Maine
America East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#335
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#311
Pace62.5#329
Improvement+1.3#129

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#323
First Shot-6.6#333
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#136
Layup/Dunks+0.2#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#342
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#207
Freethrows-1.6#293
Improvement-0.8#230

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#316
First Shot-3.5#290
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#318
Layups/Dunks-4.2#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#180
Freethrows-1.8#280
Improvement+2.1#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.3% 6.9% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 47.1% 32.6% 57.9%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hartford (Home) - 42.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 60 - 12
Quad 48 - 108 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 254   Merrimack W 84-64 38%     1 - 0 +11.8 +15.7 -2.5
  Nov 10, 2019 98   @ Harvard L 46-67 5%     1 - 1 -13.0 -17.1 +1.4
  Nov 16, 2019 280   @ Portland L 62-71 23%     1 - 2 -12.7 -6.7 -6.7
  Nov 19, 2019 52   @ Washington L 53-72 2%     1 - 3 -6.2 -8.2 +1.0
  Nov 27, 2019 48   @ Virginia L 26-46 2%     1 - 4 -6.8 -27.0 +14.9
  Dec 01, 2019 73   @ Connecticut L 40-64 3%     1 - 5 -13.9 -23.9 +9.1
  Dec 04, 2019 130   @ Northeastern L 63-78 7%     1 - 6 -9.9 +0.3 -12.5
  Dec 07, 2019 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 66-64 67%     2 - 6 -13.8 -11.7 -2.0
  Dec 11, 2019 200   Dartmouth L 44-77 29%     2 - 7 -38.4 -21.9 -22.3
  Dec 15, 2019 224   Quinnipiac L 61-81 33%     2 - 8 -26.6 -14.8 -12.5
  Dec 20, 2019 194   @ Massachusetts L 53-74 13%     2 - 9 -20.3 -20.1 +0.0
  Dec 29, 2019 170   @ Hawaii L 51-91 10%     2 - 10 -37.5 -15.1 -26.2
  Jan 02, 2020 256   Columbia W 75-72 OT 38%     3 - 10 -5.2 -6.9 +1.5
  Jan 05, 2020 151   Stony Brook L 52-73 19%     3 - 11 0 - 1 -23.0 -19.8 -3.4
  Jan 08, 2020 292   @ New Hampshire L 51-57 25%     3 - 12 0 - 2 -10.4 -17.4 +6.6
  Jan 11, 2020 229   @ Albany L 70-76 17%     3 - 13 0 - 3 -6.9 -4.3 -2.4
  Jan 15, 2020 289   Umass Lowell W 104-98 OT 45%     4 - 13 1 - 3 -4.1 +5.2 -10.4
  Jan 19, 2020 337   Binghamton W 86-63 62%     5 - 13 2 - 3 +8.4 +9.8 +0.6
  Jan 22, 2020 86   Vermont L 57-59 9%     5 - 14 2 - 4 +1.6 -6.2 +7.6
  Jan 25, 2020 293   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 53-63 26%     5 - 15 2 - 5 -14.5 -11.8 -4.5
  Feb 01, 2020 276   Hartford L 62-64 43%    
  Feb 05, 2020 86   @ Vermont L 52-73 3%    
  Feb 08, 2020 337   @ Binghamton L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 12, 2020 289   @ Umass Lowell L 68-75 25%    
  Feb 16, 2020 229   Albany L 62-67 34%    
  Feb 22, 2020 151   @ Stony Brook L 58-73 8%    
  Feb 26, 2020 292   New Hampshire L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 29, 2020 293   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-64 46%    
  Mar 03, 2020 276   @ Hartford L 59-67 23%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.2 2.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 3.8 0.7 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.9 8.1 2.5 0.1 13.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.9 12.1 5.6 0.2 20.8 7th
8th 3.7 14.4 9.7 0.7 28.4 8th
9th 4.9 12.8 8.3 0.9 26.9 9th
Total 4.9 16.5 25.6 25.6 16.5 7.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0
9-7 0.5% 0.5
8-8 2.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
7-9 7.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.4
6-10 16.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.4
5-11 25.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 25.5
4-12 25.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 25.6
3-13 16.5% 16.5
2-14 4.9% 4.9
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.9%