Albany
America East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#193
Expected Predictive Rating-10.7#306
Pace67.1#254
Improvement+0.6#93

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#240
First Shot+1.1#134
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#315
Layup/Dunks+1.5#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#305
Freethrows+3.2#45
Improvement+0.1#154

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#155
First Shot+0.9#139
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#220
Layups/Dunks-6.5#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#28
Freethrows+0.0#183
Improvement+0.5#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 13.2% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 65.7% 76.8% 53.7%
.500 or above in Conference 81.4% 85.9% 76.4%
Conference Champion 10.6% 12.8% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.0% 2.7%
First Four2.1% 1.9% 2.2%
First Round10.2% 12.3% 7.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 52.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 414 - 617 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 239   Lehigh L 70-74 70%     0 - 1 -11.3 -15.1 +4.2
  Nov 13, 2019 297   Canisius W 83-57 80%     1 - 1 +15.1 +1.8 +12.9
  Nov 16, 2019 253   @ Manhattan L 51-57 50%     1 - 2 -7.9 -15.0 +6.6
  Nov 22, 2019 261   @ Quinnipiac W 69-68 52%    
  Nov 23, 2019 294   Sacred Heart W 77-71 71%    
  Nov 24, 2019 316   Presbyterian W 71-63 78%    
  Nov 30, 2019 230   American W 72-67 67%    
  Dec 04, 2019 123   Yale L 70-71 46%    
  Dec 07, 2019 152   @ Bucknell L 69-74 32%    
  Dec 10, 2019 96   @ Boston College L 65-75 19%    
  Dec 14, 2019 332   Niagara W 77-64 88%    
  Dec 18, 2019 90   @ St. John's L 68-78 18%    
  Dec 21, 2019 267   @ Monmouth W 67-66 52%    
  Dec 30, 2019 167   @ Columbia L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 04, 2020 339   @ Binghamton W 71-63 75%    
  Jan 11, 2020 305   Maine W 69-59 82%    
  Jan 15, 2020 329   @ New Hampshire W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 18, 2020 176   @ Stony Brook L 64-68 37%    
  Jan 22, 2020 278   Umass Lowell W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 25, 2020 298   Hartford W 69-60 78%    
  Jan 29, 2020 208   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62-64 42%    
  Feb 01, 2020 79   Vermont L 61-67 31%    
  Feb 05, 2020 339   Binghamton W 74-60 88%    
  Feb 12, 2020 298   @ Hartford W 66-63 61%    
  Feb 16, 2020 305   @ Maine W 66-62 65%    
  Feb 20, 2020 208   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 65-61 62%    
  Feb 22, 2020 329   New Hampshire W 73-61 85%    
  Feb 26, 2020 278   @ Umass Lowell W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 176   Stony Brook W 67-65 56%    
  Mar 03, 2020 79   @ Vermont L 58-70 16%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.3 3.4 1.6 0.3 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 7.0 8.7 4.6 0.9 24.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.9 8.4 6.2 2.0 0.1 22.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 5.1 7.2 3.8 0.5 0.0 18.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.7 1.5 0.1 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.5 0.8 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.9 5.3 8.1 11.6 14.2 15.1 14.1 12.3 8.0 4.3 1.6 0.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.6    1.4 0.2
14-2 79.8% 3.4    2.4 1.0 0.0
13-3 40.9% 3.3    1.5 1.6 0.2
12-4 13.3% 1.6    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0
11-5 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.1 3.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 52.5% 52.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.6% 41.2% 41.2% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
14-2 4.3% 32.0% 32.0% 14.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.9
13-3 8.0% 21.4% 21.4% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 6.3
12-4 12.3% 18.1% 18.1% 14.9 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 10.1
11-5 14.1% 13.2% 13.2% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 12.2
10-6 15.1% 9.2% 9.2% 15.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 13.7
9-7 14.2% 6.2% 6.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 13.3
8-8 11.6% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.1 0.4 11.1
7-9 8.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.9
6-10 5.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 5.2
5-11 2.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.9
4-12 1.4% 1.4
3-13 0.7% 0.7
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 3.4 4.2 89.0 0.0%