UAB
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#152
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#115
Pace63.8#314
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#132
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#188
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 6.3% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.8 12.8 13.0
.500 or above 64.7% 69.6% 43.3%
.500 or above in Conference 60.9% 63.5% 49.7%
Conference Champion 7.0% 7.8% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 5.3% 8.9%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round5.7% 6.2% 3.4%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Home) - 81.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 45 - 10
Quad 49 - 214 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 298   @ Troy W 76-75 70%     1 - 0 -3.8 +4.6 -8.4
  Nov 11, 2019 351   Alabama A&M W 74-52 97%     2 - 0 +0.1 -6.1 +6.4
  Nov 15, 2019 274   Utah Valley W 74-65 82%    
  Nov 20, 2019 268   Mount St. Mary's W 72-63 80%    
  Nov 26, 2019 282   Lamar W 73-63 81%    
  Nov 29, 2019 5   @ Kentucky L 57-78 3%    
  Dec 03, 2019 21   @ Texas L 57-73 8%    
  Dec 07, 2019 20   Memphis L 72-82 18%    
  Dec 17, 2019 309   North Alabama W 77-64 87%    
  Dec 22, 2019 106   Duquesne L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 02, 2020 233   @ Charlotte W 66-65 55%    
  Jan 04, 2020 127   @ Old Dominion L 59-64 34%    
  Jan 09, 2020 71   Western Kentucky L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 11, 2020 240   Marshall W 81-73 75%    
  Jan 16, 2020 166   @ Florida International L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 18, 2020 172   @ Florida Atlantic L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 23, 2020 223   Southern Miss W 69-62 73%    
  Jan 25, 2020 90   Louisiana Tech L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 30, 2020 203   @ Texas San Antonio L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 01, 2020 129   @ UTEP L 64-68 35%    
  Feb 06, 2020 216   Rice W 77-70 72%    
  Feb 08, 2020 145   North Texas W 61-59 59%    
  Feb 12, 2020 163   Middle Tennessee W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 15, 2020 163   @ Middle Tennessee L 67-69 42%    
Projected Record 13 - 11 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.2 7.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 3.4 2.8 0.5 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.8 4.2 4.0 0.6 0.0 9.6 3rd
4th 0.2 3.3 5.1 1.1 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 1.5 5.5 2.0 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.4 4.4 3.6 0.4 8.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 5.6 0.9 8.9 7th
8th 0.7 4.9 2.4 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 4.5 0.4 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 4.3 1.1 6.6 10th
11th 0.3 2.6 2.4 0.2 5.5 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 4.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.1 0.9 0.0 3.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.9 0.1 3.1 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.6 7.6 10.5 13.4 14.4 14.2 13.0 9.2 5.6 3.0 1.3 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 1.3    1.2 0.1
12-2 80.5% 2.4    1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0
11-3 38.6% 2.2    0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-4 8.4% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
9-5 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 7.0% 7.0 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 70.6% 52.9% 17.6% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 37.5%
13-1 1.3% 37.5% 32.2% 5.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 7.9%
12-2 3.0% 23.1% 21.3% 1.9% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 2.3 2.4%
11-3 5.6% 19.2% 18.4% 0.8% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 4.5 0.9%
10-4 9.2% 13.8% 13.8% 13.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.0
9-5 13.0% 7.4% 7.4% 13.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 12.0
8-6 14.2% 4.2% 4.2% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.6
7-7 14.4% 2.6% 2.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 14.0
6-8 13.4% 0.7% 0.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 13.3
5-9 10.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 10.4
4-10 7.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 7.6
3-11 4.6% 4.6
2-12 2.2% 2.2
1-13 0.6% 0.6
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.8% 5.6% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 94.2 0.2%