Preseason Rankings
Mississippi
Southeastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#118
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.9#81
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#90
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#161
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 3.1% 1.2% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 12.0% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.4% 11.0% 2.5%
Average Seed 8.2 8.1 9.7
.500 or above 25.0% 29.0% 8.4%
.500 or above in Conference 13.6% 15.4% 5.9%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 33.1% 30.1% 45.8%
First Four1.7% 1.9% 0.8%
First Round9.5% 11.1% 2.6%
Second Round4.4% 5.1% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Home) - 80.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.7 - 6.00.7 - 6.0
Quad 1b1.1 - 4.11.8 - 10.1
Quad 22.5 - 4.64.2 - 14.8
Quad 33.2 - 2.67.4 - 17.4
Quad 45.2 - 1.112.6 - 18.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 211   Western Michigan W 79-73 81%    
  Nov 16, 2018 33   @ Butler L 72-80 16%    
  Nov 20, 2018 263   Nicholls St. W 84-75 86%    
  Nov 23, 2018 48   Baylor L 70-76 28%    
  Nov 24, 2018 36   Cincinnati L 65-73 24%    
  Nov 28, 2018 121   San Diego W 74-73 61%    
  Dec 01, 2018 210   Louisiana Monroe W 75-69 79%    
  Dec 08, 2018 75   @ Illinois St. L 76-79 29%    
  Dec 12, 2018 236   SE Louisiana W 76-68 76%    
  Dec 16, 2018 314   Chattanooga W 77-64 91%    
  Dec 21, 2018 157   Middle Tennessee W 73-70 60%    
  Dec 29, 2018 179   Florida Gulf Coast W 81-77 73%    
  Jan 05, 2019 83   @ Vanderbilt L 73-76 31%    
  Jan 09, 2019 13   Auburn L 76-87 24%    
  Jan 12, 2019 21   @ Mississippi St. L 70-80 14%    
  Jan 15, 2019 46   LSU L 75-81 38%    
  Jan 19, 2019 94   Arkansas L 77-79 54%    
  Jan 22, 2019 39   @ Alabama L 71-78 20%    
  Jan 26, 2019 30   Iowa St. L 74-82 33%    
  Jan 30, 2019 16   @ Florida L 69-79 13%    
  Feb 02, 2019 21   Mississippi St. L 70-80 28%    
  Feb 06, 2019 64   Texas A&M L 73-78 45%    
  Feb 09, 2019 80   @ Georgia L 68-71 33%    
  Feb 13, 2019 13   @ Auburn L 76-87 13%    
  Feb 16, 2019 51   Missouri L 69-75 39%    
  Feb 19, 2019 61   @ South Carolina L 71-76 24%    
  Feb 23, 2019 80   Georgia L 68-71 51%    
  Feb 27, 2019 9   Tennessee L 67-80 21%    
  Mar 02, 2019 94   @ Arkansas L 77-79 35%    
  Mar 05, 2019 3   Kentucky L 70-85 16%    
  Mar 09, 2019 51   @ Missouri L 69-75 23%    
Projected Record 12.6 - 18.4 5.2 - 12.8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.2 1.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.0 1.0 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 3.3 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 3.7 3.7 0.5 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.2 4.5 1.0 0.1 10.6 11th
12th 0.2 1.2 4.8 5.3 1.8 0.1 13.4 12th
13th 0.3 2.9 6.2 5.7 2.1 0.2 17.4 13th
14th 2.5 5.6 7.1 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 22.7 14th
Total 2.5 6.0 10.1 12.7 13.1 13.2 11.6 9.7 7.5 5.0 3.8 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 96.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 97.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 61.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 25.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.0% 100.0% 28.9% 71.1% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 0.9% 99.1% 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.4% 100.0% 12.6% 87.4% 4.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.7% 98.0% 4.4% 93.6% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9%
12-6 1.4% 94.7% 3.1% 91.5% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 94.5%
11-7 2.0% 78.9% 3.1% 75.8% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 78.2%
10-8 3.8% 59.5% 1.7% 57.9% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 58.9%
9-9 5.0% 39.1% 2.7% 36.5% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 37.5%
8-10 7.5% 14.0% 2.0% 12.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.4 12.2%
7-11 9.7% 4.6% 1.6% 2.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2 3.0%
6-12 11.6% 1.2% 1.0% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.4 0.2%
5-13 13.2% 0.5% 0.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.1
4-14 13.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.1
3-15 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7
2-16 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
1-17 6.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.0
0-18 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5
Total 100% 10.3% 1.0% 9.3% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 89.7 9.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%