Pacific
West Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#186
Achievement Rating-1.4#185
Pace65.4#280
Improvement-0.6#212

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#215
First Shot-1.0#211
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#178
Layup/Dunks-0.8#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#312
Freethrows+3.7#7
Improvement-2.7#294

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#181
First Shot-2.2#242
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#24
Layups/Dunks+3.0#67
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#176
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#301
Freethrows-2.0#303
Improvement+2.1#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 3.4% 7.5% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 41.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 330   @ SIU Edwardsville W 74-65 76%     1 - 0 +0.3 -6.8 +6.7
  Nov 09, 2018 13   @ Nevada L 61-83 4%     1 - 1 -3.2 -0.3 -4.0
  Nov 15, 2018 310   @ Idaho St. W 83-76 68%     2 - 1 +0.9 +8.1 -6.8
  Nov 20, 2018 151   @ UNLV L 70-96 31%     2 - 2 -22.1 +0.0 -22.5
  Nov 22, 2018 304   UC Riverside W 74-54 82%     3 - 2 +9.0 -2.8 +12.6
  Nov 23, 2018 173   Abilene Christian L 71-73 57%     3 - 3 -5.4 -0.7 -4.8
  Nov 24, 2018 315   Elon W 65-57 84%     4 - 3 -4.0 -16.7 +12.2
  Nov 28, 2018 61   @ Fresno St. L 78-81 14%     4 - 4 +7.4 +4.3 +3.4
  Dec 01, 2018 237   Air Force W 82-69 71%     5 - 4 +5.8 +11.1 -4.0
  Dec 10, 2018 214   Long Beach St. W 74-68 67%     6 - 4 -0.1 -7.7 +7.5
  Dec 16, 2018 272   @ Cal St. Northridge W 79-77 59%     7 - 4 -1.6 -1.3 -0.4
  Dec 22, 2018 122   @ Boise St. L 71-83 24%     7 - 5 -5.9 +6.6 -13.5
  Dec 29, 2018 107   UC Irvine W 84-75 39%     8 - 5 +10.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 03, 2019 75   BYU L 87-90 31%     8 - 6 0 - 1 +0.7 +6.2 -5.2
  Jan 05, 2019 102   @ San Diego L 64-73 20%     8 - 7 0 - 2 -1.3 -2.6 +0.9
  Jan 10, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 36-67 1%     8 - 8 0 - 3 -4.3 -25.6 +20.0
  Jan 12, 2019 318   @ Portland W 65-57 71%     9 - 8 1 - 3 +1.0 -2.8 +4.5
  Jan 17, 2019 62   San Francisco L 52-53 27%     9 - 9 1 - 4 +3.9 -10.0 +13.7
  Jan 19, 2019 193   Santa Clara L 57-69 62%     9 - 10 1 - 5 -16.7 -3.1 -16.6
  Jan 26, 2019 318   Portland W 74-70 85%     10 - 10 2 - 5 -8.4 -4.8 -3.8
  Jan 31, 2019 140   @ Loyola Marymount L 42-60 27%     10 - 11 2 - 6 -13.2 -18.9 +2.5
  Feb 02, 2019 163   Pepperdine W 66-59 55%     11 - 11 3 - 6 +4.0 -6.4 +10.5
  Feb 07, 2019 53   @ St. Mary's L 66-78 11%     11 - 12 3 - 7 +0.0 +12.6 -15.0
  Feb 09, 2019 75   @ BYU L 59-69 16%     11 - 13 3 - 8 -0.8 -5.1 +3.1
  Feb 16, 2019 193   @ Santa Clara L 66-68 41%    
  Feb 21, 2019 53   St. Mary's L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 23, 2019 140   Loyola Marymount L 62-63 48%    
  Feb 28, 2019 2   Gonzaga L 64-87 2%    
  Mar 02, 2019 163   @ Pepperdine L 70-74 35%    
Projected Record 12.5 - 16.5 4.5 - 11.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 1.5 5.5 1.5 8.4 7th
8th 7.2 17.4 6.6 0.2 31.4 8th
9th 16.9 28.6 12.8 1.1 0.0 59.5 9th
10th 10th
Total 16.9 35.8 31.7 13.4 2.2 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.1% 0.1
7-9 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 2.2
6-10 13.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 13.4
5-11 31.7% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 31.7
4-12 35.8% 0.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 35.8
3-13 16.9% 16.9
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.5%