Preseason Rankings
Winthrop
Big South
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#218
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace79.7#15
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#199
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#249
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 12.8% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 55.1% 64.5% 38.2%
.500 or above in Conference 73.8% 78.3% 65.6%
Conference Champion 13.2% 16.1% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.0% 4.2%
First Four1.9% 1.8% 2.0%
First Round9.8% 12.0% 5.9%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hartford (Away) - 64.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 42 - 10
Quad 413 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 321   @ Hartford W 79-75 64%    
  Nov 10, 2019 118   @ Fresno St. L 72-81 20%    
  Nov 11, 2019 19   @ St. Mary's L 63-82 4%    
  Nov 14, 2019 71   @ East Tennessee St. L 72-86 11%    
  Nov 21, 2019 310   Tennessee Tech W 81-72 78%    
  Nov 29, 2019 3   @ Duke L 72-98 1%    
  Dec 07, 2019 172   Coastal Carolina W 82-81 51%    
  Dec 11, 2019 68   @ TCU L 72-86 11%    
  Dec 14, 2019 102   @ Furman L 71-81 18%    
  Dec 17, 2019 324   SIU Edwardsville W 86-76 81%    
  Dec 21, 2019 317   Elon W 84-74 79%    
  Jan 02, 2020 260   Longwood W 81-76 67%    
  Jan 04, 2020 302   @ Campbell W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 08, 2020 308   @ High Point W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 11, 2020 176   Gardner-Webb W 79-78 53%    
  Jan 16, 2020 245   @ Hampton L 83-85 44%    
  Jan 20, 2020 134   @ Radford L 71-79 26%    
  Jan 23, 2020 340   South Carolina Upstate W 85-73 85%    
  Jan 25, 2020 319   Presbyterian W 84-74 80%    
  Jan 30, 2020 194   @ Charleston Southern L 77-81 37%    
  Feb 01, 2020 301   UNC Asheville W 76-68 74%    
  Feb 06, 2020 302   Campbell W 79-71 74%    
  Feb 08, 2020 260   @ Longwood L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 10, 2020 134   Radford L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 13, 2020 176   @ Gardner-Webb L 76-81 33%    
  Feb 15, 2020 319   @ Presbyterian W 81-77 62%    
  Feb 22, 2020 245   Hampton W 86-82 64%    
  Feb 27, 2020 340   @ South Carolina Upstate W 82-76 70%    
  Feb 29, 2020 308   High Point W 75-67 75%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 3.9 2.9 1.4 0.3 13.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.8 3.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.6 5.3 3.4 0.9 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 4.1 5.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.9 3.1 1.3 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 4.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 3.2 4.8 6.7 8.2 10.9 11.7 11.7 11.2 10.1 7.7 5.6 3.2 1.4 0.3 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 98.9% 1.4    1.3 0.1
16-2 90.2% 2.9    2.3 0.6 0.0
15-3 69.9% 3.9    2.4 1.3 0.2
14-4 38.4% 3.0    1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.8% 1.4    0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1
12-6 2.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.2% 13.2 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 68.2% 67.9% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9%
17-1 1.4% 44.5% 44.4% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.1%
16-2 3.2% 38.4% 38.4% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.0 0.0%
15-3 5.6% 29.4% 29.4% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.2 4.0
14-4 7.7% 22.8% 22.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 5.9
13-5 10.1% 17.5% 17.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 8.3
12-6 11.2% 11.9% 11.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.9
11-7 11.7% 7.4% 7.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 10.8
10-8 11.7% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 11.1
9-9 10.9% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.6
8-10 8.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 8.0
7-11 6.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
6-12 4.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.8
5-13 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-14 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 3.4 3.8 89.3 0.0%