IUPUI
Horizon
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#320
Expected Predictive Rating-12.2#329
Pace72.7#95
Improvement-0.2#193

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#252
First Shot-4.6#308
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#51
Layup/Dunks-2.2#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#178
Freethrows-0.6#215
Improvement+0.3#161

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#338
First Shot-5.2#324
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#312
Layups/Dunks-2.4#273
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#333
Freethrows+1.4#94
Improvement-0.5#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 79.8% 61.4% 86.5%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Away) - 26.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 31 - 62 - 11
Quad 44 - 126 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 18   @ Butler L 47-80 2%     0 - 1 -16.1 -10.3 -10.4
  Nov 09, 2019 96   @ Bradley L 56-90 6%     0 - 2 -26.0 -12.4 -13.7
  Nov 13, 2019 113   @ South Florida W 70-53 7%     1 - 2 +23.8 +4.9 +19.2
  Nov 20, 2019 95   @ Loyola Chicago L 62-85 6%     1 - 3 -14.9 +0.0 -16.5
  Nov 25, 2019 272   Loyola Maryland L 77-81 37%     1 - 4 -10.1 -7.6 -2.1
  Nov 26, 2019 332   Southern L 77-83 55%     1 - 5 -16.9 +0.7 -17.8
  Nov 30, 2019 252   Evansville L 64-70 44%     1 - 6 -14.0 -10.2 -4.0
  Dec 04, 2019 293   @ Morehead St. L 51-56 32%     1 - 7 -9.7 -24.4 +14.6
  Dec 07, 2019 101   @ Ball St. L 54-102 6%     1 - 8 -40.4 -13.8 -25.7
  Dec 14, 2019 260   Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-65 45%     2 - 8 +0.7 -2.9 +3.6
  Dec 20, 2019 131   @ Fresno St. L 64-95 9%     2 - 9 -25.9 -6.7 -19.1
  Dec 28, 2019 233   Youngstown St. L 73-83 40%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -16.9 -7.9 -8.6
  Dec 30, 2019 313   Cleveland St. L 80-82 60%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -14.1 +3.0 -17.2
  Jan 03, 2020 246   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-78 23%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -5.9 -4.7 -1.0
  Jan 05, 2020 217   @ Green Bay W 93-78 19%     3 - 12 1 - 3 +14.6 +8.6 +4.8
  Jan 10, 2020 117   Wright St. L 70-84 17%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -13.3 -8.5 -3.7
  Jan 12, 2020 114   Northern Kentucky L 71-96 16%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -24.1 -2.0 -21.8
  Jan 18, 2020 228   Illinois-Chicago L 66-75 39%     3 - 15 1 - 6 -15.7 -13.2 -1.9
  Jan 23, 2020 268   @ Detroit Mercy L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 25, 2020 208   @ Oakland L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 30, 2020 313   @ Cleveland St. L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 01, 2020 233   @ Youngstown St. L 70-78 21%    
  Feb 06, 2020 217   Green Bay L 83-86 38%    
  Feb 08, 2020 246   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 14, 2020 114   @ Northern Kentucky L 63-79 6%    
  Feb 16, 2020 117   @ Wright St. L 69-85 7%    
  Feb 22, 2020 228   @ Illinois-Chicago L 69-78 21%    
  Feb 27, 2020 208   Oakland L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 29, 2020 268   Detroit Mercy L 76-77 48%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 0.7 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.1 2.2 4.9 1.3 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.6 4.8 9.4 3.9 0.1 18.8 9th
10th 4.0 13.3 21.6 19.0 7.0 0.6 65.5 10th
Total 4.0 13.3 22.2 24.0 18.6 11.0 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
8-10 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 1.6
7-11 4.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.8
6-12 11.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.0
5-13 18.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.6
4-14 24.0% 24.0
3-15 22.2% 22.2
2-16 13.3% 13.3
1-17 4.0% 4.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.0%