Horizon
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
127 Wright St. 0.0%   23 - 7 15 - 3 23 - 7 15 - 3 +2.8      +1.5 139 +1.2 135 76.8 32 +3.0 125 +4.6 1
145 Northern Kentucky 100.0%   15   21 - 9 13 - 5 21 - 9 13 - 5 +1.4      -0.5 194 +1.9 116 64.3 297 +2.5 131 +1.0 2
193 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   17 - 17 10 - 8 17 - 17 10 - 8 -1.6      -3.9 272 +2.2 106 71.3 109 -3.0 218 -3.2 5
218 Green Bay 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 7 15 - 16 11 - 7 -3.0      +2.3 110 -5.3 316 81.3 8 -2.4 207 -1.5 3
225 Youngstown St. 0.0%   16 - 15 10 - 8 16 - 15 10 - 8 -3.8      +0.7 164 -4.5 304 65.5 264 -3.2 221 -2.9 4
235 Oakland 0.0%   13 - 19 8 - 10 13 - 19 8 - 10 -4.2      -2.3 233 -1.9 237 64.8 284 -4.8 239 -5.7 6
272 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   10 - 19 7 - 11 10 - 19 7 - 11 -6.3      -4.6 292 -1.7 224 71.2 110 -7.6 288 -6.9 8
304 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   8 - 23 6 - 12 8 - 23 6 - 12 -8.0      -1.5 218 -6.5 326 71.0 118 -8.6 306 -8.2 9
310 Cleveland St. 0.0%   10 - 21 7 - 11 10 - 21 7 - 11 -8.5      -6.2 323 -2.2 246 67.3 229 -6.5 272 -6.6 7
329 IUPUI 0.0%   5 - 25 3 - 15 5 - 25 3 - 15 -11.4      -2.4 238 -9.0 344 73.9 60 -12.3 333 -13.1 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 4.0 100.0
Green Bay 3.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 4.0 100.0
Oakland 6.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 9.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 7.0 100.0
IUPUI 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Wright St. 15 - 3 100.0
Northern Kentucky 13 - 5 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 10 - 8 100.0
Green Bay 11 - 7 100.0
Youngstown St. 10 - 8 100.0
Oakland 8 - 10 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7 - 11 100.0
Detroit Mercy 6 - 12 100.0
Cleveland St. 7 - 11 100.0
IUPUI 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0
Northern Kentucky
Illinois-Chicago
Green Bay
Youngstown St.
Oakland
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Detroit Mercy
Cleveland St.
IUPUI


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.1 4.2 52.4 43.3
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 100.0% 7.2% 97.4% 6.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.4% 1.0 2.6 97.4
2nd Round 6.9% 0.1 93.1 6.9
Sweet Sixteen 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0