Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-18.7#351
Expected Predictive Rating-11.2#312
Pace74.1#81
Improvement+1.5#37

Offense
Total Offense-11.6#351
First Shot-11.6#350
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#171
Layup/Dunks-3.8#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
Freethrows-6.3#351
Improvement+0.4#110

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#339
First Shot-9.1#348
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#69
Layups/Dunks-1.6#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#297
Freethrows-1.2#242
Improvement+1.1#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 5.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 1.3% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 7.7% 20.9% 7.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 38.6% 20.0% 38.7%
First Four0.3% 5.5% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 45 - 165 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 237   @ Tennessee St. L 66-106 6%     0 - 1 -41.3 -14.2 -23.3
  Nov 11, 2019 186   @ UAB L 52-74 4%     0 - 2 -20.4 -19.6 -1.1
  Nov 14, 2019 24   @ Cincinnati L 53-85 0.5%    0 - 3 -16.2 -16.5 +3.8
  Nov 16, 2019 162   @ Miami (OH) L 63-79 3%     0 - 4 -13.1 -7.3 -6.5
  Nov 21, 2019 74   @ Clemson L 55-84 0.4%   
  Nov 25, 2019 302   Troy L 69-76 25%    
  Dec 07, 2019 226   Jacksonville St. L 65-77 13%    
  Dec 14, 2019 49   @ Miami (FL) L 57-88 0.2%   
  Dec 17, 2019 161   @ South Alabama L 61-83 2%    
  Dec 20, 2019 296   North Alabama L 65-73 24%    
  Dec 29, 2019 50   @ Notre Dame L 51-82 0.3%   
  Jan 04, 2020 249   @ Grambling St. L 64-81 6%    
  Jan 06, 2020 315   @ Jackson St. L 64-76 14%    
  Jan 11, 2020 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 66-68 41%    
  Jan 13, 2020 352   Mississippi Valley W 86-82 66%    
  Jan 18, 2020 321   Alabama St. L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 25, 2020 338   @ Alcorn St. L 66-75 20%    
  Jan 27, 2020 343   @ Southern L 63-71 25%    
  Feb 01, 2020 280   Texas Southern L 74-83 21%    
  Feb 03, 2020 270   Prairie View L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 08, 2020 340   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 10, 2020 352   @ Mississippi Valley L 83-85 44%    
  Feb 15, 2020 321   @ Alabama St. L 63-74 17%    
  Feb 22, 2020 338   Alcorn St. L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 24, 2020 343   Southern L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 29, 2020 280   @ Texas Southern L 71-86 9%    
  Mar 02, 2020 270   @ Prairie View L 63-79 8%    
  Mar 05, 2020 249   Grambling St. L 67-78 17%    
  Mar 07, 2020 315   Jackson St. L 67-73 31%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.7 1.3 0.1 7.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.0 4.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 6.5 5.7 1.8 0.1 0.0 17.7 8th
9th 0.3 2.6 7.7 10.0 6.2 1.6 0.2 28.6 9th
10th 2.1 6.7 8.4 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.0 27.6 10th
Total 2.1 7.0 11.1 15.3 15.7 14.4 11.9 8.9 5.8 3.8 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0
14-4 43.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 10.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.4% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
10-8 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.0
9-9 3.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
8-10 5.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.8
7-11 8.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.8
6-12 11.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.8
5-13 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.4
4-14 15.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.7
3-15 15.3% 15.3
2-16 11.1% 11.1
1-17 7.0% 7.0
0-18 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%