Tulane
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#211
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#188
Pace73.2#95
Improvement+0.3#140

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#195
First Shot-1.0#204
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#151
Layup/Dunks+0.2#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#196
Freethrows+0.0#167
Improvement-0.6#278

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#237
First Shot-4.0#289
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#69
Layups/Dunks-3.4#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#331
Freethrows+2.9#42
Improvement+0.9#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 1.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 11.7 12.4
.500 or above 19.9% 40.7% 17.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.4% 19.9% 6.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 32.9% 19.8% 34.7%
First Four0.1% 1.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Neutral) - 12.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 33 - 54 - 16
Quad 47 - 111 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 316   SE Louisiana W 76-55 84%     1 - 0 +7.7 -8.2 +14.0
  Nov 12, 2019 315   Jackson St. W 88-79 83%     2 - 0 -4.1 +10.5 -14.3
  Nov 16, 2019 345   Northwestern St. W 79-52 91%     3 - 0 +9.8 -7.5 +15.0
  Nov 21, 2019 56   Mississippi St. L 65-77 12%    
  Dec 01, 2019 343   Southern W 77-63 90%    
  Dec 04, 2019 231   @ Southern Miss L 68-70 41%    
  Dec 08, 2019 116   Saint Louis L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 16, 2019 340   Alcorn St. W 81-68 88%    
  Dec 20, 2019 137   Akron L 71-75 35%    
  Dec 31, 2019 16   @ Memphis L 72-92 4%    
  Jan 04, 2020 22   Cincinnati L 65-78 13%    
  Jan 08, 2020 85   @ Connecticut L 71-83 16%    
  Jan 11, 2020 86   @ Temple L 68-79 16%    
  Jan 14, 2020 117   Central Florida L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 18, 2020 132   Tulsa L 70-72 45%    
  Jan 25, 2020 239   @ East Carolina L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 29, 2020 138   South Florida L 70-71 45%    
  Feb 01, 2020 100   @ SMU L 66-77 18%    
  Feb 06, 2020 42   @ Houston L 62-79 7%    
  Feb 08, 2020 239   East Carolina W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 12, 2020 86   Temple L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 16, 2020 57   @ Wichita St. L 64-79 10%    
  Feb 19, 2020 100   SMU L 69-74 35%    
  Feb 22, 2020 117   @ Central Florida L 65-74 25%    
  Feb 25, 2020 132   @ Tulsa L 67-75 25%    
  Feb 29, 2020 16   Memphis L 75-89 13%    
  Mar 08, 2020 85   Connecticut L 74-80 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 1.2 4th
5th 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.4 2.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 1.8 0.9 4.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.8 3.6 1.1 0.1 7.8 7th
8th 0.3 2.0 4.8 1.4 0.1 8.5 8th
9th 0.4 3.1 7.4 2.7 0.1 13.7 9th
10th 0.9 4.4 6.6 3.2 0.2 0.0 15.3 10th
11th 0.2 2.3 6.7 8.3 3.9 0.3 21.6 11th
12th 1.2 5.4 8.3 6.6 2.3 0.1 0.1 23.9 12th
Total 1.2 5.6 10.5 14.2 15.3 14.1 13.1 10.5 7.1 4.0 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 48.0% 0.1    0.1
13-5 24.1% 0.1    0.1
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.1
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.3% 24.1% 24.1% 11.0 0.1 0.2 24.1%
12-6 0.5% 14.9% 13.8% 1.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2%
11-7 1.4% 4.2% 4.2% 13.0 0.1 1.4
10-8 2.0% 3.2% 3.2% 13.0 0.1 2.0
9-9 4.0% 4.0
8-10 7.1% 7.1
7-11 10.5% 10.5
6-12 13.1% 13.1
5-13 14.1% 14.1
4-14 15.3% 15.3
3-15 14.2% 14.2
2-16 10.5% 10.5
1-17 5.6% 5.6
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 12.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.1%