Cal Poly
Big West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#317
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#324
Pace68.7#184
Improvement+1.6#115

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#290
First Shot-2.8#264
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#299
Layup/Dunks-2.0#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#250
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement+1.9#98

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#310
First Shot-3.5#290
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#296
Layups/Dunks+1.1#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#173
Freethrows-3.5#338
Improvement-0.3#189
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 81 - 14
Quad 44 - 95 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 162   @ Santa Clara L 63-77 12%     0 - 1 -10.5 -10.1 +0.1
  Nov 11, 2019 121   @ North Dakota St. L 67-74 8%     0 - 2 -0.7 +2.3 -3.7
  Nov 17, 2019 43   @ St. Mary's L 48-79 3%     0 - 3 -17.8 -17.4 -2.4
  Nov 22, 2019 8   @ Creighton L 70-86 1%     0 - 4 +2.4 +3.0 -0.7
  Nov 24, 2019 25   @ Iowa L 59-85 2%     0 - 5 -10.0 -11.4 +2.1
  Nov 28, 2019 262   Tennessee St. L 72-82 37%     0 - 6 -15.9 -8.8 -6.2
  Nov 29, 2019 274   LIU Brooklyn L 69-82 38%     0 - 7 -19.3 -7.8 -11.2
  Dec 07, 2019 160   Siena W 70-66 26%     1 - 7 +1.5 +0.8 +1.1
  Dec 14, 2019 152   Fresno St. L 37-62 24%     1 - 8 -27.1 -35.0 +5.8
  Dec 18, 2019 199   @ Sacramento St. L 56-57 17%     1 - 9 +0.1 -6.2 +6.1
  Dec 21, 2019 263   Cal St. Bakersfield L 50-72 49%     1 - 10 -30.9 -19.0 -14.8
  Dec 28, 2019 7   @ San Diego St. L 57-73 1%     1 - 11 +2.9 -12.0 +16.3
  Jan 08, 2020 174   UC Santa Barbara L 45-63 28%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -21.4 -22.2 -3.0
  Jan 11, 2020 240   Cal St. Northridge W 74-56 42%     2 - 12 1 - 1 +10.7 -11.6 +21.4
  Jan 16, 2020 214   @ Hawaii L 61-65 18%     2 - 13 1 - 2 -3.7 -12.3 +8.7
  Jan 23, 2020 220   @ UC Riverside L 64-97 20%     2 - 14 1 - 3 -33.5 -4.3 -30.1
  Jan 25, 2020 116   @ UC Irvine L 67-74 8%     2 - 15 1 - 4 -0.2 +2.2 -2.9
  Jan 30, 2020 269   Cal St. Fullerton W 101-100 OT 49%     3 - 15 2 - 4 -8.2 +8.4 -16.7
  Feb 01, 2020 221   @ UC Davis L 51-66 20%     3 - 16 2 - 5 -15.6 -25.2 +9.7
  Feb 05, 2020 306   Long Beach St. W 92-75 57%     4 - 16 3 - 5 +5.9 +12.1 -6.9
  Feb 08, 2020 214   Hawaii W 79-75 OT 36%     5 - 16 4 - 5 -1.7 +0.1 -2.2
  Feb 13, 2020 240   @ Cal St. Northridge L 73-81 22%     5 - 17 4 - 6 -9.3 -5.6 -3.7
  Feb 15, 2020 269   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 101-105 4OT 28%     5 - 18 4 - 7 -7.1 -0.9 -5.1
  Feb 20, 2020 221   UC Davis L 62-77 40%     5 - 19 4 - 8 -21.6 -12.3 -10.4
  Feb 22, 2020 220   UC Riverside L 49-61 39%     5 - 20 4 - 9 -18.6 -18.1 -1.9
  Feb 27, 2020 116   UC Irvine L 76-82 17%     5 - 21 4 - 10 -5.2 +3.7 -8.9
  Mar 05, 2020 306   @ Long Beach St. L 73-80 OT 34%     5 - 22 4 - 11 -12.1 -9.7 -1.5
  Mar 07, 2020 174   @ UC Santa Barbara L 67-69 13%     5 - 23 4 - 12 +0.7 +1.2 -0.8
Projected Record 5 - 23 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 100.0% 100.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%