America East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
86 Vermont 64.9%   13   14 - 6 5 - 1 23 - 7 14 - 2 +6.5      +1.8 125 +4.7 67 65.2 286 +5.1 100 +1.7 1
151 Stony Brook 21.7%   12 - 8 4 - 2 19 - 11 11 - 5 +1.0      -0.9 200 +1.9 119 71.7 110 +1.4 146 -1.6 3
229 Albany 5.8%   10 - 10 4 - 2 15 - 15 9 - 7 -3.9      -3.7 282 -0.2 167 69.7 161 -4.1 229 -3.0 4
277 Hartford 2.6%   9 - 10 4 - 2 14 - 15 9 - 7 -6.5      -6.0 321 -0.5 179 69.7 159 -4.7 240 +1.4 2
289 Umass Lowell 1.4%   7 - 13 2 - 4 11 - 19 6 - 10 -7.2      0.0 179 -7.2 339 74.9 54 -8.6 301 -10.1 6
292 Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.5%   5 - 12 2 - 4 9 - 18 6 - 10 -7.4      -4.4 296 -3.0 258 66.0 263 -9.2 307 -10.9 9
293 New Hampshire 1.6%   8 - 9 3 - 3 12 - 15 7 - 9 -7.4      -7.2 334 -0.2 166 71.4 118 -5.5 252 -6.9 5
335 Maine 0.2%   5 - 15 2 - 5 8 - 21 5 - 11 -11.4      -6.1 325 -5.2 317 62.6 330 -9.9 312 -10.5 7
337 Binghamton 0.2%   6 - 12 2 - 5 9 - 18 5 - 11 -11.6      -2.4 242 -9.3 345 67.9 229 -7.1 280 -10.8 8






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.1 91.0 7.9 1.0 0.2
Stony Brook 2.1 18.2 61.4 14.4 4.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Albany 3.4 2.8 18.1 38.3 25.1 10.2 3.6 1.6 0.3 0.0
Hartford 3.6 1.8 15.5 35.1 27.2 12.5 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
Umass Lowell 5.8 0.1 1.6 6.0 12.8 23.2 22.2 18.1 10.7 5.3
Maryland Baltimore Co. 6.1 0.0 1.0 5.3 10.6 19.6 22.9 20.6 13.3 6.7
New Hampshire 5.3 0.1 2.6 10.0 18.0 27.4 20.3 12.9 6.2 2.3
Maine 7.4 0.1 0.8 2.7 7.5 13.8 20.2 27.4 27.4
Binghamton 7.6 0.1 0.4 2.1 5.8 12.4 19.8 28.8 30.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 14 - 2 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.1 11.4 25.1 36.3 23.2
Stony Brook 11 - 5 0.2 0.8 2.8 7.6 15.6 24.9 25.8 17.5 4.9
Albany 9 - 7 0.1 0.7 3.4 9.6 18.0 23.9 22.9 14.0 5.9 1.4 0.1
Hartford 9 - 7 0.2 1.2 5.0 12.0 19.1 23.4 20.4 12.7 4.9 1.0 0.1
Umass Lowell 6 - 10 0.3 2.6 9.3 17.0 23.8 21.7 14.9 7.7 2.1 0.4 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 6 - 10 0.5 3.9 11.8 19.8 23.8 21.1 12.1 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.0
New Hampshire 7 - 9 0.7 4.5 12.1 20.7 24.5 19.7 11.7 4.6 1.2 0.1
Maine 5 - 11 4.8 16.0 25.7 25.2 17.5 8.0 2.2 0.6 0.0
Binghamton 5 - 11 5.3 17.9 27.8 25.1 15.5 6.3 1.8 0.3 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 91.0% 78.5 11.6 0.8 0.1
Stony Brook 18.2% 7.1 10.2 0.7 0.1
Albany 2.8% 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.1
Hartford 1.8% 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
Umass Lowell 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0
New Hampshire 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maine
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 64.9% 64.9% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.2 3.7 30.0 24.7 5.9 0.4 0.0 35.1 0.0%
Stony Brook 21.7% 21.7% 0.0% 0.0 1.1 5.7 8.7 5.5 0.7 78.3 0.0%
Albany 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.2 1.4 4.2 94.2 0.0%
Hartford 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.2 97.4 0.0%
Umass Lowell 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1 1.5 98.5 0.0%
New Hampshire 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.1 1.5 98.4 0.0%
Maine 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
Binghamton 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 64.9% 0.0% 64.9% 14.4% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 21.7% 0.0% 21.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 5.8% 2.2% 4.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 2.6% 1.4% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 1.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 95.9% 1.0 4.1 95.9 0.0
2nd Round 16.4% 0.2 83.6 16.4
Sweet Sixteen 4.5% 0.0 95.5 4.5
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0