Preseason Rankings
Maine
America East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#327
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace76.0#40
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.2#343
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#277
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.7% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.8
.500 or above 4.4% 13.6% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.2% 29.2% 14.2%
Conference Champion 0.9% 2.9% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 38.4% 23.6% 40.8%
First Four0.5% 1.3% 0.4%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Away) - 13.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.70.0 - 0.7
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.40.0 - 2.1
Quad 20.2 - 3.50.2 - 5.6
Quad 31.1 - 7.61.3 - 13.3
Quad 45.9 - 9.57.3 - 22.7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 200   @ Denver L 66-75 14%    
  Nov 08, 2018 87   @ Utah L 61-78 3%    
  Nov 10, 2018 137   @ San Francisco L 63-76 7%    
  Nov 17, 2018 38   @ North Carolina St. L 68-90 1%    
  Nov 20, 2018 132   @ North Texas L 65-79 7%    
  Nov 25, 2018 238   @ Quinnipiac L 69-76 20%    
  Nov 28, 2018 145   Princeton L 63-75 20%    
  Dec 01, 2018 178   @ St. Peter's L 58-68 12%    
  Dec 04, 2018 267   Fordham L 65-70 42%    
  Dec 08, 2018 276   @ Dartmouth L 68-73 24%    
  Dec 16, 2018 182   @ Duquesne L 66-76 12%    
  Dec 22, 2018 313   Central Connecticut St. L 68-70 53%    
  Dec 29, 2018 140   @ Rutgers L 61-74 8%    
  Jan 02, 2019 207   @ Brown L 73-81 17%    
  Jan 05, 2019 214   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68-76 18%    
  Jan 09, 2019 124   Vermont L 62-76 17%    
  Jan 12, 2019 278   @ Albany L 66-71 26%    
  Jan 16, 2019 193   Hartford L 67-76 29%    
  Jan 19, 2019 222   Stony Brook L 66-74 35%    
  Jan 26, 2019 269   @ Binghamton L 67-72 25%    
  Jan 30, 2019 306   @ Umass Lowell L 77-80 32%    
  Feb 03, 2019 316   New Hampshire L 66-68 53%    
  Feb 06, 2019 124   @ Vermont L 62-76 8%    
  Feb 10, 2019 214   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68-76 35%    
  Feb 13, 2019 193   @ Hartford L 67-76 15%    
  Feb 17, 2019 278   Albany L 66-71 44%    
  Feb 23, 2019 222   @ Stony Brook L 66-74 20%    
  Feb 27, 2019 306   Umass Lowell L 77-80 50%    
  Mar 02, 2019 269   Binghamton L 67-72 43%    
  Mar 05, 2019 316   @ New Hampshire L 66-68 34%    
Projected Record 7.3 - 22.7 4.8 - 11.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 3.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.0 2.9 0.4 0.1 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.5 4.0 0.8 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.4 6.5 4.4 0.7 0.0 15.8 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 6.0 8.0 4.5 0.7 0.0 21.3 8th
9th 2.7 6.9 9.0 6.9 2.6 0.5 0.0 28.4 9th
Total 2.7 7.0 11.0 13.5 14.3 13.7 12.0 9.7 6.6 4.3 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 83.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 72.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1
12-4 40.8% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-5 13.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 50.8% 50.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.3% 21.8% 21.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 0.8% 8.2% 8.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-5 1.6% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.4
10-6 2.6% 5.8% 5.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.4
9-7 4.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 4.2
8-8 6.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 6.4
7-9 9.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.6
6-10 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
5-11 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
4-12 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.3
3-13 13.5% 13.5
2-14 11.0% 11.0
1-15 7.0% 7.0
0-16 2.7% 2.7
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%