DePaul
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#61
Expected Predictive Rating+11.1#43
Pace73.0#82
Improvement-0.7#215

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#59
First Shot+2.6#93
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#76
Layup/Dunks+3.4#58
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#224
Freethrows+0.1#164
Improvement+1.5#90

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#68
First Shot+4.0#67
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#149
Layups/Dunks+2.8#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#70
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#131
Freethrows-1.5#270
Improvement-2.2#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 4.6% 7.3% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.9% 49.4% 24.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.3% 47.7% 23.5%
Average Seed 9.0 8.7 9.4
.500 or above 83.8% 92.5% 75.4%
.500 or above in Conference 12.9% 20.4% 5.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 31.4% 21.0% 41.3%
First Four7.6% 8.8% 6.5%
First Round32.6% 44.4% 21.4%
Second Round14.1% 19.8% 8.7%
Sweet Sixteen4.0% 5.7% 2.3%
Elite Eight1.4% 1.9% 0.9%
Final Four0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Home) - 48.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 9
Quad 23 - 310 - 12
Quad 32 - 112 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 314   Alcorn St. W 72-54 96%     1 - 0 +5.9 -12.2 +17.0
  Nov 08, 2019 310   Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-59 96%     2 - 0 -1.0 -9.6 +9.0
  Nov 11, 2019 16   @ Iowa W 93-78 20%     3 - 0 +32.2 +11.1 +18.8
  Nov 16, 2019 294   Cornell W 75-54 95%     4 - 0 +10.6 +1.7 +10.4
  Nov 23, 2019 150   @ Boston College W 72-67 67%     5 - 0 +8.8 +0.8 +7.8
  Nov 26, 2019 187   Central Michigan W 88-75 87%     6 - 0 +9.1 +0.5 +7.0
  Nov 29, 2019 35   @ Minnesota W 73-68 28%     7 - 0 +19.5 +12.2 +7.7
  Dec 04, 2019 18   Texas Tech W 65-60 OT 39%     8 - 0 +16.2 +0.4 +15.8
  Dec 08, 2019 133   Buffalo L 69-74 81%     8 - 1 -5.7 -14.3 +9.3
  Dec 14, 2019 229   Illinois-Chicago W 86-65 91%     9 - 1 +14.3 +2.2 +9.9
  Dec 18, 2019 312   @ Cleveland St. W 73-65 91%     10 - 1 +1.5 -10.6 +11.1
  Dec 21, 2019 100   Northwestern W 83-78 74%     11 - 1 +6.9 +7.2 -0.6
  Dec 30, 2019 8   Seton Hall L 66-74 34%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +4.8 -1.9 +7.1
  Jan 04, 2020 62   Providence L 65-66 62%     11 - 3 0 - 2 +4.4 +0.0 +4.4
  Jan 11, 2020 77   @ St. John's L 67-74 44%     11 - 4 0 - 3 +3.0 -2.2 +5.5
  Jan 14, 2020 23   @ Villanova L 75-79 OT 24%     11 - 5 0 - 4 +12.0 +6.1 +6.0
  Jan 18, 2020 17   Butler W 79-66 39%     12 - 5 1 - 4 +24.2 +16.5 +8.4
  Jan 22, 2020 33   Creighton L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 25, 2020 77   St. John's W 76-72 66%    
  Jan 29, 2020 8   @ Seton Hall L 67-77 17%    
  Feb 01, 2020 27   @ Marquette L 72-79 25%    
  Feb 04, 2020 53   Xavier W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 08, 2020 48   @ Georgetown L 77-82 33%    
  Feb 15, 2020 33   @ Creighton L 72-78 28%    
  Feb 19, 2020 23   Villanova L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 22, 2020 48   Georgetown W 80-79 54%    
  Feb 25, 2020 53   @ Xavier L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 29, 2020 17   @ Butler L 63-71 21%    
  Mar 03, 2020 27   Marquette L 75-76 46%    
  Mar 07, 2020 62   @ Providence L 69-72 41%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.4 2.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.2 3.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.8 5.7 1.4 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 3.0 8.0 2.9 0.1 0.0 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.6 9.3 5.4 0.4 0.0 19.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.9 9.6 5.9 0.7 0.0 22.3 9th
10th 0.4 2.1 5.4 6.8 3.7 0.6 0.0 19.1 10th
Total 0.4 2.1 6.5 12.1 17.1 19.1 17.2 12.6 7.5 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 40.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 14.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 100.0% 11.5% 88.5% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 0.4% 100.0% 13.8% 86.2% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 1.4% 100.0% 9.6% 90.4% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-8 3.5% 99.6% 7.8% 91.8% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
9-9 7.5% 97.9% 7.0% 90.8% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.2 97.7%
8-10 12.6% 86.7% 4.6% 82.1% 9.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.3 3.2 1.5 0.0 1.7 86.0%
7-11 17.2% 54.0% 2.1% 51.8% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.6 4.6 0.6 7.9 53.0%
6-12 19.1% 17.1% 1.3% 15.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 0.9 0.0 15.8 16.1%
5-13 17.1% 3.3% 1.0% 2.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 16.6 2.3%
4-14 12.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.1%
3-15 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5
2-16 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 2.1
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18
Total 100% 36.9% 2.4% 34.4% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.6 3.7 5.8 6.0 6.7 8.3 1.7 0.0 0.0 63.1 35.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%