DePaul
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#76
Expected Predictive Rating+17.1#15
Pace72.4#111
Improvement+1.1#48

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#72
First Shot+2.6#97
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#104
Layup/Dunks+0.2#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#128
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement+1.0#40

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#89
First Shot+5.8#43
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#319
Layups/Dunks+0.9#152
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#37
Freethrows-2.2#280
Improvement+0.1#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.3% 3.8% 1.0%
Top 6 Seed 6.5% 10.2% 3.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.6% 34.7% 17.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.9% 32.6% 16.5%
Average Seed 8.2 7.9 8.7
.500 or above 55.5% 68.6% 44.0%
.500 or above in Conference 25.5% 31.8% 20.0%
Conference Champion 1.9% 3.0% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.5% 20.7% 29.7%
First Four3.9% 4.5% 3.4%
First Round23.4% 32.1% 15.8%
Second Round11.3% 16.0% 7.2%
Sweet Sixteen3.4% 4.9% 2.0%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.5% 0.6%
Final Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 46.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 24 - 48 - 14
Quad 33 - 111 - 15
Quad 45 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 340   Alcorn St. W 72-54 97%     1 - 0 +2.4 -11.7 +13.1
  Nov 08, 2019 272   Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-59 92%     2 - 0 +2.1 -5.3 +7.8
  Nov 11, 2019 63   @ Iowa W 93-78 33%     3 - 0 +26.6 +7.8 +16.6
  Nov 16, 2019 271   Cornell W 75-54 92%     4 - 0 +12.2 +3.0 +10.8
  Nov 23, 2019 96   @ Boston College L 74-75 46%    
  Nov 26, 2019 125   Central Michigan W 89-81 76%    
  Nov 29, 2019 73   @ Minnesota L 70-73 38%    
  Dec 04, 2019 11   Texas Tech L 69-75 28%    
  Dec 08, 2019 104   Buffalo W 84-78 70%    
  Dec 14, 2019 205   Illinois-Chicago W 76-64 87%    
  Dec 18, 2019 319   @ Cleveland St. W 81-67 91%    
  Dec 21, 2019 109   Northwestern W 71-64 72%    
  Dec 30, 2019 15   Seton Hall L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 04, 2020 36   Providence L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 11, 2020 90   @ St. John's L 77-78 44%    
  Jan 14, 2020 14   @ Villanova L 66-77 16%    
  Jan 18, 2020 35   Butler L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 22, 2020 44   Creighton L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 25, 2020 90   St. John's W 80-75 65%    
  Jan 29, 2020 15   @ Seton Hall L 70-81 17%    
  Feb 01, 2020 26   @ Marquette L 70-79 23%    
  Feb 04, 2020 33   Xavier L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 81   @ Georgetown L 78-81 41%    
  Feb 15, 2020 44   @ Creighton L 73-80 28%    
  Feb 19, 2020 14   Villanova L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 22, 2020 81   Georgetown W 81-78 61%    
  Feb 25, 2020 33   @ Xavier L 67-75 25%    
  Feb 29, 2020 35   @ Butler L 66-74 27%    
  Mar 03, 2020 26   Marquette L 73-76 40%    
  Mar 07, 2020 36   @ Providence L 70-77 26%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.5 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 3.0 1.3 0.1 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.3 1.6 0.2 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.9 3.1 0.2 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.2 6.4 3.4 0.5 15.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.3 5.4 6.1 2.9 0.5 0.0 17.7 9th
10th 0.4 2.0 4.1 5.4 3.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 17.4 10th
Total 0.4 2.0 4.6 7.8 10.4 12.3 13.0 12.7 11.3 9.2 6.5 4.4 2.5 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 90.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 79.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 67.8% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 40.5% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 13.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 9.1% 90.9% 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 21.5% 78.5% 2.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.9% 100.0% 20.7% 79.3% 3.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.6% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 4.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 2.5% 99.3% 10.9% 88.4% 6.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
11-7 4.4% 92.7% 8.0% 84.7% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 92.0%
10-8 6.5% 83.9% 4.8% 79.1% 8.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.0 83.1%
9-9 9.2% 61.2% 2.9% 58.2% 9.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.4 0.4 3.6 60.0%
8-10 11.3% 30.1% 2.5% 27.6% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.4 0.3 7.9 28.3%
7-11 12.7% 10.5% 1.0% 9.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 11.4 9.6%
6-12 13.0% 1.8% 0.3% 1.5% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.8 1.5%
5-13 12.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3 0.0%
4-14 10.4% 0.3% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 10.4
3-15 7.8% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 7.8
2-16 4.6% 4.6
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 25.6% 2.3% 23.4% 8.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.8 3.6 4.4 1.2 0.0 74.4 23.9%