.5 53.3 16.2 0.0 100.0%