Preseason Rankings
Seattle
Western Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#244
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.0#206
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#259
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#240
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 8.0% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.1 15.1
.500 or above 46.2% 72.0% 41.9%
.500 or above in Conference 51.0% 67.5% 48.3%
Conference Champion 3.9% 7.9% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 2.8% 5.6%
First Four0.7% 0.4% 0.8%
First Round3.0% 7.9% 2.2%
Second Round0.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Away) - 14.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.70.0 - 0.7
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.20.1 - 1.9
Quad 20.4 - 2.60.5 - 4.5
Quad 32.3 - 4.82.9 - 9.3
Quad 411.2 - 5.614.1 - 14.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 108   @ Stanford L 68-77 14%    
  Nov 11, 2018 315   Bryant W 77-73 75%    
  Nov 14, 2018 191   Washington St. L 72-75 49%    
  Nov 18, 2018 295   Southern Utah W 76-73 71%    
  Nov 23, 2018 200   Denver L 67-70 51%    
  Nov 24, 2018 220   Fairfield L 71-72 56%    
  Nov 25, 2018 333   Longwood W 74-67 80%    
  Dec 01, 2018 174   Eastern Washington L 68-72 46%    
  Dec 06, 2018 253   Nebraska Omaha W 75-74 62%    
  Dec 09, 2018 42   @ Washington L 65-80 6%    
  Dec 17, 2018 241   @ Portland L 69-70 38%    
  Dec 20, 2018 297   Prairie View W 75-72 70%    
  Dec 29, 2018 198   @ California L 68-71 31%    
  Jan 03, 2019 204   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-67 34%    
  Jan 05, 2019 114   @ Grand Canyon L 65-73 17%    
  Jan 12, 2019 152   @ Utah Valley L 68-73 23%    
  Jan 17, 2019 93   New Mexico St. L 64-74 29%    
  Jan 19, 2019 311   UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-74 71%    
  Jan 24, 2019 350   @ Chicago St. W 80-68 76%    
  Jan 26, 2019 279   @ UMKC W 72-71 45%    
  Feb 02, 2019 288   California Baptist W 72-70 67%    
  Feb 14, 2019 311   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-74 53%    
  Feb 16, 2019 93   @ New Mexico St. L 64-74 15%    
  Feb 21, 2019 279   UMKC W 72-71 64%    
  Feb 23, 2019 350   Chicago St. W 80-68 89%    
  Feb 26, 2019 152   Utah Valley L 68-73 43%    
  Feb 28, 2019 288   @ California Baptist W 72-70 48%    
  Mar 07, 2019 204   Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-67 53%    
  Mar 09, 2019 114   Grand Canyon L 65-73 33%    
Projected Record 14.1 - 14.9 7.6 - 8.4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 3.9 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 2.9 2.6 0.9 0.1 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 5.4 3.4 0.8 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.5 6.7 3.3 0.3 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 6.0 6.9 2.8 0.2 18.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 6.1 5.6 1.7 0.1 0.0 16.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.4 3.6 0.9 0.0 13.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.0 7.0 9.8 11.9 13.5 13.7 12.2 10.0 7.1 4.2 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 88.3% 0.8    0.6 0.2
13-3 61.0% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.2
12-4 19.6% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 4.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 59.1% 31.3% 27.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.4%
15-1 0.4% 32.3% 32.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.9% 18.6% 18.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-3 2.4% 19.1% 18.5% 0.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.0 0.7%
12-4 4.2% 14.1% 14.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.6
11-5 7.1% 9.4% 9.4% 15.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 6.4
10-6 10.0% 5.0% 5.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 9.5
9-7 12.2% 3.2% 3.2% 15.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 11.8
8-8 13.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 13.5
7-9 13.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.5
6-10 11.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.8
5-11 9.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.7
4-12 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.0
3-13 4.0% 4.0
2-14 2.1% 2.1
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 8.0 100.0