Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.5#342
Achievement Rating-20.9#349
Pace67.5#222
Improvement-4.6#331

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#336
First Shot-8.4#339
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#130
Layup/Dunks-3.4#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#340
Freethrows-1.3#266
Improvement-6.9#351

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#335
First Shot-7.2#346
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#120
Layups/Dunks-3.2#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#186
Freethrows-4.4#351
Improvement+2.3#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.9% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 33.2% 19.1% 57.4%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Home) - 63.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 44   @ Alabama L 62-82 2%     0 - 1 -7.7 -7.5 +0.5
  Nov 10, 2018 33   @ Baylor L 53-80 1%     0 - 2 -12.5 -11.9 -1.5
  Nov 13, 2018 16   @ Louisville L 54-104 1%     0 - 3 -31.8 -11.0 -19.0
  Nov 17, 2018 139   @ George Mason L 65-69 5%     0 - 4 +0.6 -2.3 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2018 263   Western Michigan L 70-85 21%     0 - 5 -20.9 -2.0 -19.8
  Nov 24, 2018 309   @ NC Central L 71-83 21%     0 - 6 -18.0 +3.3 -22.4
  Dec 01, 2018 185   @ Louisiana L 78-88 8%     0 - 7 -8.8 -2.0 -6.1
  Dec 07, 2018 77   @ South Dakota St. L 92-101 2%     0 - 8 +0.1 +17.9 -17.4
  Dec 09, 2018 12   @ Iowa St. L 65-101 1%     0 - 9 -17.0 -3.1 -12.4
  Dec 15, 2018 331   Northwestern St. L 66-69 39%     0 - 10 -14.5 -13.5 -0.8
  Dec 19, 2018 217   California Baptist L 76-79 21%     0 - 11 -9.0 -3.4 -5.6
  Dec 28, 2018 24   @ Marquette L 41-84 1%     0 - 12 -26.6 -26.7 +1.8
  Jan 05, 2019 265   Prairie View L 73-82 29%     0 - 13 0 - 1 -17.7 -6.7 -10.6
  Jan 07, 2019 228   Texas Southern L 67-77 23%     0 - 14 0 - 2 -16.9 -10.6 -6.4
  Jan 12, 2019 284   @ Grambling St. L 63-69 17%     0 - 15 0 - 3 -10.2 -5.8 -4.6
  Jan 14, 2019 333   @ Jackson St. L 58-64 31%     0 - 16 0 - 4 -15.3 -9.6 -6.2
  Jan 19, 2019 330   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 69-67 49%     1 - 16 1 - 4 -12.1 -2.5 -9.5
  Jan 21, 2019 350   Mississippi Valley W 80-56 72%     2 - 16 2 - 4 +3.6 +1.6 +2.8
  Jan 26, 2019 346   @ Alabama A&M L 62-68 42%     2 - 17 2 - 5 -18.3 -15.6 -2.5
  Jan 28, 2019 320   @ Alabama St. L 65-69 25%     2 - 18 2 - 6 -11.3 -14.3 +3.2
  Feb 02, 2019 349   @ Alcorn St. L 64-76 48%     2 - 19 2 - 7 -26.0 -9.4 -17.4
  Feb 09, 2019 284   Grambling St. L 40-59 32%     2 - 20 2 - 8 -28.7 -27.7 -3.8
  Feb 11, 2019 333   Jackson St. W 76-67 51%     3 - 20 3 - 8 -5.8 +4.3 -9.6
  Feb 16, 2019 330   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 45-61 29%     3 - 21 3 - 9 -24.6 -23.3 -4.1
  Feb 18, 2019 350   @ Mississippi Valley L 59-70 52%     3 - 22 3 - 10 -25.9 -19.3 -6.5
  Feb 23, 2019 346   Alabama A&M W 67-64 63%    
  Feb 25, 2019 320   Alabama St. L 67-69 45%    
  Mar 02, 2019 349   Alcorn St. W 68-63 69%    
  Mar 07, 2019 265   @ Prairie View L 68-79 14%    
  Mar 09, 2019 228   @ Texas Southern L 71-84 10%    
Projected Record 5.0 - 25.0 5.0 - 13.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.3 0.7 0.2 1.1 6th
7th 6.6 18.0 4.6 0.2 29.4 7th
8th 2.9 22.0 6.8 0.2 31.9 8th
9th 1.5 15.1 9.0 0.3 25.9 9th
10th 4.3 6.7 0.6 0.0 11.5 10th
Total 5.7 24.7 38.3 25.4 5.5 0.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.4% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
7-11 5.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 5.4
6-12 25.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.4 25.0
5-13 38.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 38.2
4-14 24.7% 24.7
3-15 5.7% 5.7
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 5.7%