Albany
America East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#229
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#229
Pace69.6#166
Improvement+0.2#171

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#280
First Shot+0.2#169
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#348
Layup/Dunks-3.0#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#71
Freethrows+1.4#77
Improvement-0.8#231

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#169
First Shot-0.4#172
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks-0.3#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#203
Freethrows+0.2#178
Improvement+1.0#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 6.0% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 59.7% 73.4% 44.6%
.500 or above in Conference 86.3% 94.4% 77.5%
Conference Champion 3.5% 5.7% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four1.7% 1.5% 1.9%
First Round4.7% 5.3% 4.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 52.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 415 - 616 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 294   Lehigh L 70-74 74%     0 - 1 -14.4 -17.2 +3.2
  Nov 13, 2019 228   Canisius W 83-57 61%     1 - 1 +19.3 +6.1 +12.7
  Nov 16, 2019 243   @ Manhattan L 51-57 42%     1 - 2 -7.8 -14.0 +5.7
  Nov 22, 2019 224   @ Quinnipiac L 69-86 38%     1 - 3 -17.8 -2.2 -16.5
  Nov 23, 2019 204   Sacred Heart W 72-65 46%     2 - 3 +4.3 -5.0 +9.1
  Nov 24, 2019 326   Presbyterian W 65-60 73%     3 - 3 -5.1 -7.8 +3.1
  Nov 30, 2019 220   American W 68-64 60%     4 - 3 -2.6 -10.3 +7.6
  Dec 04, 2019 70   Yale L 52-61 21%     4 - 4 -4.5 -9.0 +3.3
  Dec 07, 2019 213   @ Bucknell L 64-65 37%     4 - 5 -1.4 -9.6 +8.2
  Dec 10, 2019 143   @ Boston College L 51-72 22%     4 - 6 -16.7 -16.6 -0.5
  Dec 14, 2019 299   Niagara W 84-80 74%     5 - 6 -6.7 +5.3 -11.8
  Dec 18, 2019 69   @ St. John's L 57-85 10%     5 - 7 -17.4 -15.3 +1.2
  Dec 21, 2019 203   @ Monmouth L 70-72 35%     5 - 8 -1.8 +0.0 -1.8
  Dec 30, 2019 256   @ Columbia W 67-66 44%     6 - 8 -1.4 -3.0 +1.7
  Jan 04, 2020 337   @ Binghamton W 74-62 68%     7 - 8 1 - 0 +3.3 -9.0 +11.9
  Jan 11, 2020 335   Maine W 76-70 83%     8 - 8 2 - 0 -8.2 -6.5 -1.9
  Jan 15, 2020 292   @ New Hampshire W 76-73 OT 52%     9 - 8 3 - 0 -1.4 -2.5 +0.8
  Jan 18, 2020 151   @ Stony Brook L 62-70 23%     9 - 9 3 - 1 -4.2 -9.3 +5.4
  Jan 22, 2020 289   Umass Lowell W 101-75 73%     10 - 9 4 - 1 +15.9 +10.0 +3.4
  Jan 25, 2020 276   Hartford L 48-62 71%     10 - 10 4 - 2 -23.4 -28.2 +5.2
  Jan 29, 2020 293   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 01, 2020 86   Vermont L 61-68 24%    
  Feb 05, 2020 337   Binghamton W 76-65 84%    
  Feb 12, 2020 276   @ Hartford L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 16, 2020 335   @ Maine W 67-62 66%    
  Feb 20, 2020 293   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-63 73%    
  Feb 22, 2020 292   New Hampshire W 69-63 74%    
  Feb 26, 2020 289   @ Umass Lowell W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 29, 2020 151   Stony Brook L 67-69 44%    
  Mar 03, 2020 86   @ Vermont L 58-71 11%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.4 0.2 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 5.1 8.1 4.9 0.3 19.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.0 12.8 13.7 6.0 0.4 36.0 3rd
4th 0.0 2.2 10.6 8.9 2.9 0.1 24.6 4th
5th 0.6 4.7 4.3 0.6 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 2.2 0.2 4.3 6th
7th 0.4 0.9 0.2 1.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 9th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.5 9.3 18.0 23.3 21.7 14.7 6.8 1.7 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-3 80.4% 1.4    0.7 0.7 0.0
12-4 21.3% 1.5    0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0
11-5 3.0% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.1 1.7 0.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.2% 13.6% 13.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.7% 14.3% 14.3% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4
12-4 6.8% 10.6% 10.6% 15.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 6.1
11-5 14.7% 8.9% 8.9% 15.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 13.4
10-6 21.7% 6.4% 6.4% 15.7 0.4 1.0 20.3
9-7 23.3% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.1 0.8 22.4
8-8 18.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 17.3
7-9 9.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 9.0
6-10 3.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.4
5-11 0.9% 0.9
4-12 0.1% 0.1
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 15.6 0.1 1.7 3.7 94.5 0.0%