Portland
West Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#271
Achievement Rating-5.0#232
Pace70.7#158
Improvement+0.5#133

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#224
First Shot+0.4#175
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#293
Layup/Dunks+0.1#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#94
Freethrows+1.2#108
Improvement-0.8#244

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#299
First Shot-1.8#236
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#323
Layups/Dunks+2.0#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#293
Freethrows-0.4#196
Improvement+1.3#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.6 15.5
.500 or above 2.7% 3.8% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 3.1% 3.7% 2.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 43.3% 40.2% 48.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Home) - 63.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 185   @ Hawaii L 64-82 23%     0 - 1 -16.4 -6.5 -10.2
  Nov 10, 2018 124   North Texas L 73-78 19%     0 - 2 -1.6 +8.3 -10.4
  Nov 17, 2018 324   @ Cal St. Northridge W 80-77 56%     1 - 2 -4.7 +2.1 -6.8
  Nov 21, 2018 331   South Carolina Upstate W 73-56 79%     2 - 2 +2.4 -10.4 +11.9
  Nov 23, 2018 309   Cal Poly W 72-67 70%     3 - 2 -6.6 -5.0 -1.5
  Nov 24, 2018 142   Texas St. L 68-91 32%     3 - 3 -24.4 -3.7 -20.6
  Nov 28, 2018 59   @ Colorado L 69-93 6%     3 - 4 -12.6 -6.4 -3.0
  Dec 05, 2018 234   @ Portland St. L 78-87 33%     3 - 5 -10.5 +1.9 -12.0
  Dec 08, 2018 228   Sacramento St. W 76-67 54%     4 - 5 +1.9 -4.7 +5.9
  Dec 15, 2018 287   Grambling St. W 77-73 64%    
  Dec 17, 2018 169   Seattle L 73-76 40%    
  Dec 21, 2018 337   Florida A&M W 75-65 82%    
  Dec 29, 2018 167   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 05, 2019 135   @ Loyola Marymount L 62-74 14%    
  Jan 10, 2019 65   @ BYU L 72-88 6%    
  Jan 12, 2019 161   Pacific L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 17, 2019 77   San Diego L 67-77 19%    
  Jan 19, 2019 2   Gonzaga L 71-93 2%    
  Jan 24, 2019 47   @ San Francisco L 62-81 4%    
  Jan 26, 2019 161   @ Pacific L 68-77 21%    
  Jan 31, 2019 225   Pepperdine W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 02, 2019 273   @ Santa Clara L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 07, 2019 65   BYU L 75-85 17%    
  Feb 09, 2019 135   Loyola Marymount L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 16, 2019 47   San Francisco L 65-78 12%    
  Feb 21, 2019 77   @ San Diego L 64-80 8%    
  Feb 23, 2019 225   @ Pepperdine L 76-82 31%    
  Feb 28, 2019 52   @ St. Mary's L 63-82 5%    
  Mar 02, 2019 273   Santa Clara W 74-71 61%    
Projected Record 9.7 - 19.3 3.6 - 12.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.0 4.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.1 2.9 9.3 7.3 1.5 0.1 21.0 8th
9th 0.5 6.2 12.8 7.9 1.3 0.1 28.8 9th
10th 3.0 9.2 11.1 5.0 0.6 0.0 29.0 10th
Total 3.0 9.7 17.3 20.7 18.9 14.0 8.7 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 0.0%
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.1% 0.1
10-6 0.2% 0.2
9-7 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
8-8 2.0% 2.0
7-9 4.5% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
6-10 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 8.7
5-11 14.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.0
4-12 18.9% 18.9
3-13 20.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.7
2-14 17.3% 17.3
1-15 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.7
0-16 3.0% 3.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%