Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.9#333
Achievement Rating-16.5#333
Pace68.7#214
Improvement+2.2#46

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#277
First Shot-7.0#329
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#32
Layup/Dunks-3.7#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#286
Freethrows+0.1#171
Improvement+4.4#4

Defense
Total Defense-8.2#348
First Shot-9.3#352
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#103
Layups/Dunks-3.8#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#182
Freethrows-5.8#350
Improvement-2.2#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 7.6% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.6% 16.8% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 50.7% 73.9% 50.6%
Conference Champion 3.5% 8.7% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 1.1% 7.0%
First Four4.4% 7.6% 4.4%
First Round1.8% 2.8% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 62   @ Alabama L 62-82 3%     0 - 1 -9.3 -7.5 -1.0
  Nov 10, 2018 82   @ Baylor L 53-80 4%     0 - 2 -17.9 -12.2 -6.5
  Nov 13, 2018 32   @ Louisville L 54-104 1%     0 - 3 -34.9 -13.9 -19.4
  Nov 17, 2018 171   @ George Mason L 65-69 10%     0 - 4 -1.6 -3.7 +1.9
  Nov 23, 2018 223   Western Michigan L 70-85 21%     0 - 5 -18.6 -0.5 -19.0
  Nov 24, 2018 314   @ NC Central L 71-83 29%     0 - 6 -18.1 +2.1 -21.4
  Dec 01, 2018 126   @ Louisiana L 78-88 6%     0 - 7 -4.0 +3.1 -6.4
  Dec 07, 2018 96   @ South Dakota St. L 92-101 4%     0 - 8 -0.6 +16.8 -17.1
  Dec 09, 2018 22   @ Iowa St. L 62-90 0.4%   
  Dec 15, 2018 346   Northwestern St. W 74-70 65%    
  Dec 19, 2018 237   California Baptist L 75-79 34%    
  Dec 28, 2018 34   @ Marquette L 62-89 1%    
  Jan 05, 2019 271   Prairie View L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 07, 2019 221   Texas Southern L 78-83 31%    
  Jan 12, 2019 288   @ Grambling St. L 71-79 24%    
  Jan 14, 2019 337   @ Jackson St. L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 19, 2019 322   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 21, 2019 348   Mississippi Valley W 77-70 75%    
  Jan 26, 2019 352   @ Alabama A&M W 70-68 59%    
  Jan 28, 2019 328   @ Alabama St. L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 02, 2019 345   @ Alcorn St. W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 09, 2019 288   Grambling St. L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 11, 2019 337   Jackson St. W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 16, 2019 322   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 18, 2019 348   @ Mississippi Valley W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 23, 2019 352   Alabama A&M W 73-65 78%    
  Feb 25, 2019 328   Alabama St. W 76-74 58%    
  Mar 02, 2019 345   Alcorn St. W 74-67 73%    
  Mar 07, 2019 271   @ Prairie View L 71-80 22%    
  Mar 09, 2019 221   @ Texas Southern L 75-86 16%    
Projected Record 9.6 - 20.4 8.6 - 9.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.3 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.9 3.8 0.8 0.0 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.7 6.7 3.9 0.6 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.9 6.6 3.5 0.5 0.0 15.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.3 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.6 1.2 0.2 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.0 6.6 9.7 12.4 13.8 13.8 12.3 9.7 7.0 4.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 97.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 80.2% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 50.9% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 20.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 30.9% 30.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 27.4% 27.4% 16.0 0.1 0.2
15-3 1.0% 20.5% 20.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.8
14-4 2.2% 16.8% 16.8% 16.0 0.4 1.8
13-5 4.3% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.6 3.7
12-6 7.0% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.7 6.3
11-7 9.7% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.7 9.1
10-8 12.3% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.6 11.7
9-9 13.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 13.3
8-10 13.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 13.5
7-11 12.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.2
6-12 9.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.6
5-13 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.6
4-14 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.4 95.6 0.0%