UNLV
Mountain West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#129
Achievement Rating+1.4#156
Pace71.7#130
Improvement+0.4#145

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#137
First Shot-2.2#245
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#29
Layup/Dunks-2.5#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#273
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement+1.7#48

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#114
First Shot+6.5#25
After Offensive Rebounds-4.7#352
Layups/Dunks-1.7#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#117
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#55
Freethrows+3.2#30
Improvement-1.3#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.6% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.7
.500 or above 73.9% 83.5% 62.0%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 75.5% 65.6%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.0% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.5% 1.0%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round1.9% 2.5% 1.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Away) - 55.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 119   Loyola Marymount L 50-61 58%     0 - 1 -10.2 -16.7 +5.5
  Nov 13, 2018 296   UC Riverside W 72-51 89%     1 - 1 +10.5 +0.4 +11.7
  Nov 16, 2018 233   Oakland W 74-61 83%     2 - 1 +5.7 -2.2 +8.8
  Nov 20, 2018 163   Pacific W 96-70 72%     3 - 1 +23.0 +22.3 +1.1
  Nov 23, 2018 235   Southern Utah W 76-71 83%     4 - 1 -2.4 +1.2 -3.5
  Nov 28, 2018 157   Valparaiso L 64-72 71%     4 - 2 -10.7 -17.5 +7.7
  Dec 01, 2018 29   Cincinnati L 61-65 27%     4 - 3 +5.5 +1.0 +4.1
  Dec 08, 2018 83   @ Illinois L 74-77 27%     4 - 4 +6.2 -1.4 +7.9
  Dec 15, 2018 72   BYU W 92-90 35%     5 - 4 +9.0 +13.2 -4.4
  Dec 22, 2018 186   @ Hawaii W 71-69 55%    
  Jan 02, 2019 211   Colorado St. W 80-71 79%    
  Jan 05, 2019 224   Wyoming W 81-71 82%    
  Jan 08, 2019 148   @ New Mexico L 81-82 46%    
  Jan 16, 2019 243   @ Air Force W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 19, 2019 323   San Jose St. W 78-62 93%    
  Jan 22, 2019 148   New Mexico W 84-79 68%    
  Jan 26, 2019 74   @ San Diego St. L 71-78 26%    
  Jan 29, 2019 10   Nevada L 71-82 16%    
  Feb 02, 2019 44   @ Utah St. L 71-81 18%    
  Feb 06, 2019 134   @ Boise St. L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 09, 2019 62   Fresno St. L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 12, 2019 243   Air Force W 75-64 84%    
  Feb 16, 2019 323   @ San Jose St. W 75-65 82%    
  Feb 19, 2019 224   @ Wyoming W 78-74 62%    
  Feb 23, 2019 74   San Diego St. L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 27, 2019 10   @ Nevada L 68-85 7%    
  Mar 02, 2019 134   Boise St. W 72-68 62%    
  Mar 09, 2019 211   @ Colorado St. W 77-74 60%    
Projected Record 15.4 - 12.6 9.8 - 8.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 2.4 3.0 1.0 0.2 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.7 4.1 0.9 0.1 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.0 7.3 4.4 0.8 0.0 18.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.8 8.1 4.0 0.5 19.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 5.8 6.4 2.6 0.2 16.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.2 3.8 1.4 0.1 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.3 0.8 0.1 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.3 3.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.6 8.2 11.9 14.6 16.3 14.5 11.5 7.5 4.3 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 64.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 37.6% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1
14-4 8.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.1
16-2 0.6% 12.3% 3.5% 8.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 9.1%
15-3 1.7% 14.7% 11.8% 2.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.3%
14-4 4.3% 6.3% 5.4% 0.9% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 4.0 1.0%
13-5 7.5% 5.3% 5.3% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.1
12-6 11.5% 2.8% 2.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.2
11-7 14.5% 1.7% 1.7% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.3
10-8 16.3% 1.4% 1.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 16.1
9-9 14.6% 1.0% 1.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.4
8-10 11.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 11.8
7-11 8.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 8.2
6-12 4.6% 4.6
5-13 2.6% 2.6
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 2.0% 1.9% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 98.0 0.1%