Creighton
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#43
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#168
Pace71.1#144
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#13
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#92
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 2.6% 3.2% 0.7%
Top 4 Seed 8.4% 10.0% 3.4%
Top 6 Seed 17.0% 19.8% 7.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.6% 50.6% 29.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.2% 46.0% 25.6%
Average Seed 7.3 7.1 8.0
.500 or above 72.2% 78.0% 52.7%
.500 or above in Conference 53.1% 56.9% 40.4%
Conference Champion 8.4% 9.7% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 9.4% 7.9% 14.3%
First Four3.8% 4.0% 3.1%
First Round43.8% 48.7% 27.6%
Second Round25.9% 29.3% 14.5%
Sweet Sixteen11.0% 12.6% 5.7%
Elite Eight4.6% 5.2% 2.4%
Final Four2.0% 2.3% 0.9%
Championship Game0.8% 1.0% 0.3%
National Champion0.3% 0.4% 0.2%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Home) - 76.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 9
Quad 25 - 39 - 12
Quad 34 - 113 - 13
Quad 45 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 332   Kennesaw St. W 81-55 98%     1 - 0 +11.6 -3.5 +13.4
  Nov 12, 2019 28   @ Michigan L 69-79 32%     1 - 1 +5.4 +10.3 -5.6
  Nov 16, 2019 89   Louisiana Tech W 76-68 77%    
  Nov 22, 2019 311   Cal Poly W 85-62 98%    
  Nov 24, 2019 154   North Florida W 86-73 89%    
  Nov 28, 2019 49   San Diego St. W 73-72 52%    
  Dec 03, 2019 176   Oral Roberts W 91-76 91%    
  Dec 07, 2019 147   Nebraska W 78-65 87%    
  Dec 13, 2019 254   UT Rio Grande Valley W 84-66 94%    
  Dec 17, 2019 30   Oklahoma W 76-75 54%    
  Dec 21, 2019 69   @ Arizona St. W 80-79 51%    
  Jan 01, 2020 16   Marquette L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 04, 2020 39   @ Butler L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 07, 2020 13   Villanova L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 11, 2020 27   @ Xavier L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 15, 2020 73   @ Georgetown W 81-80 51%    
  Jan 18, 2020 36   Providence W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 22, 2020 81   @ DePaul W 79-78 53%    
  Jan 26, 2020 27   Xavier W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 01, 2020 13   @ Villanova L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 05, 2020 36   @ Providence L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 08, 2020 87   St. John's W 85-77 74%    
  Feb 12, 2020 19   @ Seton Hall L 73-79 30%    
  Feb 15, 2020 81   DePaul W 82-75 72%    
  Feb 18, 2020 16   @ Marquette L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 23, 2020 39   Butler W 72-69 58%    
  Mar 01, 2020 87   @ St. John's W 82-80 56%    
  Mar 04, 2020 73   Georgetown W 84-77 71%    
  Mar 07, 2020 19   Seton Hall L 76-77 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 8.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 3.2 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 4.4 2.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 5.2 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.5 3.3 0.5 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.5 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.4 4.0 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 3.4 1.7 0.3 8.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 5.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 4.4 6.7 8.7 11.0 11.8 11.9 11.2 9.8 7.4 5.8 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 97.9% 0.9    0.9 0.1
15-3 88.3% 1.8    1.4 0.3 0.0
14-4 68.0% 2.5    1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 30.7% 1.8    0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0
12-6 11.1% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.4% 8.4 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.1 0.0
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 59.3% 40.7% 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.9% 100.0% 33.0% 67.0% 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.0% 100.0% 31.7% 68.3% 3.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.7% 99.6% 25.8% 73.8% 4.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
13-5 5.8% 99.1% 18.1% 80.9% 5.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.8%
12-6 7.4% 96.9% 15.8% 81.2% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 96.4%
11-7 9.8% 87.5% 9.5% 78.0% 7.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.4 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.2 86.2%
10-8 11.2% 71.7% 7.1% 64.6% 8.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.3 0.2 3.2 69.5%
9-9 11.9% 49.1% 5.3% 43.8% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.7 0.3 6.0 46.2%
8-10 11.8% 20.6% 3.7% 16.9% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.4 17.5%
7-11 11.0% 5.5% 1.6% 3.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 10.4 3.9%
6-12 8.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 0.5%
5-13 6.7% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
4-14 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 4.3
3-15 2.7% 2.7
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 45.6% 7.5% 38.1% 7.3 0.9 1.7 2.5 3.3 3.9 4.7 5.0 6.4 5.9 5.6 4.8 0.9 0.0 54.4 41.2%