Vermont
America East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#84
Expected Predictive Rating+15.0#28
Pace68.9#199
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#185
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#32
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 2.3% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 56.7% 62.1% 53.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.3% 4.0% 1.4%
Average Seed 12.4 11.8 12.8
.500 or above 99.4% 99.9% 99.2%
.500 or above in Conference 99.4% 99.7% 99.2%
Conference Champion 73.0% 78.3% 69.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.8% 1.2% 0.6%
First Round56.3% 61.5% 52.7%
Second Round12.9% 16.6% 10.4%
Sweet Sixteen4.0% 5.3% 3.1%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.2% 0.7%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 40.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 12 - 3
Quad 36 - 28 - 5
Quad 417 - 225 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 160   @ St. Bonaventure W 61-59 63%     1 - 0 +4.9 -6.9 +11.8
  Nov 10, 2019 146   @ Bucknell W 66-63 59%     2 - 0 +7.1 -9.5 +16.3
  Nov 13, 2019 216   Boston University W 62-47 88%     3 - 0 +8.8 -11.7 +21.1
  Nov 16, 2019 87   @ St. John's L 72-75 41%    
  Nov 19, 2019 7   @ Virginia L 48-63 9%    
  Nov 23, 2019 348   Central Connecticut St. W 79-58 97%    
  Dec 01, 2019 137   @ Yale W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 03, 2019 24   @ Cincinnati L 60-69 19%    
  Dec 07, 2019 156   Towson W 69-60 80%    
  Dec 18, 2019 90   UNC Greensboro W 68-64 63%    
  Dec 20, 2019 193   Lipscomb W 78-67 84%    
  Dec 31, 2019 224   George Washington W 72-59 87%    
  Jan 02, 2020 173   @ Dartmouth W 66-62 65%    
  Jan 08, 2020 208   Stony Brook W 72-60 85%    
  Jan 11, 2020 204   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 65-59 69%    
  Jan 15, 2020 341   @ Binghamton W 73-57 93%    
  Jan 18, 2020 295   Hartford W 73-56 93%    
  Jan 22, 2020 307   @ Maine W 69-57 86%    
  Jan 25, 2020 244   Umass Lowell W 79-65 88%    
  Jan 29, 2020 326   @ New Hampshire W 71-57 89%    
  Feb 01, 2020 179   @ Albany W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 05, 2020 307   Maine W 72-54 94%    
  Feb 08, 2020 295   @ Hartford W 70-59 83%    
  Feb 12, 2020 326   New Hampshire W 74-54 96%    
  Feb 15, 2020 341   Binghamton W 76-54 97%    
  Feb 20, 2020 208   @ Stony Brook W 69-63 69%    
  Feb 22, 2020 204   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 68-56 84%    
  Feb 29, 2020 244   @ Umass Lowell W 76-68 74%    
  Mar 03, 2020 179   Albany W 73-62 81%    
Projected Record 22 - 7 13 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 5.0 12.3 20.9 21.1 12.5 73.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 3.9 6.2 4.5 1.3 16.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.5 0.8 0.1 6.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.9 4.1 7.7 12.0 16.9 22.3 21.1 12.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 12.5    12.5
15-1 100.0% 21.1    20.6 0.6
14-2 94.0% 20.9    17.9 2.9 0.0
13-3 73.0% 12.3    7.9 4.1 0.4 0.0
12-4 41.9% 5.0    2.0 2.3 0.7 0.0
11-5 12.6% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 73.0% 73.0 61.1 10.3 1.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 12.5% 81.8% 77.7% 4.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 2.2 3.3 1.4 0.2 2.3 18.4%
15-1 21.1% 71.3% 69.5% 1.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.5 6.9 3.9 0.8 0.1 6.1 5.8%
14-2 22.3% 59.6% 59.2% 0.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.3 5.3 1.8 0.1 9.0 1.2%
13-3 16.9% 50.4% 50.3% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.1 2.2 3.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 8.4 0.3%
12-4 12.0% 43.5% 43.5% 13.5 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.8
11-5 7.7% 33.4% 33.2% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.1 5.1 0.2%
10-6 4.1% 28.5% 28.5% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.9
9-7 1.9% 20.7% 20.7% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5
8-8 0.9% 16.5% 16.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
7-9 0.4% 8.0% 8.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
6-10 0.2% 9.1% 9.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
5-11 0.0% 0.0
4-12 0.0% 0.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 56.7% 55.6% 1.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 5.6 18.6 17.5 8.2 2.3 0.4 43.3 2.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 4.0 11.1 27.8 27.8 16.7 16.7