Preseason Rankings
SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#324
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.3#91
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#297
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#334
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 3.2% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 9.2% 36.9% 8.9%
.500 or above in Conference 17.7% 37.2% 17.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 29.5% 11.6% 29.7%
First Four0.2% 1.4% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 2.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 48 - 109 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 39   @ Iowa L 69-93 1%    
  Nov 12, 2019 199   Valparaiso L 67-72 32%    
  Nov 16, 2019 344   @ Incarnate Word W 74-73 51%    
  Nov 18, 2019 165   @ South Dakota L 67-80 12%    
  Nov 23, 2019 147   Northern Illinois L 69-77 22%    
  Nov 26, 2019 247   @ Pacific L 65-74 22%    
  Nov 29, 2019 296   @ UC Riverside L 66-72 31%    
  Dec 04, 2019 351   Chicago St. W 83-73 80%    
  Dec 15, 2019 99   @ Northwestern L 60-78 7%    
  Dec 17, 2019 218   @ Winthrop L 76-86 19%    
  Dec 21, 2019 219   @ Detroit Mercy L 75-85 19%    
  Jan 02, 2020 80   @ Belmont L 70-90 4%    
  Jan 04, 2020 272   @ Tennessee St. L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 09, 2020 264   @ Morehead St. L 71-79 26%    
  Jan 11, 2020 274   @ Eastern Kentucky L 83-90 28%    
  Jan 16, 2020 310   Tennessee Tech W 74-72 55%    
  Jan 18, 2020 216   Jacksonville St. L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 23, 2020 294   Southeast Missouri St. W 77-76 51%    
  Jan 25, 2020 258   Tennessee Martin L 77-79 44%    
  Jan 30, 2020 211   @ Austin Peay L 73-83 19%    
  Feb 01, 2020 119   @ Murray St. L 68-85 8%    
  Feb 06, 2020 264   Morehead St. L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 274   Eastern Kentucky L 86-87 47%    
  Feb 13, 2020 255   @ Eastern Illinois L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 15, 2020 294   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 73-79 32%    
  Feb 20, 2020 211   Austin Peay L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 22, 2020 119   Murray St. L 71-82 19%    
  Feb 27, 2020 258   @ Tennessee Martin L 74-82 26%    
  Feb 29, 2020 255   Eastern Illinois L 74-76 43%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.9 0.6 0.1 5.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.7 1.1 0.1 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.6 1.7 0.2 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.6 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 13.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.7 4.8 6.4 3.5 0.6 0.0 17.2 11th
12th 1.6 4.3 6.2 5.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 20.3 12th
Total 1.6 4.4 8.0 10.8 12.7 13.1 12.3 10.8 8.6 6.4 4.7 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 66.7% 0.0    0.0
16-2 77.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 52.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 20.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 34.5% 34.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 15.7% 15.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.5% 12.0% 12.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 0.9% 8.4% 8.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-6 1.7% 3.4% 3.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
11-7 3.2% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 3.1
10-8 4.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.6
9-9 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.4
8-10 8.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.6
7-11 10.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.8
6-12 12.3% 12.3
5-13 13.1% 13.1
4-14 12.7% 12.7
3-15 10.8% 10.8
2-16 8.0% 8.0
1-17 4.4% 4.4
0-18 1.6% 1.6
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%