Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#332
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#312
Pace71.5#119
Improvement+1.2#130

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#299
First Shot-6.7#337
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#51
Layup/Dunks-7.1#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#240
Freethrows-2.8#334
Improvement+3.7#20

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#329
First Shot-6.4#341
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#151
Layups/Dunks-3.9#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#296
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement-2.5#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 7.0% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 13.8% 17.4% 4.7%
.500 or above in Conference 67.9% 75.9% 47.9%
Conference Champion 5.1% 6.6% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.8% 6.7%
First Four6.0% 6.8% 4.2%
First Round2.5% 2.9% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Away) - 71.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 410 - 910 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 60   @ DePaul L 54-72 3%     0 - 1 -6.7 -16.4 +10.7
  Nov 09, 2019 246   @ Louisiana Monroe L 72-73 OT 20%     0 - 2 -3.0 -5.1 +2.2
  Nov 16, 2019 28   @ Memphis L 56-102 2%     0 - 3 -30.8 -18.3 -2.7
  Nov 19, 2019 43   @ North Carolina St. L 64-87 2%     0 - 4 -9.4 -6.8 -2.0
  Nov 27, 2019 158   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 50-67 10%     0 - 5 -13.7 -20.5 +7.2
  Dec 16, 2019 168   @ Tulane L 57-68 11%     0 - 6 -8.2 -13.1 +4.5
  Dec 29, 2019 146   @ Santa Clara L 57-92 9%     0 - 7 -30.8 -11.7 -20.2
  Jan 04, 2020 226   @ Prairie View L 70-84 17%     0 - 8 0 - 1 -14.8 -5.5 -8.5
  Jan 06, 2020 263   @ Texas Southern W 95-80 22%     1 - 8 1 - 1 +12.1 +10.0 +0.5
  Jan 11, 2020 328   Jackson St. L 65-76 60%     1 - 9 1 - 2 -24.4 -11.4 -13.1
  Jan 13, 2020 296   Grambling St. W 87-69 49%     2 - 9 2 - 2 +7.4 +7.4 -0.7
  Jan 18, 2020 351   @ Mississippi Valley W 84-78 72%    
  Jan 20, 2020 343   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 64-65 50%    
  Jan 25, 2020 337   Alabama A&M W 73-69 66%    
  Jan 27, 2020 342   Alabama St. W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 01, 2020 335   @ Southern L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 08, 2020 328   @ Jackson St. L 69-72 37%    
  Feb 10, 2020 296   @ Grambling St. L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 15, 2020 351   Mississippi Valley W 87-75 86%    
  Feb 17, 2020 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 68-62 70%    
  Feb 22, 2020 337   @ Alabama A&M L 71-72 44%    
  Feb 24, 2020 342   @ Alabama St. L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 29, 2020 335   Southern W 70-66 64%    
  Mar 05, 2020 226   Prairie View L 70-74 36%    
  Mar 07, 2020 263   Texas Southern L 78-80 42%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.1 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.4 3.4 0.8 0.1 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.6 7.3 4.4 0.9 0.1 16.6 3rd
4th 0.3 4.2 8.8 4.6 0.8 0.0 18.7 4th
5th 0.2 3.1 7.8 3.8 0.4 0.0 15.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 6.2 3.8 0.3 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.6 3.6 0.5 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.8 0.4 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.4 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 5.4 9.7 13.7 16.7 16.7 14.6 10.3 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 92.9% 0.8    0.6 0.2
14-4 65.5% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1
13-5 28.7% 1.8    0.5 0.9 0.4 0.0
12-6 7.2% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.2 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.8% 24.9% 24.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.6
14-4 2.6% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.2
13-5 6.1% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 0.9 5.3
12-6 10.3% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 1.1 9.2
11-7 14.6% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 1.3 13.3
10-8 16.7% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 1.1 15.6
9-9 16.7% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.7 16.0
8-10 13.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 13.3
7-11 9.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.5
6-12 5.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.3
5-13 2.3% 2.3
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.2 93.8 0.0%