Utah
Pac-12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#95
Achievement Rating+6.5#86
Pace66.2#252
Improvement+3.1#56

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#22
First Shot+5.3#41
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#46
Layup/Dunks+3.0#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#36
Freethrows+1.6#69
Improvement+1.9#88

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#235
First Shot-2.6#252
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#130
Layups/Dunks+2.0#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#337
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#266
Freethrows+1.0#115
Improvement+1.2#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 9.6% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.1 11.7 12.2
.500 or above 85.8% 97.5% 83.1%
.500 or above in Conference 95.3% 100.0% 94.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.7% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 1.3% 0.1%
First Round5.8% 8.7% 5.1%
Second Round1.1% 1.9% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington (Away) - 19.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 314   Maine W 75-61 94%     1 - 0 +1.9 +1.7 +1.0
  Nov 12, 2018 43   @ Minnesota L 69-78 24%     1 - 1 +3.5 +4.8 -1.6
  Nov 15, 2018 350   Mississippi Valley W 98-63 98%     2 - 1 +14.6 +12.8 +0.3
  Nov 22, 2018 160   Hawaii L 79-90 69%     2 - 2 -11.1 +8.8 -20.2
  Nov 23, 2018 102   Grand Canyon W 75-66 51%     3 - 2 +13.8 +12.9 +1.9
  Nov 25, 2018 63   Northwestern L 57-79 41%     3 - 3 -14.6 -3.6 -13.0
  Dec 01, 2018 96   Tulsa W 69-64 61%     4 - 3 +7.3 +3.4 +4.3
  Dec 08, 2018 73   BYU L 59-74 44%     4 - 4 -8.3 -7.3 -2.5
  Dec 15, 2018 5   @ Kentucky L 61-88 6%     4 - 5 -4.3 +6.5 -13.9
  Dec 17, 2018 325   Florida A&M W 93-64 95%     5 - 5 +15.5 +24.6 -6.9
  Dec 21, 2018 307   Northern Arizona W 76-62 93%     6 - 5 +2.8 +2.6 +1.5
  Dec 29, 2018 13   Nevada L 71-86 22%     6 - 6 -1.7 +8.7 -11.3
  Jan 03, 2019 54   @ Arizona St. W 96-86 27%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +21.5 +20.6 +0.1
  Jan 05, 2019 84   @ Arizona L 81-84 36%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +5.7 +9.6 -3.7
  Jan 10, 2019 36   Washington L 53-69 37%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -7.4 -9.2 +0.3
  Jan 12, 2019 167   Washington St. W 88-70 78%     8 - 8 2 - 2 +15.0 +4.8 +9.1
  Jan 20, 2019 66   Colorado W 78-69 53%     9 - 8 3 - 2 +13.4 +7.6 +5.7
  Jan 24, 2019 92   @ Stanford W 70-66 39%     10 - 8 4 - 2 +12.1 +3.6 +8.6
  Jan 26, 2019 257   @ California W 82-64 78%     11 - 8 5 - 2 +15.2 +8.6 +7.4
  Jan 31, 2019 55   Oregon L 72-78 48%     11 - 9 5 - 3 -0.3 +6.7 -7.2
  Feb 02, 2019 75   Oregon St. L 72-81 55%     11 - 10 5 - 4 -5.2 +1.8 -7.2
  Feb 06, 2019 78   @ USC W 77-70 35%     12 - 10 6 - 4 +16.0 +7.6 +8.3
  Feb 09, 2019 94   @ UCLA W 93-92 39%     13 - 10 7 - 4 +9.0 +16.0 -7.1
  Feb 14, 2019 84   Arizona W 83-76 58%     14 - 10 8 - 4 +10.2 +13.3 -3.1
  Feb 16, 2019 54   Arizona St. L 87-98 47%     14 - 11 8 - 5 -5.0 +13.6 -18.2
  Feb 20, 2019 36   @ Washington L 67-76 19%    
  Feb 23, 2019 167   @ Washington St. W 82-79 59%    
  Mar 02, 2019 66   @ Colorado L 71-76 32%    
  Mar 07, 2019 78   USC W 78-76 57%    
  Mar 09, 2019 94   UCLA W 80-77 61%    
Projected Record 16.3 - 13.7 10.3 - 7.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1st
2nd 0.6 10.3 9.5 1.5 21.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 6.5 14.7 2.0 0.0 23.2 3rd
4th 0.3 14.0 3.6 0.0 17.9 4th
5th 0.0 2.9 9.8 0.2 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 7.6 2.4 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.5 6.9 0.2 7.7 7th
8th 2.0 1.8 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 1.9 0.1 1.9 9th
10th 0.3 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 4.7 19.7 33.6 28.8 11.6 1.7 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 12.8% 0.2    0.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 1.7% 21.6% 11.8% 9.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 11.1%
12-6 11.6% 11.4% 9.9% 1.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 10.3 1.7%
11-7 28.8% 7.7% 7.6% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 26.5 0.1%
10-8 33.6% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 32.0 0.0%
9-9 19.7% 2.1% 2.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 19.3
8-10 4.7% 1.0% 1.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.0% 5.6% 0.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 94.0 0.4%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 10.3 2.5 5.0 10.9 34.2 36.6 9.4 1.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 28.6% 11.5 4.8 8.7 10.4 4.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5% 11.8% 12.0 0.6 2.2 6.1 2.6 0.2
Lose Out 2.8%