Hartford
America East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#283
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#239
Pace69.1#186
Improvement+5.0#15

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#309
First Shot-2.3#256
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#328
Layup/Dunks+0.7#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#95
Freethrows-1.4#278
Improvement+3.4#28

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#217
First Shot+0.0#155
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#308
Layups/Dunks-4.2#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#143
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#61
Freethrows+0.7#144
Improvement+1.5#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.3% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 39.1% 48.3% 21.3%
.500 or above in Conference 76.7% 85.1% 60.5%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.3% 2.7%
First Four1.3% 1.3% 1.2%
First Round1.4% 1.5% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Home) - 65.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 412 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 74-59 80%     1 - 0 -0.8 -9.9 +8.3
  Nov 07, 2019 143   Winthrop L 57-67 29%     1 - 1 -11.3 -16.6 +5.0
  Nov 12, 2019 336   @ Marist W 62-51 60%     2 - 1 +1.4 -2.4 +5.6
  Nov 18, 2019 207   @ Oakland L 50-60 26%     2 - 2 -10.2 -19.5 +8.8
  Nov 24, 2019 273   Merrimack L 58-62 59%     2 - 3 -13.2 -13.7 +0.3
  Nov 27, 2019 76   @ SMU L 58-90 7%     2 - 4 -22.0 -8.9 -15.3
  Nov 30, 2019 135   @ Texas St. L 55-69 14%     2 - 5 -9.1 -12.3 +2.6
  Dec 05, 2019 302   St. Francis Brooklyn L 78-84 66%     2 - 6 -17.1 -8.5 -7.9
  Dec 08, 2019 208   Sacred Heart L 62-79 45%     2 - 7 -22.8 -18.9 -2.9
  Dec 14, 2019 330   Wagner W 71-63 73%     3 - 7 -5.2 -16.1 +10.1
  Dec 22, 2019 294   Cornell W 80-76 63%     4 - 7 -6.4 +2.4 -8.8
  Dec 29, 2019 100   @ Northwestern W 67-66 9%     5 - 7 +8.5 +0.5 +8.1
  Dec 31, 2019 155   @ Bowling Green L 68-81 16%     5 - 8 -9.5 -4.0 -5.8
  Jan 04, 2020 298   New Hampshire W 61-52 65%     6 - 8 1 - 0 -1.8 -10.6 +9.2
  Jan 08, 2020 268   @ Umass Lowell W 80-68 36%     7 - 8 2 - 0 +8.7 +2.2 +6.4
  Jan 15, 2020 136   Stony Brook W 68-65 28%     8 - 8 3 - 0 +2.0 -6.1 +8.0
  Jan 18, 2020 81   @ Vermont L 57-74 7%     8 - 9 3 - 1 -7.4 -4.9 -4.1
  Jan 22, 2020 300   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 68-64 66%    
  Jan 25, 2020 225   @ Albany L 63-69 28%    
  Jan 29, 2020 335   Binghamton W 73-66 75%    
  Feb 01, 2020 338   @ Maine W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 05, 2020 300   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 81   Vermont L 59-70 16%    
  Feb 12, 2020 225   Albany L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 268   Umass Lowell W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 20, 2020 298   @ New Hampshire L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 22, 2020 335   @ Binghamton W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 26, 2020 136   @ Stony Brook L 61-73 14%    
  Mar 03, 2020 338   Maine W 69-60 80%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 2.9 2.9 1.0 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 7.3 11.5 7.9 2.0 0.1 30.7 3rd
4th 0.2 3.6 12.0 12.1 5.1 0.6 0.0 33.7 4th
5th 0.0 2.0 7.2 5.0 1.0 0.0 15.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 2.3 0.3 6.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 1.3 0.1 2.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 1.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.5 6.9 13.3 19.1 20.7 17.7 11.5 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 93.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-3 41.7% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 9.2% 0.5    0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-5 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 7.7% 7.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.4% 8.4% 8.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.8% 5.2% 5.2% 15.5 0.1 0.0 1.7
12-4 5.4% 4.4% 4.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.2
11-5 11.5% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.1 0.4 11.0
10-6 17.7% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 17.3
9-7 20.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 20.3
8-8 19.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 18.8
7-9 13.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.2
6-10 6.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.9
5-11 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-12 0.6% 0.6
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.9 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%