Hartford
America East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#298
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#251
Pace66.8#259
Improvement-0.1#190

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#321
First Shot+0.2#167
After Offensive Rebound-6.3#351
Layup/Dunks+2.3#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#74
Freethrows-2.1#289
Improvement-0.7#279

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#232
First Shot+3.9#72
After Offensive Rebounds-5.9#350
Layups/Dunks-3.8#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#50
Freethrows+1.8#98
Improvement+0.6#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.9% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 20.5% 27.6% 11.0%
.500 or above in Conference 30.8% 35.3% 24.9%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 17.7% 14.7% 21.8%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.6%
First Round1.2% 1.5% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 57.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 411 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 74-59 75%     1 - 0 -0.3 -8.9 +7.9
  Nov 07, 2019 145   Winthrop L 57-67 27%     1 - 1 -11.8 -15.2 +3.1
  Nov 12, 2019 333   @ Marist W 62-51 52%     2 - 1 +2.4 -2.7 +6.9
  Nov 18, 2019 178   @ Oakland L 50-60 17%     2 - 2 -8.0 -17.5 +9.1
  Nov 24, 2019 291   Merrimack W 64-62 57%    
  Nov 27, 2019 93   @ SMU L 56-72 7%    
  Nov 30, 2019 119   @ Texas St. L 56-70 10%    
  Dec 05, 2019 301   St. Francis Brooklyn W 70-67 61%    
  Dec 08, 2019 260   Sacred Heart W 73-72 51%    
  Dec 14, 2019 331   Wagner W 73-67 71%    
  Dec 22, 2019 274   Cornell W 66-65 53%    
  Dec 29, 2019 136   @ Northwestern L 56-69 13%    
  Dec 31, 2019 99   @ Bowling Green L 63-79 8%    
  Jan 04, 2020 320   New Hampshire W 68-63 69%    
  Jan 08, 2020 276   @ Umass Lowell L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 15, 2020 174   Stony Brook L 63-67 35%    
  Jan 18, 2020 70   @ Vermont L 54-73 5%    
  Jan 22, 2020 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 61-63 42%    
  Jan 25, 2020 194   @ Albany L 61-70 21%    
  Jan 29, 2020 326   Binghamton W 69-63 69%    
  Feb 01, 2020 306   @ Maine L 62-64 43%    
  Feb 05, 2020 217   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 58-66 24%    
  Feb 08, 2020 70   Vermont L 57-70 13%    
  Feb 12, 2020 194   Albany L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 15, 2020 276   Umass Lowell W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 20, 2020 320   @ New Hampshire L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 22, 2020 326   @ Binghamton L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 26, 2020 174   @ Stony Brook L 60-70 18%    
  Mar 03, 2020 306   Maine W 65-61 64%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.9 3.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.9 4.2 1.2 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 6.8 4.7 1.0 0.1 15.2 5th
6th 0.3 3.4 7.9 4.8 0.8 0.0 17.2 6th
7th 0.3 3.9 7.4 4.2 0.6 0.0 16.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.0 6.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 14.7 8th
9th 0.4 1.6 3.6 3.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.5 9th
Total 0.4 1.6 4.5 7.8 11.7 14.3 15.0 13.9 11.3 8.5 5.7 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 83.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-3 46.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 15.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
11-5 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.0% 34.8% 34.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 12.9% 12.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.5% 12.5% 12.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-4 1.4% 11.4% 11.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
11-5 3.0% 7.3% 7.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.8
10-6 5.7% 4.8% 4.8% 15.7 0.1 0.2 5.4
9-7 8.5% 2.5% 2.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.3
8-8 11.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.1
7-9 13.9% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.7
6-10 15.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.9
5-11 14.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.3
4-12 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.7
3-13 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.8
2-14 4.5% 4.5
1-15 1.6% 1.6
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%