America East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
85 Vermont 57.6%   13   3 - 0 0 - 0 23 - 6 14 - 2 +6.4      -0.3 181 +6.6 32 68.9 201 +15.1 27 0.0 1
180 Albany 13.3%   1 - 1 0 - 0 17 - 13 10 - 6 -1.2      -0.7 197 -0.6 174 70.2 169 -9.1 283 0.0 1
201 Stony Brook 10.3%   1 - 2 0 - 0 16 - 14 10 - 6 -2.3      -3.2 280 +0.9 137 71.1 140 -3.6 229 0.0 1
204 Maryland Baltimore Co. 10.9%   1 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 12 9 - 7 -2.4      -3.5 285 +1.1 133 63.7 317 +9.0 66 0.0 1
262 Umass Lowell 4.4%   1 - 3 0 - 0 14 - 16 8 - 8 -5.3      +0.7 152 -6.0 327 74.9 73 -7.7 271 0.0 1
296 Hartford 2.1%   2 - 1 0 - 0 12 - 17 7 - 9 -7.8      -5.0 310 -2.8 259 66.8 264 -3.4 227 0.0 1
308 Maine 1.4%   1 - 1 0 - 0 9 - 20 6 - 10 -9.2      -4.9 308 -4.4 298 62.0 337 -0.9 194 0.0 1
326 New Hampshire 0.8%   1 - 1 0 - 0 8 - 19 5 - 11 -10.8      -7.7 340 -3.1 268 67.8 236 -1.9 214 0.0 1
340 Binghamton 0.3%   0 - 3 0 - 0 5 - 22 4 - 12 -13.2      -6.4 328 -6.8 336 65.3 294 -11.6 310 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.4 74.3 16.4 5.7 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Albany 3.2 14.4 27.1 21.2 15.2 10.2 6.1 3.5 1.6 0.6
Stony Brook 3.6 10.2 22.1 21.7 17.6 12.4 7.9 4.8 2.4 0.9
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.7 11.1 21.7 20.4 16.6 12.2 8.5 5.3 3.0 1.1
Umass Lowell 4.7 3.5 10.9 15.4 18.0 17.9 14.6 10.8 6.2 2.7
Hartford 5.7 1.5 5.3 9.2 13.0 16.1 17.9 16.7 12.9 7.6
Maine 6.2 0.9 3.8 6.4 9.9 13.5 17.3 18.6 17.5 12.3
New Hampshire 6.8 0.4 2.0 4.0 6.9 10.5 14.9 19.0 22.5 19.9
Binghamton 7.5 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.4 6.0 10.8 16.7 24.8 36.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 14 - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.7 7.0 11.7 17.6 22.5 21.4 12.9
Albany 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.4 4.5 7.3 10.3 12.8 14.4 14.8 13.3 9.7 5.7 2.4 0.6
Stony Brook 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.6 6.0 8.9 12.1 14.1 15.0 13.7 11.1 7.0 3.8 1.3 0.3
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 4.1 6.5 9.4 11.6 13.3 14.1 13.0 10.7 7.5 4.1 1.6 0.4
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.3 8.3 11.6 14.0 14.9 14.0 11.0 8.1 4.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0
Hartford 7 - 9 0.3 1.4 3.5 6.8 10.2 13.1 14.5 14.2 12.5 9.8 6.5 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Maine 6 - 10 0.6 2.7 6.1 9.7 13.1 14.2 14.4 12.8 10.2 7.2 4.5 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 5 - 11 1.6 5.0 9.4 13.4 15.3 15.0 13.3 10.2 7.4 4.7 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 4 - 12 4.0 10.1 15.3 17.5 16.6 13.5 9.9 6.2 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 74.3% 62.2 10.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Albany 14.4% 8.4 5.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0
Stony Brook 10.2% 5.7 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.1% 6.3 3.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 3.5% 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Hartford 1.5% 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maine 0.9% 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 57.6% 56.6% 1.0% 13   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.4 5.7 19.0 17.5 8.5 2.5 0.3 42.4 2.4%
Albany 13.3% 13.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.0 3.9 4.0 86.7 0.0%
Stony Brook 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.5 3.3 3.0 89.7 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.8 3.2 2.4 89.1 0.0%
Umass Lowell 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.5 95.6 0.0%
Hartford 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 97.9 0.0%
Maine 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 98.6 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.2 0.0%
Binghamton 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 57.6% 0.8% 57.2% 13.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Albany 13.3% 2.0% 12.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 10.3% 1.4% 9.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10.9% 1.0% 10.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 4.4% 1.5% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 2.1% 1.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 1.4% 0.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 98.9 1.1
1st Round 96.0% 1.0 4.0 95.4 0.7
2nd Round 15.5% 0.2 84.5 15.5 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 4.3% 0.0 95.7 4.3 0.0
Elite Eight 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0