Hawaii
Big West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#185
Achievement Rating-0.6#178
Pace65.0#302
Improvement-0.2#190

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#210
First Shot-0.4#193
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#213
Layup/Dunks+1.0#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#187
Freethrows-1.3#245
Improvement+0.8#105

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#172
First Shot-1.6#226
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#88
Layups/Dunks+3.9#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#155
Freethrows-2.3#296
Improvement-1.0#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.1% 10.3% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 68.9% 70.4% 40.0%
.500 or above in Conference 72.0% 72.8% 57.3%
Conference Champion 10.6% 10.9% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.7% 5.8%
First Four2.9% 2.9% 3.1%
First Round9.0% 9.2% 5.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 95.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 271   Portland W 82-64 77%     1 - 0 +8.9 +4.6 +4.6
  Nov 11, 2018 124   North Texas L 51-68 43%     1 - 1 -16.6 -17.1 -1.3
  Nov 18, 2018 317   Northern Arizona W 85-68 85%     2 - 1 +4.3 +4.3 +0.0
  Nov 22, 2018 133   Utah W 90-79 35%     3 - 1 +13.6 +18.9 -4.9
  Nov 23, 2018 56   Seton Hall L 54-64 17%     3 - 2 -1.1 -8.4 +6.2
  Nov 25, 2018 62   Fresno St. L 64-79 19%     3 - 3 -7.1 +0.2 -8.4
  Nov 28, 2018 44   @ UCLA L 61-80 9%     3 - 4 -5.8 -2.7 -3.9
  Dec 16, 2018 346   Mississippi Valley W 79-61 95%    
  Dec 22, 2018 137   UNLV L 69-70 47%    
  Dec 29, 2018 351   Alabama A&M W 74-55 96%    
  Jan 09, 2019 167   Cal St. Fullerton W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 17, 2019 324   @ Cal St. Northridge W 77-71 72%    
  Jan 19, 2019 293   @ UC Riverside W 66-63 60%    
  Jan 23, 2019 98   UC Irvine L 62-66 37%    
  Jan 26, 2019 224   UC Davis W 65-60 68%    
  Jan 31, 2019 197   Long Beach St. W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 02, 2019 147   UC Santa Barbara W 65-64 52%    
  Feb 07, 2019 197   @ Long Beach St. L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 09, 2019 98   @ UC Irvine L 59-69 19%    
  Feb 14, 2019 310   Cal Poly W 71-61 82%    
  Feb 16, 2019 293   UC Riverside W 69-60 79%    
  Feb 21, 2019 147   @ UC Santa Barbara L 62-67 32%    
  Feb 23, 2019 310   @ Cal Poly W 68-64 65%    
  Mar 02, 2019 324   Cal St. Northridge W 80-68 86%    
  Mar 07, 2019 224   @ UC Davis L 62-63 47%    
  Mar 09, 2019 167   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 66-70 36%    
Projected Record 14.4 - 11.6 9.0 - 7.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.0 3.4 2.0 0.7 0.1 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.4 4.7 1.5 0.2 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.7 7.8 4.1 0.7 0.0 18.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.2 7.6 3.1 0.3 0.0 17.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.7 6.5 2.3 0.2 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.9 4.8 1.5 0.1 11.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.8 0.8 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.5 4.8 8.0 11.2 14.0 15.2 14.6 12.0 8.4 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
14-2 92.7% 2.0    1.7 0.4 0.0
13-3 69.6% 3.4    2.0 1.2 0.1
12-4 36.1% 3.0    1.1 1.5 0.4 0.0
11-5 10.2% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 5.8 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 46.2% 46.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.7% 36.5% 36.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-2 2.2% 31.4% 31.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.5
13-3 4.9% 26.3% 26.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 3.6
12-4 8.4% 19.7% 19.7% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 6.8
11-5 12.0% 15.5% 15.5% 15.5 0.0 0.8 1.0 10.1
10-6 14.6% 10.7% 10.7% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 13.0
9-7 15.2% 7.6% 7.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 14.1
8-8 14.0% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 13.2
7-9 11.2% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.8
6-10 8.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 7.8
5-11 4.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 4.7
4-12 2.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5
3-13 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.5 5.4 89.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 12.5 2.9 54.3 34.3 8.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%