Maine
America East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#305
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#256
Pace62.0#335
Improvement-2.1#343

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#301
First Shot-3.8#293
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#211
Layup/Dunks+1.6#116
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#289
Freethrows+0.7#138
Improvement-2.2#352

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#303
First Shot-5.7#322
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#134
Layups/Dunks-10.7#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#10
Freethrows-2.5#292
Improvement+0.1#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 3.1% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 6.7% 20.6% 6.4%
.500 or above in Conference 23.7% 36.6% 23.4%
Conference Champion 0.6% 2.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 20.9% 10.7% 21.1%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
First Round1.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington (Away) - 2.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 71 - 13
Quad 48 - 89 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 280   Merrimack W 84-64 50%     1 - 0 +10.8 +14.3 -2.2
  Nov 10, 2019 102   @ Harvard L 46-67 7%     1 - 1 -13.6 -17.7 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2019 246   @ Portland L 62-71 23%     1 - 2 -10.6 -6.5 -4.8
  Nov 19, 2019 59   @ Washington L 51-72 2%    
  Nov 27, 2019 6   @ Virginia L 40-70 0.3%   
  Dec 01, 2019 85   @ Connecticut L 61-79 4%    
  Dec 04, 2019 146   @ Northeastern L 62-75 11%    
  Dec 07, 2019 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 70-65 68%    
  Dec 11, 2019 201   Dartmouth L 59-63 35%    
  Dec 15, 2019 261   Quinnipiac L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 20, 2019 168   @ Massachusetts L 61-73 15%    
  Dec 29, 2019 202   @ Hawaii L 61-71 18%    
  Jan 02, 2020 167   Columbia L 62-68 30%    
  Jan 05, 2020 176   Stony Brook L 62-67 32%    
  Jan 08, 2020 329   @ New Hampshire L 65-66 46%    
  Jan 11, 2020 193   @ Albany L 59-69 18%    
  Jan 15, 2020 278   Umass Lowell L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 19, 2020 339   Binghamton W 68-62 70%    
  Jan 22, 2020 79   Vermont L 56-69 13%    
  Jan 25, 2020 208   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57-67 20%    
  Feb 01, 2020 298   Hartford W 64-62 55%    
  Feb 05, 2020 79   @ Vermont L 53-72 5%    
  Feb 08, 2020 339   @ Binghamton W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 12, 2020 278   @ Umass Lowell L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 16, 2020 193   Albany L 62-66 35%    
  Feb 22, 2020 176   @ Stony Brook L 59-70 16%    
  Feb 26, 2020 329   New Hampshire W 68-63 66%    
  Feb 29, 2020 208   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 60-64 37%    
  Mar 03, 2020 298   @ Hartford L 61-65 36%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.3 1.0 0.1 6.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.4 1.0 0.1 9.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 6.4 4.1 0.8 0.0 13.9 5th
6th 0.4 3.6 7.6 4.9 0.8 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.9 8.2 4.4 0.7 0.0 19.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.3 6.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 17.3 8th
9th 0.8 2.6 4.4 3.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.0 9th
Total 0.8 2.7 5.9 10.0 13.3 15.4 14.9 13.3 9.4 6.4 4.1 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 93.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 54.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 22.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
11-5 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 19.5% 19.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.3% 19.3% 19.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 1.0% 11.0% 11.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-5 2.2% 5.7% 5.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.1
10-6 4.1% 6.6% 6.6% 15.6 0.1 0.2 3.8
9-7 6.4% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.2
8-8 9.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.2
7-9 13.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 13.1
6-10 14.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.8
5-11 15.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.4
4-12 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-13 10.0% 10.0
2-14 5.9% 5.9
1-15 2.7% 2.7
0-16 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%