IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Denver
Summit League
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.2	#200
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.8	#258
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.2	#201

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	10.7	10.7	n/a

.500 or above	44.8%	48.8%	19.1%
.500 or above in Conference	56.6%	59.4%	38.4%
Conference Champion	7.4%	8.2%	2.4%
Last Place in Conference	9.5%	8.3%	17.2%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 86.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.9	0.0 - 1.9
Quad 1b	0.1 - 0.9	0.1 - 2.8
Quad 2	0.4 - 2.0	0.5 - 4.8
Quad 3	2.8 - 5.3	3.4 - 10.1
Quad 4	10.5 - 5.0	13.9 - 15.1

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	327	Maine	W	75-66	86%
Nov 12, 2018	14	@ Kansas St.	L	59-76	3%
Nov 15, 2018	230	Abilene Christian	W	71-69	67%
Nov 23, 2018	244	@ Seattle	W	70-67	49%
Nov 24, 2018	333	Longwood	W	74-65	80%
Nov 25, 2018	220	Fairfield	W	72-71	54%
Nov 28, 2018	172	Northern Colorado	L	72-74	54%
Dec 01, 2018	152	@ Utah Valley	L	68-71	31%
Dec 05, 2018	212	@ Air Force	W	68-67	43%
Dec 11, 2018	173	@ Wyoming	L	74-76	35%
Dec 15, 2018	90	@ UC Irvine	L	64-72	18%
Dec 18, 2018	251	Montana St.	W	74-71	70%
Dec 21, 2018	5	@ Gonzaga	L	63-83	3%
Dec 28, 2018	253	@ Nebraska Omaha	W	75-72	50%
Dec 30, 2018	270	@ Western Illinois	W	71-67	52%
Jan 02, 2019	134	South Dakota	L	69-74	45%
Jan 05, 2019	271	North Dakota	W	75-71	71%
Jan 10, 2019	79	@ South Dakota St.	L	71-79	17%
Jan 16, 2019	199	North Dakota St.	L	68-69	60%
Jan 20, 2019	283	Oral Roberts	W	71-67	73%
Jan 26, 2019	169	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	75-77	33%
Feb 03, 2019	79	South Dakota St.	L	71-79	33%
Feb 07, 2019	283	@ Oral Roberts	W	71-67	53%
Feb 09, 2019	199	@ North Dakota St.	L	68-69	40%
Feb 14, 2019	169	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	75-77	53%
Feb 20, 2019	134	@ South Dakota	L	69-74	26%
Feb 23, 2019	271	@ North Dakota	W	75-71	53%
Feb 28, 2019	270	Western Illinois	W	71-67	71%
Mar 02, 2019	253	Nebraska Omaha	W	75-72	68%
Projected Record						13.9 - 15.1	8.0 - 8.0

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	1.0	1.7	2.3	1.6	0.6	0.1		7.4	1st
2nd									0.0	0.6	2.5	4.0	3.5	1.4	0.2				12.2	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.0	4.6	5.8	3.2	0.7	0.1					15.3	3rd
4th							0.1	1.3	5.0	6.1	2.3	0.2	0.0						15.0	4th
5th						0.1	1.7	5.3	5.3	1.5	0.2								13.9	5th
6th					0.2	1.5	4.9	4.7	1.0	0.1	0.0								12.4	6th
7th				0.1	1.8	4.1	3.0	0.6	0.0										9.7	7th
8th		0.0	0.4	1.8	3.1	2.5	0.6	0.0											8.4	8th
9th	0.2	0.8	1.6	1.6	1.1	0.2													5.5	9th

Total	0.2	0.8	2.0	3.6	6.2	8.4	10.2	12.0	12.2	12.8	10.9	8.5	6.0	3.7	1.8	0.6	0.1			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.6		0.5	0.0
14-2	89.1%	1.6		1.3	0.3	0.0
13-3	61.1%	2.3		1.4	0.8	0.1	0.0
12-4	29.0%	1.7		0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0
11-5	12.1%	1.0		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.0
10-6	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	7.4%	7.4		4.2	2.4	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		11.4%		11.4%	9.8						0.0					0.0							0.1		11.4%
15-1	0.6%		7.4%		7.4%	11.0									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0					0.5		7.4%
14-2	1.8%		0.1%		0.1%	11.0										0.0				0.0				1.8		0.1%
13-3	3.7%		0.0%		0.0%	11.0												0.0						3.7		0.0%
12-4	6.0%																							6.0
11-5	8.5%																							8.5
10-6	10.9%																							10.9
9-7	12.8%																							12.8
8-8	12.2%																							12.2
7-9	12.0%																							12.0
6-10	10.2%																							10.2
5-11	8.4%																							8.4
4-12	6.2%																							6.2
3-13	3.6%																							3.6
2-14	2.0%																							2.0
1-15	0.8%																							0.8
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	10.7						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				99.9		0.1%