IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wyoming
Mountain West
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.6	#173
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	80.8	#11
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.8	#193

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.2	#157

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Average Seed	13.2	13.1	13.6

.500 or above	41.4%	51.2%	26.4%
.500 or above in Conference	37.4%	42.9%	29.1%
Conference Champion	1.0%	1.3%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	8.6%	6.1%	12.5%

First Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%
First Round	1.2%	1.5%	0.6%
Second Round	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Home) - 60.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 1.0	0.1 - 1.0
Quad 1b	0.3 - 1.8	0.3 - 2.8
Quad 2	1.3 - 4.5	1.6 - 7.3
Quad 3	4.1 - 6.0	5.6 - 13.3
Quad 4	7.9 - 3.1	13.6 - 16.4

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	177	UC Santa Barbara	W	76-75	60%
Nov 10, 2018	82	@ Oregon St.	L	71-78	18%
Nov 14, 2018	296	Grambling St.	W	83-76	82%
Nov 16, 2018	268	Niagara	W	88-83	76%
Nov 19, 2018	78	Boston College	L	76-83	25%
Nov 21, 2018	130	Richmond	L	77-80	39%
Nov 28, 2018	196	@ Evansville	W	70-69	44%
Dec 01, 2018	172	Northern Colorado	L	80-81	59%
Dec 05, 2018	61	South Carolina	L	71-80	29%
Dec 11, 2018	200	Denver	W	76-74	65%
Dec 21, 2018	153	East Tennessee St.	L	73-74	45%
Dec 22, 2018	249	@ UTEP	W	77-73	54%
Jan 02, 2019	95	Boise St.	L	73-79	42%
Jan 05, 2019	139	@ UNLV	L	81-84	32%
Jan 08, 2019	45	@ San Diego St.	L	71-82	13%
Jan 12, 2019	144	Utah St.	L	76-78	53%
Jan 19, 2019	92	@ New Mexico	L	80-86	23%
Jan 23, 2019	321	San Jose St.	W	77-68	84%
Jan 26, 2019	95	@ Boise St.	L	73-79	23%
Jan 30, 2019	91	Fresno St.	L	72-78	41%
Feb 06, 2019	212	@ Air Force	W	75-73	48%
Feb 09, 2019	180	Colorado St.	W	79-78	61%
Feb 13, 2019	144	@ Utah St.	L	76-78	34%
Feb 16, 2019	7	Nevada	L	74-91	12%
Feb 19, 2019	139	UNLV	L	81-84	50%
Feb 23, 2019	180	@ Colorado St.	W	79-78	41%
Feb 27, 2019	91	@ Fresno St.	L	72-78	23%
Mar 02, 2019	212	Air Force	W	75-73	66%
Mar 06, 2019	321	@ San Jose St.	W	77-68	70%
Mar 09, 2019	92	New Mexico	L	80-86	40%
Projected Record						13.6 - 16.4	7.6 - 10.4

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.0	1.1	1.0	0.5	0.1				4.0	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.4	1.9	2.4	1.6	0.4	0.0					6.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.8	2.8	3.4	1.3	0.2	0.0						8.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.9	4.1	4.2	1.4	0.1								10.8	5th
6th							0.1	1.2	5.2	4.3	1.3	0.1									12.1	6th
7th						0.1	1.6	5.0	4.8	1.5	0.0										13.0	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.5	5.5	5.0	1.1	0.1											13.5	8th
9th			0.0	0.8	2.6	5.8	4.0	0.9	0.0												14.1	9th
10th		0.1	1.1	3.1	4.0	2.2	0.6	0.0													11.1	10th
11th	0.3	1.0	1.5	1.4	0.6	0.1															4.9	11th

Total	0.3	1.1	2.7	5.3	7.5	9.8	11.7	12.2	12.1	10.7	8.8	7.0	4.8	3.0	1.8	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	75.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-3	31.3%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	16.8%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.3%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%	0.0			0.0				0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.1	0.1		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%									0.0														0.0
17-1	0.1%		91.9%	63.2%	28.7%	9.7					0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		78.0%
16-2	0.4%		35.7%	11.7%	24.0%	10.5						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2		27.2%
15-3	0.8%		28.0%	18.0%	10.0%	11.9								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.6		12.2%
14-4	1.8%		9.7%	6.5%	3.2%	11.7										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		1.6		3.4%
13-5	3.0%		4.1%	3.1%	0.9%	12.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		2.9		1.0%
12-6	4.8%		2.6%	2.5%	0.0%	13.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	4.7		0.0%
11-7	7.0%		1.2%	1.2%	0.0%	13.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.9		0.0%
10-8	8.8%		0.8%	0.8%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.7
9-9	10.7%		1.0%	1.0%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	10.6
8-10	12.1%		0.5%	0.5%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.0
7-11	12.2%		1.1%	1.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	12.1
6-12	11.7%		0.3%	0.3%		15.1															0.0		0.0	11.7
5-13	9.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
4-14	7.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
3-15	5.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
2-16	2.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		1.4%	1.1%	0.3%	13.2				0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3	98.6		0.3%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%