Towson
Colonial Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#284
Achievement Rating-11.2#299
Pace65.0#300
Improvement+2.2#39

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#281
First Shot-5.6#312
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#71
Layup/Dunks-6.1#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#13
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#317
Freethrows+0.6#145
Improvement+1.6#54

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#265
First Shot+0.1#170
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#334
Layups/Dunks+4.0#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#299
Freethrows+0.4#157
Improvement+0.6#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 3.6% 6.9% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 16.0% 20.7% 13.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 29.2% 23.8% 32.3%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.5%
First Round0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Neutral) - 36.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 7   @ Virginia L 42-73 1%     0 - 1 -9.9 -8.8 -9.1
  Nov 16, 2018 225   Pepperdine L 65-74 38%     0 - 2 -12.6 -16.8 +5.0
  Nov 17, 2018 209   Florida Atlantic L 71-85 35%     0 - 3 -16.9 +5.6 -24.2
  Nov 18, 2018 206   North Dakota St. L 51-76 34%     0 - 4 -27.6 -23.1 -5.9
  Nov 25, 2018 299   Loyola Maryland W 85-69 64%     1 - 4 +5.4 +6.9 -1.1
  Nov 30, 2018 106   Vermont L 64-70 21%     1 - 5 -4.5 -1.8 -3.4
  Dec 05, 2018 280   @ George Washington L 64-68 38%     1 - 6 -7.6 -3.4 -4.7
  Dec 08, 2018 312   Morgan St. L 69-74 58%     1 - 7 -14.0 -8.8 -5.0
  Dec 11, 2018 212   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 80-76 25%     2 - 7 +4.1 +1.2 +2.4
  Dec 21, 2018 215   Tulane L 67-71 36%    
  Dec 22, 2018 351   Alabama A&M W 70-59 85%    
  Dec 28, 2018 305   @ Elon L 69-71 44%    
  Dec 30, 2018 198   @ William & Mary L 70-78 24%    
  Jan 03, 2019 122   College of Charleston L 62-69 25%    
  Jan 05, 2019 219   UNC Wilmington L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 09, 2019 231   Cornell W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 12, 2019 233   @ James Madison L 64-69 31%    
  Jan 17, 2019 253   @ Drexel L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 19, 2019 218   @ Delaware L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 24, 2019 88   Northeastern L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 26, 2019 118   Hofstra L 68-76 24%    
  Jan 31, 2019 219   @ UNC Wilmington L 71-78 28%    
  Feb 02, 2019 122   @ College of Charleston L 59-72 12%    
  Feb 09, 2019 233   James Madison W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 14, 2019 218   Delaware L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 16, 2019 253   Drexel W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 21, 2019 118   @ Hofstra L 65-79 11%    
  Feb 23, 2019 88   @ Northeastern L 62-78 8%    
  Feb 28, 2019 198   William & Mary L 73-75 44%    
  Mar 02, 2019 305   Elon W 72-68 65%    
Projected Record 9.7 - 20.3 6.0 - 12.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.1 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 14.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.9 7.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 17.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.9 6.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 19.4 9th
10th 0.5 2.0 4.7 6.2 4.5 1.4 0.1 19.3 10th
Total 0.5 2.0 5.2 9.0 12.9 15.1 15.3 13.4 10.5 7.3 4.5 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 76.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 58.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 24.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 9.5% 9.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 16.8% 16.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.5% 8.2% 8.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.1% 5.0% 5.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
11-7 2.4% 4.2% 4.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 2.3
10-8 4.5% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.4
9-9 7.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.2
8-10 10.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.4
7-11 13.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.3
6-12 15.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.3
5-13 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.1
4-14 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.9
3-15 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.0
2-16 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
1-17 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%