Pepperdine
West Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#161
Achievement Rating-2.8#203
Pace75.4#52
Improvement+3.4#48

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#165
First Shot+1.7#137
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#257
Layup/Dunks-0.7#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#72
Freethrows+1.2#95
Improvement+2.5#58

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#187
First Shot+0.4#158
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#269
Layups/Dunks-0.3#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#171
Freethrows-0.1#188
Improvement+0.9#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 13.5 15.1
.500 or above 0.1% 0.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 65.9% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 183   @ Northern Colorado L 80-88 44%     0 - 1 -6.6 +2.5 -8.5
  Nov 16, 2018 253   Towson W 74-65 70%     1 - 1 +3.6 -8.0 +10.8
  Nov 17, 2018 128   Georgia Southern L 78-88 38%     1 - 2 -6.9 -5.4 +0.0
  Nov 18, 2018 144   Miami (OH) W 86-80 43%     2 - 2 +7.7 +7.8 -0.4
  Nov 26, 2018 313   Idaho St. W 97-82 86%     3 - 2 +3.3 +10.7 -8.1
  Dec 01, 2018 169   Abilene Christian W 77-62 61%     4 - 2 +11.9 +5.1 +7.2
  Dec 03, 2018 276   Cal St. Northridge L 83-90 81%     4 - 3 -16.3 -6.5 -9.2
  Dec 06, 2018 311   @ UC Riverside L 71-75 71%     4 - 4 -10.0 -2.9 -7.3
  Dec 08, 2018 333   Jackson St. W 69-66 91%     5 - 4 -11.8 -8.5 -3.4
  Dec 15, 2018 279   @ Southern Utah L 69-78 64%     5 - 5 -12.9 -15.0 +3.5
  Dec 17, 2018 75   @ Oregon St. L 67-82 18%     5 - 6 -5.6 -4.5 -0.7
  Dec 20, 2018 221   @ Long Beach St. L 66-67 52%     5 - 7 -1.6 -5.2 +3.5
  Dec 31, 2018 346   Alabama A&M W 100-64 94%     6 - 7 +18.2 +18.4 -1.4
  Jan 03, 2019 143   Loyola Marymount W 77-62 53%     7 - 7 1 - 0 +14.0 +6.8 +7.4
  Jan 05, 2019 61   San Francisco L 69-72 31%     7 - 8 1 - 1 +1.9 -3.7 +5.8
  Jan 10, 2019 189   @ Santa Clara L 64-67 46%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -2.0 -5.2 +3.1
  Jan 12, 2019 103   @ San Diego W 76-71 23%     8 - 9 2 - 2 +12.5 +7.3 +5.1
  Jan 17, 2019 73   BYU L 76-87 35%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -7.1 -3.5 -2.7
  Jan 19, 2019 143   @ Loyola Marymount L 70-74 33%     8 - 11 2 - 4 +0.5 +2.3 -1.8
  Jan 26, 2019 53   St. Mary's W 84-77 27%     9 - 11 3 - 4 +13.3 +9.8 +3.4
  Jan 31, 2019 317   @ Portland W 83-58 75%     10 - 11 4 - 4 +17.9 +6.2 +10.9
  Feb 02, 2019 187   @ Pacific L 59-66 45%     10 - 12 4 - 5 -5.8 -11.3 +5.3
  Feb 07, 2019 189   Santa Clara L 71-79 67%     10 - 13 4 - 6 -12.5 -2.5 -10.1
  Feb 09, 2019 103   San Diego W 70-67 42%     11 - 13 5 - 6 +5.0 +0.3 +4.7
  Feb 14, 2019 61   @ San Francisco L 77-89 16%     11 - 14 5 - 7 -1.5 +9.9 -11.6
  Feb 16, 2019 53   @ St. Mary's L 65-72 13%     11 - 15 5 - 8 +4.9 +4.3 -0.5
  Feb 21, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 69-96 0.5%   
  Feb 23, 2019 317   Portland W 79-67 88%    
  Mar 02, 2019 187   Pacific W 74-70 66%    
Projected Record 12.6 - 16.4 6.6 - 9.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.8 25.0 0.3 26.1 5th
6th 0.0 8.1 26.2 0.0 34.3 6th
7th 0.4 18.5 7.3 26.3 7th
8th 3.3 9.3 0.3 12.9 8th
9th 0.4 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 10th
Total 4.2 36.7 58.8 0.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
7-9 58.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 58.7
6-10 36.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 36.7
5-11 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.2
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 2.2%