Pacific
West Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#161
Achievement Rating+1.5#156
Pace66.4#269
Improvement+2.3#36

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#147
First Shot-0.6#196
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#80
Layup/Dunks-2.1#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#291
Freethrows+3.1#39
Improvement+1.8#47

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#199
First Shot-3.8#283
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#21
Layups/Dunks+1.0#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#337
Freethrows-0.2#182
Improvement+0.6#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.5 13.8
.500 or above 39.6% 45.4% 20.4%
.500 or above in Conference 29.4% 31.6% 22.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 6.8% 10.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Away) - 76.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 327   @ SIU Edwardsville W 74-65 78%     1 - 0 +0.9 -7.2 +7.7
  Nov 09, 2018 10   @ Nevada L 61-83 4%     1 - 1 -1.3 -1.9 -0.5
  Nov 15, 2018 244   @ Idaho St. W 83-76 58%     2 - 1 +5.0 +11.0 -5.6
  Nov 20, 2018 136   @ UNLV L 70-96 30%     2 - 2 -20.7 +2.3 -23.5
  Nov 22, 2018 293   UC Riverside W 74-54 83%     3 - 2 +9.7 +0.1 +10.4
  Nov 23, 2018 164   Abilene Christian L 71-73 62%     3 - 3 -5.2 +1.7 -7.0
  Nov 24, 2018 304   Elon W 65-57 85%     4 - 3 -3.1 -16.5 +12.9
  Nov 28, 2018 61   @ Fresno St. L 78-81 15%     4 - 4 +7.9 +4.2 +3.9
  Dec 01, 2018 243   Air Force W 82-69 78%     5 - 4 +5.0 +14.4 -8.1
  Dec 10, 2018 197   Long Beach St. W 74-68 69%     6 - 4 +0.8 -2.3 +3.0
  Dec 16, 2018 324   @ Cal St. Northridge W 80-72 77%    
  Dec 22, 2018 128   @ Boise St. L 67-73 29%    
  Dec 29, 2018 97   UC Irvine L 65-67 41%    
  Jan 03, 2019 65   BYU L 75-79 34%    
  Jan 05, 2019 77   @ San Diego L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 10, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 68-90 2%    
  Jan 12, 2019 271   @ Portland W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 17, 2019 47   San Francisco L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 19, 2019 273   Santa Clara W 74-65 80%    
  Jan 26, 2019 271   Portland W 77-68 79%    
  Jan 31, 2019 135   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-68 31%    
  Feb 02, 2019 225   Pepperdine W 79-72 73%    
  Feb 07, 2019 52   @ St. Mary's L 63-76 13%    
  Feb 09, 2019 65   @ BYU L 72-82 17%    
  Feb 16, 2019 273   @ Santa Clara W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 21, 2019 52   St. Mary's L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 23, 2019 135   Loyola Marymount W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 28, 2019 2   Gonzaga L 71-87 7%    
  Mar 02, 2019 225   @ Pepperdine W 76-75 52%    
Projected Record 13.8 - 15.2 6.4 - 9.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 6.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 5.1 9.3 4.4 0.4 0.0 19.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 7.2 10.4 4.6 0.5 0.0 23.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 5.8 7.0 2.2 0.1 16.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.6 0.8 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.3 5.8 10.7 15.6 18.1 17.4 13.3 8.6 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 63.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 30.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 9.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 29.5% 6.8% 22.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.4%
13-3 0.2% 20.3% 5.9% 14.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.3%
12-4 0.7% 10.5% 4.3% 6.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 6.5%
11-5 2.0% 2.9% 1.7% 1.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.2%
10-6 4.7% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 0.3%
9-7 8.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 0.0%
8-8 13.3% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.2
7-9 17.4% 0.3% 0.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.4
6-10 18.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.1
5-11 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.6
4-12 10.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.7
3-13 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.8
2-14 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.3
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5 0.1%