IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Northwestern
Big Ten
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.4	#99
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.3	#277
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.3	#219

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.7	#36

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.7%	0.8%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	2.2%	2.3%	0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.2%	9.6%	2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	9.0%	9.4%	2.9%
Average Seed	8.4	8.3	9.1

.500 or above	23.6%	24.9%	6.3%
.500 or above in Conference	10.1%	10.6%	3.7%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	36.1%	34.7%	53.6%

First Four	1.5%	1.6%	0.5%
First Round	8.4%	8.8%	2.6%
Second Round	4.1%	4.3%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	1.1%	1.2%	0.3%
Elite Eight	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 93.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 12
Quad 2	3 - 5	5 - 17
Quad 3	3 - 2	8 - 18
Quad 4	4 - 0	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	304	Merrimack	W	74-58	93%
Nov 13, 2019	36	Providence	L	63-67	36%
Nov 19, 2019	134	Radford	W	67-61	70%
Nov 22, 2019	318	Norfolk St.	W	75-58	94%
Nov 25, 2019	136	Bradley	W	64-61	59%
Dec 03, 2019	101	@ Boston College	L	64-67	40%
Dec 08, 2019	12	@ Purdue	L	59-74	10%
Dec 15, 2019	324	SIU Edwardsville	W	78-60	93%
Dec 18, 2019	1	Michigan St.	L	61-76	10%
Dec 21, 2019	97	@ DePaul	L	68-71	40%
Dec 29, 2019	321	Hartford	W	74-57	93%
Jan 05, 2020	70	@ Minnesota	L	64-70	30%
Jan 08, 2020	47	@ Indiana	L	60-69	23%
Jan 11, 2020	88	Nebraska	W	66-65	55%
Jan 14, 2020	39	Iowa	L	71-75	38%
Jan 18, 2020	42	@ Illinois	L	66-76	22%
Jan 21, 2020	9	Maryland	L	61-70	21%
Jan 26, 2020	14	Ohio St.	L	60-67	27%
Jan 29, 2020	1	@ Michigan St.	L	58-79	4%
Feb 01, 2020	12	Purdue	L	62-71	24%
Feb 09, 2020	66	@ Rutgers	L	62-69	29%
Feb 12, 2020	21	Michigan	L	59-64	33%
Feb 15, 2020	43	@ Penn St.	L	61-70	22%
Feb 18, 2020	9	@ Maryland	L	58-73	10%
Feb 23, 2020	70	Minnesota	L	66-67	50%
Feb 27, 2020	42	Illinois	L	69-73	38%
Mar 01, 2020	88	@ Nebraska	L	63-68	36%
Mar 04, 2020	33	@ Wisconsin	L	55-65	19%
Mar 07, 2020	43	Penn St.	L	64-67	39%
Projected Record						12 - 17	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0					0.4	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0						0.8	3rd
4th											0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0							1.4	4th
5th										0.0	0.3	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0								2.0	5th
6th									0.0	0.4	1.1	0.9	0.2	0.0									2.6	6th
7th								0.0	0.3	1.3	1.5	0.5	0.0										3.6	7th
8th							0.0	0.3	1.4	2.4	0.8	0.1											5.1	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	1.8	3.0	1.5	0.2	0.0											6.6	9th
10th					0.0	0.3	1.8	3.9	2.1	0.3	0.0												8.4	10th
11th				0.0	0.4	2.4	4.4	2.8	0.5	0.0													10.6	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.6	2.9	5.5	3.8	1.0	0.1														13.9	12th
13th		0.2	1.8	4.7	6.4	4.1	1.1	0.1	0.0														18.4	13th
14th	2.1	6.1	7.8	6.4	2.9	0.6	0.1																26.1	14th

Total	2.1	6.2	9.6	11.7	12.6	12.9	11.5	9.8	7.4	5.9	4.0	2.6	1.6	1.0	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	40.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-4	44.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	10.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	3.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0
18-2	0.0%								0.0
17-3	0.0%		100.0%	6.7%	93.3%	3.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-4	0.1%		100.0%	16.1%	83.9%	3.3		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-5	0.3%		100.0%	7.6%	92.4%	4.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
14-6	0.5%		98.6%	4.5%	94.1%	5.2			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		98.5%
13-7	1.0%		97.6%	3.5%	94.1%	6.3			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		97.5%
12-8	1.6%		90.9%	3.8%	87.1%	7.5				0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		90.6%
11-9	2.6%		78.7%	1.8%	77.0%	8.8					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.0	0.0				0.5		78.3%
10-10	4.0%		51.0%	0.1%	50.9%	9.6						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0				1.9		51.0%
9-11	5.9%		21.4%	0.0%	21.4%	10.2						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0				4.6		21.4%
8-12	7.4%		5.8%	0.2%	5.6%	10.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1					7.0		5.6%
7-13	9.8%		0.7%	0.1%	0.6%	10.9										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					9.7		0.6%
6-14	11.5%		0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	10.2											0.0	0.0	0.0					11.5		0.1%
5-15	12.9%		0.0%	0.0%		12.0													0.0					12.9
4-16	12.6%																							12.6
3-17	11.7%		0.0%	0.0%		13.0														0.0				11.7
2-18	9.6%																							9.6
1-19	6.2%																							6.2
0-20	2.1%																							2.1

Total	100%		9.2%	0.2%	8.9%	8.4		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.9	1.0	1.3	1.2	1.4	1.7	0.5	0.0				90.8		9.0%