Preseason Rankings
Chattanooga
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#314
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.1#305
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#324
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#282
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.3
.500 or above 11.9% 21.6% 6.8%
.500 or above in Conference 17.4% 24.9% 13.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 25.9% 18.2% 29.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 34.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.90.0 - 1.9
Quad 1b0.1 - 2.00.1 - 4.0
Quad 20.4 - 3.60.5 - 7.6
Quad 31.3 - 5.01.9 - 12.5
Quad 46.8 - 6.88.7 - 19.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 301   @ Charlotte L 71-72 35%    
  Nov 10, 2018 273   Eastern Kentucky L 67-70 50%    
  Nov 16, 2018 150   @ South Alabama L 64-74 11%    
  Nov 17, 2018 308   Southeast Missouri St. L 70-71 48%    
  Nov 18, 2018 289   Jacksonville L 67-69 42%    
  Nov 23, 2018 19   @ Michigan L 52-75 1%    
  Dec 01, 2018 287   Tennessee Tech L 67-69 53%    
  Dec 09, 2018 310   VMI L 66-67 58%    
  Dec 12, 2018 85   @ Georgia St. L 59-74 6%    
  Dec 16, 2018 118   @ Mississippi L 64-77 9%    
  Dec 18, 2018 285   @ Tennessee Martin L 63-66 32%    
  Dec 29, 2018 86   @ UNC Greensboro L 56-71 7%    
  Jan 03, 2019 307   @ Western Carolina L 67-68 38%    
  Jan 05, 2019 153   @ East Tennessee St. L 60-70 14%    
  Jan 12, 2019 322   Samford W 73-72 63%    
  Jan 17, 2019 272   Mercer L 63-66 50%    
  Jan 19, 2019 265   The Citadel L 79-82 50%    
  Jan 24, 2019 123   @ Furman L 62-74 10%    
  Jan 26, 2019 97   @ Wofford L 61-75 8%    
  Jan 31, 2019 307   Western Carolina L 67-68 57%    
  Feb 02, 2019 153   East Tennessee St. L 60-70 28%    
  Feb 07, 2019 310   @ VMI L 66-67 38%    
  Feb 09, 2019 86   UNC Greensboro L 56-71 16%    
  Feb 16, 2019 322   @ Samford W 73-72 42%    
  Feb 21, 2019 265   @ The Citadel L 79-82 30%    
  Feb 23, 2019 272   @ Mercer L 63-66 30%    
  Feb 28, 2019 97   Wofford L 61-75 19%    
  Mar 02, 2019 123   Furman L 62-74 22%    
Projected Record 8.7 - 19.3 5.8 - 12.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.0 3.6 1.7 0.4 0.1 9.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.5 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.2 4.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 15.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.9 7.1 4.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 16.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 5.2 6.7 3.5 0.6 0.0 17.8 9th
10th 1.0 3.8 5.6 4.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 16.9 10th
Total 1.0 3.9 7.2 10.6 12.5 13.7 12.9 11.1 9.6 7.0 4.5 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 54.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 63.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 32.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 7.1% 3.6% 3.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7%
16-2 0.1% 24.4% 24.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 15.2% 15.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.4% 7.9% 7.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 0.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 1.7% 6.0% 6.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6
11-7 2.7% 1.8% 1.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
10-8 4.5% 1.6% 1.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
9-9 7.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.9
8-10 9.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.6
7-11 11.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 12.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.9
5-13 13.7% 13.7
4-14 12.5% 12.5
3-15 10.6% 10.6
2-16 7.2% 7.2
1-17 3.9% 3.9
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%