Hawaii
Big West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#160
Achievement Rating+0.7#156
Pace66.1#255
Improvement+0.7#157

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#191
First Shot+0.7#162
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#252
Layup/Dunks-1.2#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#63
Freethrows-0.9#244
Improvement+0.3#180

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#165
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#40
Layups/Dunks+2.4#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#338
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#208
Freethrows+0.5#141
Improvement+0.4#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% 16.4% 12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 99.4% 100.0% 99.0%
.500 or above in Conference 98.9% 100.0% 98.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round13.9% 16.4% 12.1%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Away) - 40.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 317   Portland W 82-64 88%     1 - 0 +5.4 +6.4 -0.7
  Nov 11, 2018 138   North Texas L 51-68 53%     1 - 1 -17.8 -14.9 -4.7
  Nov 18, 2018 307   Northern Arizona W 85-68 85%     2 - 1 +5.8 +4.4 +1.3
  Nov 22, 2018 95   Utah W 90-79 31%     3 - 1 +16.1 +17.7 -1.2
  Nov 23, 2018 50   Seton Hall L 54-64 19%     3 - 2 -0.7 -8.0 +6.2
  Nov 25, 2018 59   Fresno St. L 64-79 22%     3 - 3 -7.1 +0.2 -8.5
  Nov 28, 2018 94   @ UCLA L 61-80 22%     3 - 4 -11.0 -4.5 -7.2
  Dec 16, 2018 350   Mississippi Valley W 76-51 96%     4 - 4 +4.6 -5.7 +10.1
  Dec 22, 2018 151   UNLV L 59-73 58%     4 - 5 -16.1 -15.9 -0.5
  Dec 23, 2018 66   Colorado W 70-62 33%     5 - 5 +12.4 -5.3 +17.1
  Dec 25, 2018 140   Rhode Island W 68-60 54%     6 - 5 +7.0 +0.8 +6.6
  Dec 29, 2018 346   Alabama A&M W 71-63 94%     7 - 5 -9.8 -6.2 -3.5
  Jan 09, 2019 159   Cal St. Fullerton W 79-68 60%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +8.4 +5.4 +2.7
  Jan 17, 2019 276   @ Cal St. Northridge W 84-79 64%     9 - 5 2 - 0 +1.2 +5.2 -4.1
  Jan 19, 2019 311   @ UC Riverside L 71-75 72%     9 - 6 2 - 1 -10.0 +4.7 -15.3
  Jan 23, 2019 107   UC Irvine L 74-75 43%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +0.7 -0.1 +0.8
  Jan 26, 2019 207   UC Davis W 80-60 70%     10 - 7 3 - 2 +14.5 +6.5 +7.9
  Jan 31, 2019 221   Long Beach St. W 74-57 72%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +10.8 -4.6 +14.9
  Feb 02, 2019 172   UC Santa Barbara L 54-75 62%     11 - 8 4 - 3 -24.3 -16.8 -9.2
  Feb 07, 2019 221   @ Long Beach St. W 77-70 52%     12 - 8 5 - 3 +6.4 -1.1 +7.1
  Feb 09, 2019 107   @ UC Irvine L 56-67 24%     12 - 9 5 - 4 -3.8 -1.3 -4.4
  Feb 14, 2019 329   Cal Poly W 75-54 90%     13 - 9 6 - 4 +6.9 +3.9 +5.1
  Feb 16, 2019 311   UC Riverside W 87-64 86%     14 - 9 7 - 4 +11.5 +16.8 -2.6
  Feb 21, 2019 172   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-68 41%    
  Feb 23, 2019 329   @ Cal Poly W 70-61 79%    
  Mar 02, 2019 276   Cal St. Northridge W 80-71 81%    
  Mar 07, 2019 207   @ UC Davis L 65-66 49%    
  Mar 09, 2019 159   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 67-70 38%    
Projected Record 16.9 - 11.1 9.9 - 6.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 5.0 16.0 5.8 26.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 7.4 25.7 6.8 40.0 3rd
4th 0.0 2.4 13.5 4.6 20.5 4th
5th 0.7 5.9 5.3 11.9 5th
6th 0.4 0.2 0.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 1.1 8.6 26.2 35.2 22.9 5.9 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 5.9% 22.2% 22.2% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.6
11-5 22.9% 19.0% 19.0% 14.7 0.1 1.4 2.7 0.2 18.5
10-6 35.2% 13.5% 13.5% 15.0 0.0 0.8 3.4 0.6 30.5
9-7 26.2% 10.3% 10.3% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.9 0.5 23.5
8-8 8.6% 8.4% 8.4% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 7.9
7-9 1.1% 6.3% 6.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.5 3.2 8.6 1.6 86.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 100.0% 13.7 1.7 31.3 58.8 8.0 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 0.6%