IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.3	#337
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.4	#92
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.4	#326

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.8	#332

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	4.9%	17.5%	3.6%
.500 or above in Conference	13.2%	25.5%	11.9%
Conference Champion	0.5%	0.8%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	32.5%	20.6%	33.8%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.7	0.0 - 1.7
Quad 1b	0.0 - 1.3	0.0 - 3.0
Quad 2	0.2 - 2.8	0.2 - 5.8
Quad 3	0.9 - 5.7	1.1 - 11.6
Quad 4	6.6 - 9.7	7.7 - 21.3

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2018	190	@ Missouri St.	L	65-76	9%
Nov 14, 2018	58	@ USC	L	64-85	1%
Nov 17, 2018	236	@ SE Louisiana	L	66-74	16%
Nov 19, 2018	233	Robert Morris	L	67-75	33%
Nov 23, 2018	310	VMI	L	70-74	48%
Nov 26, 2018	299	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	79-84	25%
Nov 28, 2018	250	@ South Florida	L	65-72	19%
Dec 01, 2018	4	@ Duke	L	63-94	0.2%
Dec 05, 2018	270	Western Illinois	L	69-75	38%
Dec 08, 2018	274	Marist	L	73-79	38%
Dec 16, 2018	55	@ Central Florida	L	56-77	2%
Dec 18, 2018	294	UNC Asheville	L	70-75	43%
Dec 21, 2018	333	@ Longwood	L	73-74	36%
Jan 09, 2019	155	Liberty	L	62-75	20%
Jan 12, 2019	136	@ Lipscomb	L	74-89	6%
Jan 16, 2019	213	North Florida	L	80-89	30%
Jan 19, 2019	340	@ North Alabama	W	71-70	43%
Jan 21, 2019	179	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	71-82	11%
Jan 24, 2019	228	NJIT	L	67-75	33%
Jan 27, 2019	136	Lipscomb	L	74-89	18%
Jan 30, 2019	289	@ Jacksonville	L	71-76	24%
Feb 02, 2019	338	Kennesaw St.	W	73-72	60%
Feb 05, 2019	155	@ Liberty	L	62-75	9%
Feb 13, 2019	289	Jacksonville	L	71-76	42%
Feb 16, 2019	179	Florida Gulf Coast	L	71-82	24%
Feb 20, 2019	228	@ NJIT	L	67-75	17%
Feb 23, 2019	340	North Alabama	W	71-70	62%
Feb 26, 2019	213	@ North Florida	L	80-89	16%
Mar 01, 2019	338	@ Kennesaw St.	W	73-72	41%
Projected Record						7.7 - 21.3	4.6 - 11.4

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1					1.2	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.3	1.0	1.1	0.4	0.0						2.8	3rd
4th							0.1	0.6	1.7	1.9	0.6	0.0							5.0	4th
5th						0.1	1.3	3.4	2.8	0.6	0.0	0.0							8.2	5th
6th				0.0	0.6	3.6	5.5	3.7	0.9	0.0									14.4	6th
7th			0.1	1.9	6.6	7.9	3.7	0.8	0.0										21.0	7th
8th		0.4	3.9	9.1	7.6	2.7	0.4	0.0											24.2	8th
9th	2.5	6.7	7.7	4.7	0.9	0.1													22.7	9th

Total	2.5	7.1	11.7	15.8	15.8	14.5	11.1	8.5	5.7	3.6	2.1	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-2	100.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0
13-3	69.7%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
12-4	27.3%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0
11-5	8.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1	0.0%																							0.0
14-2	0.1%																							0.1
13-3	0.2%																							0.2
12-4	0.5%																							0.5
11-5	1.0%																							1.0
10-6	2.1%																							2.1
9-7	3.6%																							3.6
8-8	5.7%																							5.7
7-9	8.5%																							8.5
6-10	11.1%																							11.1
5-11	14.5%																							14.5
4-12	15.8%																							15.8
3-13	15.8%																							15.8
2-14	11.7%																							11.7
1-15	7.1%																							7.1
0-16	2.5%																							2.5

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%