Marquette
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.7#24
Achievement Rating+19.0#12
Pace71.5#112
Improvement+2.3#79

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#18
First Shot+8.1#10
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#163
Layup/Dunks-1.5#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#82
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#43
Freethrows+3.3#12
Improvement+1.8#96

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#45
First Shot+3.2#76
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#13
Layups/Dunks+0.0#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#49
Freethrows-0.1#195
Improvement+0.5#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 47.9% 54.6% 27.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
Average Seed 4.6 4.4 5.3
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 47.3% 53.2% 29.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
Second Round75.2% 77.2% 69.1%
Sweet Sixteen36.6% 38.7% 30.0%
Elite Eight11.5% 12.4% 8.5%
Final Four3.9% 4.2% 2.8%
Championship Game1.2% 1.3% 0.9%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.2%

Next Game: Butler (Home) - 75.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 219   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 67-42 96%     1 - 0 +18.9 +1.1 +20.1
  Nov 10, 2018 303   Bethune-Cookman W 92-59 98%     2 - 0 +22.0 +6.7 +11.9
  Nov 14, 2018 45   @ Indiana L 73-96 55%     2 - 1 -10.7 +2.8 -12.1
  Nov 17, 2018 215   Presbyterian W 74-55 96%     3 - 1 +13.0 -2.7 +16.6
  Nov 21, 2018 11   Kansas L 68-77 39%     3 - 2 +7.4 +6.4 +0.8
  Nov 23, 2018 16   Louisville W 77-74 43%     4 - 2 +18.5 +8.8 +9.5
  Nov 27, 2018 214   Charleston Southern W 76-55 96%     5 - 2 +15.0 +0.2 +14.9
  Dec 01, 2018 25   Kansas St. W 83-71 62%     6 - 2 +22.5 +11.5 +10.0
  Dec 04, 2018 266   UTEP W 76-69 97%     7 - 2 -1.7 -0.4 -1.7
  Dec 08, 2018 15   Wisconsin W 74-69 54%     8 - 2 +17.7 +5.6 +11.8
  Dec 18, 2018 273   North Dakota W 92-66 97%     9 - 2 +16.8 +3.8 +9.5
  Dec 21, 2018 28   Buffalo W 103-85 63%     10 - 2 +28.1 +24.5 +1.9
  Dec 28, 2018 342   Southern W 84-41 99%     11 - 2 +25.8 -0.2 +24.3
  Jan 01, 2019 42   @ St. John's L 69-89 52%     11 - 3 0 - 1 -6.7 +0.6 -6.6
  Jan 06, 2019 82   Xavier W 70-52 84%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +21.3 -5.8 +26.3
  Jan 09, 2019 51   @ Creighton W 106-104 56%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +14.0 +24.0 -10.2
  Jan 12, 2019 50   Seton Hall W 70-66 75%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +10.5 -2.8 +13.2
  Jan 15, 2019 68   @ Georgetown W 74-71 64%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +12.9 +4.8 +8.1
  Jan 20, 2019 80   Providence W 79-68 83%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +14.5 +11.9 +2.7
  Jan 23, 2019 98   DePaul W 79-69 86%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +12.3 -0.4 +11.9
  Jan 26, 2019 82   @ Xavier W 87-82 68%     18 - 3 7 - 1 +13.8 +16.3 -2.5
  Jan 30, 2019 46   @ Butler W 76-58 56%     19 - 3 8 - 1 +30.2 +10.1 +20.5
  Feb 05, 2019 42   St. John's L 69-70 72%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +6.7 +4.1 +2.6
  Feb 09, 2019 19   Villanova W 66-65 56%     20 - 4 9 - 2 +13.2 +5.2 +8.1
  Feb 12, 2019 98   @ DePaul W 92-73 71%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +26.8 +24.5 +2.9
  Feb 20, 2019 46   Butler W 77-70 76%    
  Feb 23, 2019 80   @ Providence W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 27, 2019 19   @ Villanova L 71-75 34%    
  Mar 03, 2019 51   Creighton W 81-74 76%    
  Mar 06, 2019 50   @ Seton Hall W 76-74 55%    
  Mar 09, 2019 68   Georgetown W 86-77 82%    
Projected Record 24.9 - 6.1 13.9 - 4.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 3.3 15.3 21.4 7.1 47.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 9.6 20.1 17.4 3.1 52.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.2 2.2 9.8 23.4 32.7 24.5 7.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 7.1    7.1
15-3 87.3% 21.4    13.7 7.7
14-4 46.8% 15.3    5.8 9.6
13-5 14.1% 3.3    0.6 2.7
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 47.3% 47.3 27.3 20.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 7.1% 100.0% 35.5% 64.5% 2.7 0.5 2.6 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-3 24.5% 100.0% 31.3% 68.7% 3.8 0.0 1.5 8.2 9.9 4.4 0.5 0.0 100.0%
14-4 32.7% 100.0% 27.2% 72.8% 4.5 0.1 3.8 12.1 12.4 3.8 0.5 0.0 100.0%
13-5 23.4% 100.0% 23.3% 76.7% 5.3 0.0 0.5 4.3 9.6 6.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-6 9.8% 100.0% 20.3% 79.7% 6.0 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.7 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 2.2% 99.8% 16.7% 83.1% 6.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.8%
10-8 0.2% 94.1% 16.8% 77.2% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.9%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 27.0% 73.0% 4.6 0.5 4.2 15.2 28.0 29.2 15.5 5.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.5% 100.0% 2.0 18.6 63.3 17.0 1.0 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5% 100.0% 2.9 0.2 31.9 51.4 15.2 1.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.5% 100.0% 3.1 18.3 53.1 25.0 3.5 0.1
Lose Out 0.1% 85.4% 9.3 14.6 45.1 14.6 8.5 2.4